Philadelphia Phillies vs Minnesota Twins Picks and Predictions September 28th 2025

Philadelphia Phillies vs Minnesota Twins September 28th 2025

The Minnesota Twins will take on the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park on Sunday, September 28, 2025. The Twins, with a record of 70-91, are coming off a win. They are ranked fourth in the AL Central and have struggled on the road this season with a record of 32-48.

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The Phillies hold a strong record of 95-66 and are first in the NL East. They have been solid at home with a 54-26 record. Cristopher Sánchez will start for the Phillies, bringing an ERA of 2.57. Simeon Woods Richardson will pitch for the Twins, carrying an ERA of 4.27. The game will be aired on MNNT, and the weather is expected to be mild with broken clouds.

Twins vs Phillies Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: Minnesota Twins vs. Philadelphia Phillies
• Venue: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA
• Date: Sunday, September 28, 2025
• Betting Odds: Twins Moneyline +172, Phillies Moneyline -207, Twins Runline +1.5 (-122), Phillies Runline -1.5 (+101), Total Over 8.0 (-120), Total Under 8.0 (-102)

Phillies vs Twins MLB Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies (95-66) wrap up their regular season at home against the Minnesota Twins (70-91). Philadelphia is locked into the NL’s No. 2 seed and will face the winner of the Dodgers’ wild-card series. For roster details, visit the Philadelphia Phillies team page.

Minnesota has already dropped 90 games but is finishing strong, winning four of its last six while holding opponents to just 10 runs in that span. For season context, check the Minnesota Twins team page.

The Twins Can Win If…

Simeon Woods Richardson (7-4, 4.27 ERA) delivers another efficient outing. He’s posted a 3.00 ERA in September and settled in after rough first innings. Minnesota needs Byron Buxton, who’s slugged 35 homers, to spark the offense early. If Hunter Goodman and Ryan Fitzgerald support with extra-base power, the Twins’ bats can match up against Sanchez.

The Phillies Can Win If…

Cristopher Sánchez (13-5, 2.57 ERA) stays sharp in his postseason tune-up. He blanked Miami over seven innings last Tuesday and owns a 1.08 WHIP, proving his consistency. Philadelphia’s lineup — second in MLB in batting average (.259) and powered by Kyle Schwarber’s 56 homers — must cash in early. If Trea Turner looks healthy in his return from a hamstring injury, the Phillies’ depth gives them a decisive edge.

Matchup Breakdown

Twins: Woods Richardson has limited opponents to two runs or fewer in three of his last four outings. Minnesota’s offense ranks 11th in homers (191) but needs timely hitting behind Buxton. Rookie Mick Abel’s gem Saturday showed their pitching can still frustrate playoff-bound clubs.

Phillies: Sánchez has been outstanding, carrying a 2.57 ERA into the postseason. Philadelphia ranks top-five in OBP (.328) and slugging (.432), and Schwarber remains a game-changing threat. The Phillies’ bullpen is postseason-ready, with 84 quality starts leading MLB.

For full MLB comparisons, visit the MLB teams page.

Injuries and Conditions

• Twins: No new injuries. Lineup mixing in youth.
• Phillies: Trea Turner (hamstring) returns but may not play a full game. Ranger Suárez (thigh) expected ready for NLDS.

Weather: Clear fall day in Philadelphia, pitcher-friendly temps.

Best Bets and Prediction

The Phillies have more talent and Sánchez is postseason-ready, but Minnesota’s youth movement has shown fight. Expect a competitive finale.

Projected score: Phillies 5, Twins 3
Best Bet: Phillies moneyline -207
Lean: Under 8 runs (-102) — Sánchez plus Woods Richardson’s steady September trend point low-scoring.

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