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High-octane Phillies aim to continue roll vs. reeling Royals
Philadelphia Phillies (88-60) look unstoppable right now, riding a five-game win streak and closing in on their second straight NL East title. They’ll host the Kansas City Royals (74-74) Saturday evening at Citizens Bank Park after an 8-2 win in Friday’s opener.
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Checking recent MLB game results, the Phillies have won eight of their last nine, while the Royals have dropped five of their last six, slipping further back in the AL wild-card race.
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Kansas City Royals Can Win If…
- Ryan Bergert rebounds. The rookie gave up eight runs in his last outing, but his season ERA of 3.48 shows he has upside.
- Bobby Witt Jr. sets the tone. Kansas City’s star shortstop remains the Royals’ most dynamic offensive weapon, combining power and speed.
- They play aggressive small ball. Ranking 4th in doubles and top-15 in stolen bases, the Royals need to pressure Philly’s pitchers and defense.
“Any time we’re losing games, it’s frustrating. We’re going through it right now … and it really (stinks),” Witt said.
Philadelphia Phillies Can Win If…
- Their bats keep rolling. Six starters had multiple hits Friday, including homers from Bryce Harper and Bryson Stott.
- Taijuan Walker settles in. He’s allowed at least four runs in three straight starts, but if he limits early damage, Philly’s offense can do the rest.
- The lineup works counts. Manager Rob Thomson praised his team’s patient approach, which has fueled their late-season surge.
“I think we’re doing a good job of working counts, staying in the strike zone, using the entire field,” Thomson said. “That’s a recipe for success.”
Key MLB Betting Trends
| Category | Royals | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 74-74 (3rd AL Central) | 88-60 (1st NL East) |
| Last 10 Games | 4-6, lost 5 of 6 | 8-2, won 5 straight |
| Runs Per Game | Middle of AL pack | 2nd in BA (.261), 4th in SLG |
| ERA / Opp Runs | 4.22 team ERA | 3.77 team ERA |
| Home/Away Record | 34-39 road | 49-26 home |
The Leans
Main Pick: Phillies Moneyline (-148)
Projected Final Score: Phillies 5, Royals 4
- Runline Angle: Royals +1.5 (-165) → Kansas City can keep it close if Bergert settles down.
- Total Runs Angle: Under 9.0 (+100) → Both pitchers have struggled lately, but the line sits sharp; expect a push or slight lean under.
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Best Bet Box
Best Bet: Phillies ML (-148) + Under 9 (Parlay)
Confidence: ★★★★☆
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