Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Mets June 29th 2025
The New York Mets will take on the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park on Sunday, June 29, 2025. The game is set to start at 1:35 PM and will be broadcast on WPIX. Fans can expect a warm afternoon with scattered clouds, perfect for an outdoor game.
The Mets, managed by Carlos Mendoza, have a record of 48-36 and are leading the NL East. They have performed well at home but have struggled a bit on the road with a 19-24 record. The Pirates, led by Don Kelly, hold a 34-50 record and are 15 games back in the NL Central. At home, they have a slightly better record of 22-21. Starting on the mound for the Mets is Frankie Montas, while Mike Burrows will pitch for the Pirates.
Mets vs Pirates Key Information
- Sport: Baseball
- Teams: New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
- Venue: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA
- Date: Sunday, June 29, 2025
- Betting Odds: Mets MoneyLine -153, Pirates MoneyLine +129
The Mets Can Win If…
The New York Mets are coming off a tough 2-9 loss against the Pittsburgh Pirates. Despite the loss, the Mets showed some offensive potential with 10 hits, including three extra-base hits. Pete Alonso was a bright spot, going 2-for-4 with a run scored, while Francisco Lindor added a double and a run.
The Mets have strong season stats that can help them win this game. They rank 5th in both on-base percentage (.323) and slugging percentage (.417). Their ability to hit home runs is also a strength, with 108 homers, placing them 6th in the league.
Frankie Montas will be on the mound for the Mets, bringing an impressive ERA of 0.00. The Mets’ pitching staff ranks 2nd in earned run average at 3.38 and has given up the fewest home runs in the league with 60. With Montas leading the charge, the Mets have a solid chance to secure a win.
The Pirates Can Win If…
The Pittsburgh Pirates are on a roll after their recent games against the New York Mets. They secured a 9-2 win on June 28th, with Andrew McCutchen and Ke’Bryan Hayes each contributing two hits and two RBIs. Joey Bart also added two hits and an RBI, helping the team to a strong offensive performance with 12 hits in total.
The Pirates have shown they can hit well, with a team batting average of .231, which ranks 14th. They also excel in stolen bases, ranking 5th with 74 on the season. Their pitching staff has been reliable, with a team ERA of 3.81, placing them 13th in the league.
Mike Burrows will take the mound for the Pirates, bringing a 4.45 ERA into the game. The Pirates have a solid defense, with a batting average against of .233, ranking 6th. This combination of strong hitting, speed on the bases, and reliable pitching gives the Pirates a good chance to win their next game.
The Lean
The Mets are the favorite with a moneyline of -153. The Pirates are the underdog at +129. Given the Mets’ strong pitching, ranking 2nd in ERA at 3.38, and their solid hitting stats, they are likely to win. The model projects a score of Mets 5, Pirates 3.
The over/under line is set at 9.0. The Mets have a strong pitching staff, and the Pirates’ hitting ranks low in several categories. This suggests a lower-scoring game. The model projects a total of 8 runs, so the recommendation is to take the under.
Pirates’ Hot Bats Go for Sweep of Slumping, Banged-Up Mets
The Pittsburgh Pirates have struggled to score runs for most of the season, but you wouldn’t know it from their weekend series against the New York Mets. The Pittsburgh Pirates will look to continue their offensive explosion and secure a rare three-game series sweep when they host the slumping New York Mets on Sunday afternoon.
“Hitting is Contagious”
The Pirates have put on a show in the first two games of this series, scoring nine runs in each contest. For a team that has spent much of the year near the bottom of the league in offense, the outburst has been a massive confidence booster.
“Hitting is contagious, keep the line rolling and give guys a chance to get up there and do some damage,” said Pirates catcher Joey Bart after Saturday’s win. “We’ve been doing a good job of that lately.”
A Free-Fall for the Mets
While the Pirates are surging, the Mets are in a complete free-fall. They have lost 12 of their last 15 games and are watching their season slip away. Their biggest issue has been a starting rotation that has been decimated by injuries, with the latest blow being a season-ending Achilles injury to one of their key starters this week. The impact of injuries on a team’s performance is a major topic in our expert betting guide.

Can Montas Be the Stopper?
The Mets will turn to veteran right-hander Frankie Montas (0-0, 0.00 ERA) to stop the bleeding. Montas was excellent in his season debut on Tuesday after returning from the injured list, tossing five scoreless innings against the Braves. He explained that his poor rehab numbers were a matter of him building up strength, not a reflection of his current form.
“When I was in the minors, I was just trying to get my pitches in,” Montas said. “My opportunity (now) is to do my job – get people out.”
A Rookie on Short Rest
The Pirates will counter with rookie right-hander Mike Burrows (1-2, 4.45), who will be pitching on just three days’ rest after a solid relief appearance on Wednesday. The pitching matchup between a veteran trying to be a stopper and a rookie in an unusual situation will be a key focus on the scores and odds board. For two MLB teams heading in opposite directions, this finale is crucial. To see who our experts think will win, check out our daily MLB picks.