Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Picks and Predictions June 20th 2025

Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets June 20th 2025

The New York Mets will take on the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park on Friday, June 20, 2025. This night game will begin at 7:15 PM and will be broadcast on APLTV. The weather forecast suggests a warm evening with a light breeze and clear skies, providing ideal conditions for an outdoor game.

Both teams enter this game with identical season records of 45-30. The Mets, managed by Carlos Mendoza, have a road record of 18-20. Meanwhile, the Phillies, under the guidance of manager Rob Thomson, hold a home record of 24-13. On the mound, the Mets will start Blade Tidwell, while the Phillies will counter with Zack Wheeler. Wheeler has an impressive ERA of 2.76 compared to Tidwell’s 14.73.

Mets vs Phillies Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies
• Venue: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA
• Date: Friday, June 20, 2025
• Betting Odds: Phillies MoneyLine -235, Mets MoneyLine +200

The Mets Can Win If…

The New York Mets are looking to bounce back after a tough series against the Atlanta Braves. In their most recent game, they fell 7-1, with Clay Holmes pitching 4 2/3 innings and allowing three earned runs. Despite the loss, Tyrone Taylor showed promise with a run scored, and Brandon Nimmo and Starling Marte each contributed a double.

The Mets’ strong offensive stats this season provide hope for a win. They rank 5th in on-base percentage at .326 and 6th in slugging percentage at .416. With 93 home runs, they are also 6th in the league, indicating their ability to score runs quickly.

Key players like Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor are crucial for the Mets’ success. Alonso leads the team with 17 home runs and 63 RBIs, while Lindor has added 14 home runs and 38 RBIs. If these players perform well, the Mets can have a strong chance to come out on top against the Phillies.

The Phillies Can Win If…

The Philadelphia Phillies are coming off a tight 2-1 win against the Miami Marlins. Cristopher Sánchez played a key role, pitching eight innings and allowing only one run. Kyle Schwarber also contributed with a solo home run, showing his power at the plate.

The Phillies have a strong lineup that ranks 4th in batting average and 3rd in on-base percentage this season. Kyle Schwarber is a standout with 23 home runs, ranking 1st on the team and 4th in the league. Their pitching staff is also solid, with Zack Wheeler posting a 2.76 ERA and a 7-2 record.

Philadelphia’s defense is bolstered by a league-leading 41 quality starts. This consistency on the mound helps keep opponents’ scoring in check. With Wheeler starting against the Mets, who have Blade Tidwell with a high 14.73 ERA, the Phillies have a good chance to secure another win.

The Lean

The Phillies are favored with a moneyline of -235, while the Mets are at +200. The Phillies have a stronger batting average and on-base percentage, ranking 4th and 3rd, respectively. Given their top-ranked earned run average of 3.08, the Phillies are likely to win. My model projects a score of Phillies 5, Mets 3.

The over/under line is set at 8.5. The Phillies’ pitching, with a .229 batting average against, suggests a low-scoring game. The Mets’ pitching ranks 15th in ERA, which might allow some runs. My model projects a total score of 8, so the recommendation is to take the under.

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Zack Wheeler, Phillies Take Aim at Reeling Mets in Series Opener

For Zack Wheeler and the surging Philadelphia Phillies, this weekend’s home series with the struggling New York Mets carries the kind of familiar midseason stakes these NL East rivals have shared before — think 2007 and 2008.

Wheeler (7-2, 2.76 ERA) will start Friday’s opener, looking to help the Phillies continue their red-hot stretch and climb past the Mets atop the NL East. The Phillies have erased a 5.5-game deficit in less than two weeks, pulling into a tie with New York at 45-30 after Thursday’s 2-1 win over the Miami Marlins.

“I really feel good about what we did here,” Phillies manager Rob Thomson said after the win in Miami. “Now we’ve got to move on. We’ve got to face a really good club. And we’ve got our fan base in front of us, and it will be an exciting weekend.”

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Phillies Surging, Mets Reeling

Philadelphia enters having won seven of its last eight games, while the Mets arrive battered after six straight losses — their longest skid since last June. New York has been outscored 41-14 during the downturn, suffering sweeps by both the Atlanta Braves and Tampa Bay Rays.

To make matters worse, the Mets’ rotation is suddenly thin. With Tylor Megill (elbow), Kodai Senga (hamstring), and Max Kranick (elbow) all now on the IL, rookie Blade Tidwell (0-1, 14.73 ERA) will be recalled to start Friday. Tidwell took the loss in his lone MLB outing on May 4, allowing six runs in 3 2/3 innings vs. the St. Louis Cardinals.

“It seemed like we were finding ways to win ballgames,” said Mets outfielder Brandon Nimmo. “It’s something you’ve just got to face, get through it, and try to get to the other side as quickly as possible.”

Wheeler in Familiar Spot vs. Mets

For Wheeler, Friday’s start offers another chapter in a career-long rivalry. The former Mets starter is 5-5 with a 3.53 ERA in 16 career outings vs. his old club. He earned the win in his last start on Sunday, tossing six sharp innings in an 11-4 rout of Toronto.

With Kyle Schwarber staying hot — his tie-breaking homer on Thursday was his 17th — and the bullpen continuing to shine, the Phillies appear primed to capitalize on a Mets team that is searching for answers.

After dominating much of the first half, New York will hope its young arms can hold up in front of what promises to be a loud, energized Citizens Bank Park crowd this weekend.

If Philadelphia can ride Wheeler’s arm to another series-opening win Friday, the echoes of those 2007 and 2008 NL East chases will only grow louder.

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