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Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres July 1st 2025
The San Diego Padres are set to play against the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. This night game will take place on Tuesday, July 1, 2025, at 6:35 PM. Fans can catch the action on the SDPA channel.
The Padres, led by manager Mike Schildt, hold a 45-39 record this season. On the other side, the Phillies, managed by Rob Thomson, have a 50-35 record. The starting pitchers are Nick Pivetta for the Padres and Cristopher Sánchez for the Phillies.
Padres vs Phillies Key Information
- Sport: Baseball
- Teams: San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA
- Date: Tuesday, July 1, 2025
- Betting Odds: Phillies MoneyLine -173, Padres MoneyLine +144
The Padres Can Win If…
The San Diego Padres are coming off a tough loss to the Philadelphia Phillies, where they fell 0-4. Despite the loss, Xander Bogaerts showed consistency, going 3-for-4 with a double. Luis Arraez also contributed with two hits, maintaining his strong batting average of .286.
Key stats show the Padres have a solid pitching lineup, ranking 8th in earned run average at 3.67 and 4th in batting average against at .229. Their starting pitcher, Nick Pivetta, holds an impressive ERA of 3.36 and a WHIP of 1.03. These numbers suggest that the Padres have the potential to limit the Phillies’ offense.
San Diego’s offense has depth, with Manny Machado leading the team with 13 home runs and a .293 batting average. Gavin Sheets and Fernando Tatis Jr. add power to the lineup with their combined 28 home runs. The Padres’ lineup is capable of turning hits into runs, which could be key to winning the next game.
The Phillies Can Win If…
The Philadelphia Phillies are coming off a strong 4-0 win against the San Diego Padres. Zack Wheeler was outstanding, pitching 8 innings with 10 strikeouts and no runs allowed. Nick Castellanos contributed with a home run, adding to the team’s confidence for the next game.
The Phillies’ batting lineup is a key reason for their winning potential. They hold a .254 team batting average, ranking 6th in the league. With players like Kyle Schwarber, who has 25 home runs, they are capable of putting up big numbers on the scoreboard.
On the mound, Cristopher Sánchez will start for the Phillies, boasting a 2.79 ERA. The team ranks 1st in quality starts, showing their pitching depth. With both strong hitting and pitching, the Phillies are well-positioned to secure another win.
The Lean
The Phillies are favored with a moneyline of -173 against the Padres at +144. The Phillies have a better batting average and on-base percentage, ranking 6th and 3rd respectively, compared to the Padres. The model projects the Phillies to win with a score of 5-3. Based on these factors, the recommendation is to pick the Phillies to win straight up.
The over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The Phillies and Padres both have strong pitching, with ERAs ranked 8th and 9th. The model projects a total score of 8 runs. Given the strong pitching and projected total, the recommendation is to take the under for this game.
Stay Ahead of the Diamond
MLB Data & Insights
Phillies’ Pitching Competition Continues as Sanchez Faces Padres
There is a friendly but fierce competition brewing within the Philadelphia Phillies’ starting rotation. After Zack Wheeler tossed eight scoreless innings in the series opener, the bar has been set high. Now, the spotlight turns to Cristopher Sanchez, who will try to outdo his teammate on Tuesday night as the Philadelphia Phillies continue their home series against the San Diego Padres.
The All-Star Candidate
Sanchez (6-2, 2.79 ERA) is making a strong case for his second consecutive All-Star selection. The left-hander was dominant in June, posting a sparkling 1.85 ERA in five starts. His success comes from a devastating pitch mix, particularly his changeup.
“He’s so good against lefties, it makes you put the righties in there — but then his changeup is so devastating to them,” said Phillies reliever Matt Strahm. “So it’s a great equalizer.”
After Wheeler’s gem on Monday, the ace had a simple message for his teammate: “Hopefully Sanchy can beat me tomorrow.”
Pivetta’s Philly Problem
The Padres will counter with a pitcher who knows Philadelphia well. Right-hander Nick Pivetta (8-2, 3.36 ERA) pitched for the Phillies from 2017-20. While he is coming off a fantastic start where he threw seven shutout innings, he has historically struggled against his former team, posting a 9.00 career ERA against them. This “revenge game” narrative is a fascinating one, a topic often discussed in our expert betting guide.
A Tale of Two Offenses
The pitching matchup on paper heavily favors the Phillies, especially given the state of the Padres’ offense. San Diego was shut out on Monday and has scored just 10 total runs over its last five games. The Phillies, meanwhile, are manufacturing runs with great baserunning and situational hitting, and they now have their superstar, Bryce Harper, back in the lineup. This matchup will be a key focus on the scores and odds board.
For two MLB teams with playoff aspirations, this series is an important measuring stick. To see if our experts think Sanchez can continue the Phillies’ pitching dominance, check out our daily MLB picks.
