Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins Picks and Predictions June 10th 2025

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins MLB Tue, Jun 10, 17:40 pm.
Pittsburgh Pirates
ML: -137
0
3
Miami Marlins
ML: 110
Last Updated on

The Miami Marlins will take on the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park on Tuesday, June 10, 2025. This night game will begin at 6:40 PM and can be watched on SN PT. The weather forecast predicts a warm day with a light breeze and light rain.

The Marlins, managed by Clayton McCullough, have a season record of 24-40. They struggle on the road with a 10-20 record. The Pirates, led by Don Kelly, hold a 27-40 record and are 18-18 at home. Sandy Alcantara will pitch for the Marlins, while Mitch Keller starts for the Pirates.

Marlins vs Pirates Key Information

  • Sport: Baseball
  • Teams: Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
  • Venue: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA
  • Date: Tuesday, June 10, 2025
  • Betting Odds: Marlins MoneyLine -110, Pirates MoneyLine -138

The Marlins Can Win If…

The Miami Marlins are looking to bounce back after a tough 3-10 loss against the Pittsburgh Pirates. Despite the loss, Otto Lopez showed his power with a home run, and Heriberto Hernandez added two hits. The Marlins will aim to build on these individual performances as they prepare for their next game.

The Marlins have strong stats that could lead them to victory. They rank 10th in doubles with 100 this season, showing their ability to hit for extra bases. Their speed on the bases is also a factor, ranking 8th in stolen bases with 48, which could put pressure on opposing defenses.

Miami Marlins pitcher in gray uniform delivers a pitch during an MLB game

Key players like Xavier Edwards and Jesús Sánchez will be vital in the Marlins’ efforts. Edwards holds a solid batting average of .283, while Sánchez has contributed four home runs this season. With Sandy Alcantara on the mound, the Marlins will look to support him with strong offensive play to secure a win.


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The Pirates Can Win If…

The Pittsburgh Pirates are coming off a strong win against the Miami Marlins, with a score of 10-3. Andrew McCutchen led the charge with three hits and two runs. The team collected 15 hits, showing their ability to rack up base hits and keep the pressure on the opposing pitchers.

One of the reasons the Pirates can win is their strong pitching. Their team ERA is 3.94, which ranks 16th in the league. Mitch Keller, the starting pitcher, has a WHIP of 1.27, indicating his ability to limit baserunners.

 Pittsburgh Pirates pitcher in black uniform throws a pitch during an MLB game

The Pirates also excel in stealing bases, ranking 3rd in the league with 61 stolen bases. This speed can disrupt opposing defenses and create scoring opportunities. With players like Oneil Cruz and Bryan Reynolds, the Pirates have the potential to score runs in bunches.

The Lean

The Pirates are favored with a moneyline of -138 against the Marlins at -110. The Pirates have a better pitching staff with a 3.94 ERA, ranked 16th, compared to the Marlins’ 5.04 ERA, ranked 27th. Our model projects the Pirates to win with a score of 5-3, making the Pirates a solid pick for the moneyline.

The total for this game is set at 8.0 runs. The Marlins’ pitching struggles suggest more runs, but the Pirates’ strong pitching could limit scoring. Our model projects a total score of 8 runs, aligning with the line. Therefore, the recommendation is to take the push on the total of 8.0 runs.

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Mitch Keller, Sandy Alcantara Eye Rare Wins as Pirates Host Marlins

Two pitchers looking to regain consistency will take center stage Tuesday as the Pittsburgh Pirates host the struggling Miami Marlins at PNC Park.

Both Sandy Alcantara and Mitch Keller have faced their share of challenges this season. Now, with each aiming to deliver a rare win, their performances could prove pivotal for their respective clubs.

“Right now, it feels way better,” Alcantara said after his most recent start. “You have to start from the bottom, step by step, and today I think I made a great step. It seems today, everything will change.”


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Alcantara Seeking Another Step Forward

Alcantara (2-7, 7.89 ERA), the former Cy Young Award winner, finally showed signs of life in his last outing against the Rockies. He allowed just two runs on four hits over six innings, marking only the second time this season he’s lasted that long in a start.

Before that performance, Alcantara had endured a brutal stretch, surrendering four or more runs in six straight starts. While he hasn’t regained full form since returning from Tommy John surgery, both the Marlins and Alcantara hope his last outing was a turning point.

Alcantara also fared well in his season debut against the Pirates, allowing only two runs over 4 2/3 innings while striking out seven. Lifetime against Pittsburgh, he holds a 1-0 record with a 3.03 ERA across seven appearances.

Pirates Riding a Winning Streak

The Pirates have turned things around with a season-high four-game winning streak. They’ll look to keep rolling with Keller (1-8, 4.13 ERA) on the mound, though the right-hander is seeking his first win since March 28 — ironically, against the Marlins.

Keller struggled in his last start, giving up six runs in 6 1/3 innings during an 8-2 loss to the Astros. The game began after a lengthy rain delay, which the Pirates felt disrupted both rhythm and focus.

“Yeah, it’s not ideal,” Keller said. “It sucks for everybody involved. Everyone’s got to go through it. Yeah, it sucks.”

Despite the rough outing, Keller continues to provide stability, going six or more innings in six consecutive starts. His durability will be key against a Marlins lineup that has lost seven of its past eight games.

Trade Rumors Swirling Around Both Pitchers

Both Alcantara and Keller remain hot topics in trade discussions. If Alcantara can sustain his recent form, it could boost both Miami’s chances of turning the season around and his value on the trade market.

Similarly, Keller is one of several Pirates starters drawing interest from contenders. A strong outing Tuesday could further enhance his appeal.

In their prior matchup this season, Keller held the Marlins to one run over six innings. He is 2-0 with a 3.06 ERA in seven career starts versus Miami — a trend the Pirates would love to see continue.

Bettors eager to find an edge in this matchup can benefit from diving into the latest MLB picks and betting insights for expert breakdowns and trends.


Stay ahead of the action with trusted MLB betting tips and advice from seasoned pros.

spread
moneyline
over/under
Pittsburgh Pirates
-
-
-137
O 8.5
100
Miami Marlins
-
-
110
U 8.5
-125
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