Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee Brewers Picks and Predictions September 1st 2025

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Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee Brewers September 1st 2025

The Philadelphia Phillies visit the Milwaukee Brewers at American Family Field. Both teams are at the top of their divisions. The Phillies have a record of 79-58, while the Brewers stand at 85-53. Each team has won five of their last ten games. Both are coming off a loss.

The Phillies will start Taijuan Walker on the mound. He has a 3.63 ERA and a 4-7 record. The Brewers will counter with Jacob Misiorowski. His ERA is 4.33 with a 4-2 record. The game will be played under a clear sky, but the retractable roof might limit the wind’s effect.

Phillies vs Brewers Key Information

  • Sport: Baseball
  • Teams: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers
  • Venue: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI
  • Date: Monday, September 1, 2025
  • Betting Odds: Phillies Moneyline +135, Brewers Moneyline -160, Phillies Runline +1.5 (-156), Brewers Runline -1.5 (+131), Total Over 9.0 (-104), Total Under 9.0 (-117)

The Phillies Can Win If…

The Philadelphia Phillies had a close game against the Atlanta Braves on August 31st, losing 3-1. Jesús Luzardo showed strong pitching, going 6 2/3 innings and allowing no runs. Brandon Marsh hit a home run, providing the Phillies’ only run of the game.

The Phillies have been performing well in recent games, winning three of their last five. They have a solid batting average of .257, ranking third in the league. Their pitching is strong too, with a 3.81 ERA, which ranks seventh.

Kyle Schwarber is a key player for the Phillies, with 49 home runs and 119 RBIs. Trea Turner adds to their strength with a .300 batting average. With Taijuan Walker starting, who has a 3.63 ERA, the Phillies have a good chance to win the next game.

The Brewers Can Win If…

The Milwaukee Brewers are coming off a tough 8-4 loss against the Toronto Blue Jays. Despite the loss, the Brewers showed strength at the plate with 13 hits, including two home runs. William Contreras and Brice Turang were key contributors, each hitting a home run and driving in runs.

The Brewers have been strong this season with a .259 team batting average, ranking second in the league. Their on-base percentage of .331 also ranks second, showing their ability to get on base. With players like Christian Yelich, who has 27 home runs and 92 RBIs, the Brewers have power in their lineup.

On the pitching side, the Brewers have a solid team ERA of 3.60, placing them second in the league. Jacob Misiorowski will start for Milwaukee with a 4.33 ERA and a 4-2 record. The Brewers’ pitching staff has been effective, striking out 1,204 batters this season, which ranks sixth in the league.

The Lean

The Brewers are favored with a moneyline of -160 against the Phillies at +135. The Brewers have a strong pitching staff with a 3.60 ERA, ranking 2nd in the league. My model projects the Brewers to win with a score of 5-3, making them the recommended pick for the moneyline.

The total for the game is set at 9.0, with the over at -104 and the under at -117. Both teams have solid pitching, with the Phillies holding a 3.81 ERA. My model projects a total score of 8 runs. Therefore, the recommendation is to take the under 9.0.

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Brewers and Phillies Collide in Division-Leader Showdown

The Milwaukee Brewers and Philadelphia Phillies are set for a heavyweight battle on Monday, as rookie flamethrower Jacob Misiorowski takes the mound against veteran Taijuan Walker.

Milwaukee (85-53) enters with baseball’s best record and a commanding 6.5-game lead over the Cubs in the NL Central. Philadelphia (79-58), meanwhile, sits atop the NL East with a six-game cushion over the Mets.

Both teams have proven their playoff credentials, making this series opener at American Family Field a must-watch.

Looking for betting value? Check today’s MLB odds and previews.

Pitching Matchup: Misiorowski vs Walker

Milwaukee hands the ball to Jacob Misiorowski (4-2, 4.33 ERA), who was named an All-Star after just five career starts. The 23-year-old has struggled since returning from the injured list, going 0-1 with a 9.58 ERA in three starts this month. Still, his latest outing showed promise — 10 strikeouts over five innings against Arizona.

Philadelphia counters with Taijuan Walker (4-7, 3.63 ERA), who went 1-2 with a 3.14 ERA in August. Walker hasn’t beaten Milwaukee in three career tries, posting a 6.75 ERA against them, including a four-inning loss earlier this season.

Probable Pitchers

PitcherRecordERANotes
Jacob Misiorowski (MIL)4-24.3310 Ks in last start; 0-1 since IL return
Taijuan Walker (PHI)4-73.630-3 vs Brewers, 6.75 ERA career
Need more insights? Get sharp picks from the MLB expert betting guide.

Brewers Riding High Despite Toronto Loss

The Brewers dropped their finale in Toronto, 8-4, but still finished August with a franchise-record-tying 21 wins. Brandon Woodruff was hit hard Sunday, but Milwaukee’s offense continues to thrive.

Jackson Chourio, back from a hamstring injury, wasted no time making an impact — going 6-for-9 with a homer and two doubles in his return. Meanwhile, Brice Turang capped a scorching August (.343 AVG, 10 HR, 24 RBIs) to emerge as one of the hottest hitters in baseball.

Curious how other top contenders stack up? Track the Detroit Tigers as they chase October.

Phillies Add Depth Before Stretch Run

The Phillies saw their four-game win streak snapped by Atlanta on Sunday but remain firmly in control of the NL East. Off the field, they bolstered their roster with a pair of key moves — signing veteran right-hander Walker Buehler and claiming lefty Tim Mayza off waivers. Both pitchers could play pivotal roles in October.

Offensively, Philadelphia has thrived all season, but they’ll need Walker to avoid the miscues that plagued him against the Mets in his last start.

Key Factors to Watch

  1. Misiorowski’s Composure: Can the rookie handle a playoff-caliber lineup?
  2. Walker’s History vs Brewers: Milwaukee has had his number.
  3. Hot Bats in Milwaukee: Turang and Chourio are difference-makers.
  4. Phillies’ Reinforcements: Buehler and Mayza could add depth immediately.

Series Snapshot

CategoryBrewersPhillies
Record85-53 (Best in MLB)79-58 (NL East lead)
August Record21-9 (Tied franchise best)17-11
Division Lead6.5 over Cubs6.0 over Mets
Key PlayerBrice Turang (.343 in Aug)Taijuan Walker (steady Aug)
Want daily betting breakdowns? Explore MLB picks for tonight’s matchups.

Final Thoughts

The Brewers are red-hot and chasing a deep postseason run, while the Phillies are looking to prove they belong among baseball’s elite. With two division leaders clashing, this matchup could preview an October showdown.

If Misiorowski delivers the electric stuff that made him an All-Star, and Milwaukee’s bats keep producing, the Brewers could strike first. But if Walker finds his groove, Philadelphia has the firepower to steal the opener.

FAQs

Who is starting for Milwaukee?
Rookie Jacob Misiorowski, who struck out 10 in his last outing.

Who is starting for Philadelphia?
Taijuan Walker, who went 1-2 with a 3.14 ERA in August.

Which Brewers player is red-hot right now?
Brice Turang, who hit .343 with 10 homers in August.

Which Phillies pitcher just joined the team?
Walker Buehler signed after being released by Boston.

What’s at stake in this series?
It’s a battle between two division leaders and potential postseason foes.

Where can I get more MLB previews?
Find daily breakdowns at Scores and Stats MLB Teams.