Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins Picks and Predictions June 9th 2025

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins June 9th 2025

The Miami Marlins will take on the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park on Monday, June 9, 2025. The game starts at 6:40 PM and will be broadcast on FS1. The weather forecast predicts light rain with a mild breeze.

The Marlins, managed by Clayton McCullough, have a 24-39 record this season. They are 16 games behind in the NL East. On the other side, the Pirates, led by Don Kelly, hold a 26-40 record and are 14 games behind in the NL Central. Eury Pérez will start for the Marlins, while Mike Burrows will pitch for the Pirates.

Marlins vs Pirates Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
• Venue: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA
• Date: Monday, June 9, 2025
• Betting Odds: Pirates MoneyLine -116, Marlins MoneyLine -104

The Marlins Can Win If…

The Miami Marlins recently played a close game against the Tampa Bay Rays, losing 2-3. Anthony Veneziano pitched well, allowing no runs in his 2 innings. Heriberto Hernandez led the team with a perfect 3-for-3 at the plate.

Despite the loss, the Marlins have shown they can score. In their previous game against the Rays, they won 11-10 with 13 hits, including 5 extra-base hits. Jesús Sánchez was a standout, driving in 5 runs with a home run.

The Marlins have a solid lineup with players like Xavier Edwards, who has a .283 average, and Kyle Stowers, who has 10 home runs. They also have speed on the bases, ranking 8th in stolen bases. With Eury Pérez starting, they have a chance to win against the Pirates.

The Pirates Can Win If…

The Pittsburgh Pirates are coming off a 2-1 win against the Philadelphia Phillies. Pitcher Paul Skenes was impressive, allowing only two hits and no earned runs over 7 2/3 innings. Jared Triolo and Andrew McCutchen each contributed with key hits, driving in the team’s two runs.

The Pirates have shown they can win close games, as seen in their recent one-run victories. Their pitching staff ranks 16th in ERA and 12th in batting average against, which helps keep games tight. With 29 quality starts, they are ranked 3rd, indicating strong performances from their starters.

Andrew McCutchen is a key player to watch, with a .249 batting average and 19 RBIs this season. Isiah Kiner-Falefa is another standout, hitting .303 and leading the team in runs. With Mike Burrows starting on the mound, the Pirates will look to continue their recent success at home against the Miami Marlins.

Ready to cash in on your baseball knowledge? Check out today's top MLB picks and predictions from the pros!

The Lean

The Pirates are favored with a MoneyLine of -116, while the Marlins are at -104. The Pirates have a stronger pitching staff, with a 3.94 ERA compared to the Marlins’ 5.04 ERA. My model projects the Pirates to win 5-3, so the recommendation is to pick the Pirates to win straight up.

The total for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Marlins have a higher batting average, but the Pirates’ pitching should limit their scoring. With my model projecting a total score of 8 runs, the recommendation is to take the under 8.5.

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Eury Perez Returns as Marlins Face Surging Pirates

The Miami Marlins are about to get a much-needed boost as top pitching prospect Eury Perez makes his long-awaited return on Monday against the Pittsburgh Pirates. This will be Perez’s first Major League start since September 20, 2023, following his Tommy John surgery.

Perez was electric in his 2023 debut season, going 5-1 with a 1.34 ERA in his first nine starts. His strikeout-to-walk ratio was impressive—54 punchouts to just 15 free passes. And it’s worth noting that his lone career start against the Pirates was a gem: six scoreless innings, four hits allowed, one walk, and nine strikeouts.

After battling SI joint inflammation last September and then elbow issues in Spring Training, Perez went through an extensive rehab. His return couldn’t come at a better time for a Marlins team that has dropped six of its last seven games.

“It’s been a long time coming,” Perez said. “I’m just excited to compete again.”

Pirates on a Roll With New Leadership

The Pirates are trending up under interim manager Don Kelly, going 14-14 since replacing Derek Shelton. They enter Monday on a three-game win streak and just completed their first sweep of the season—against the Philadelphia Phillies, no less.

Rookie Mike Burrows will start for Pittsburgh. The right-hander is 1-1 with a 5.27 ERA but is riding high after earning his first big-league win last Wednesday. He shut out the Houston Astros over 5 1/3 innings, allowing just five hits and striking out six.

The Pirates bullpen has also been stepping up, with rookies Braxton Ashcraft and Isaac Mattson playing pivotal roles in recent tight wins. Ashcraft picked up his first save on Sunday, entering a 2-1 game in the eighth and getting the final four outs. Mattson was equally clutch the day before, escaping a high-leverage jam and holding off the Phillies.

“Being able to help the team win at this level, it’s a dream,” Mattson said.

With Perez back and Burrows gaining confidence, Monday’s series opener offers a compelling mix of potential and pressure. For the Marlins, it’s about shaking off a rough stretch. For the Pirates, it’s about keeping momentum alive.

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