Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Diego Padres Picks and Predictions May 3rd 2025

Padres’ Momentum Hits a Speed Bump with Fernando Tatis Jr.’s Injury Scare

Just when the San Diego Padres were gaining traction with key players returning from injuries, their star right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. emerged as a fresh concern ahead of Saturday’s road matchup against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Tatis, who’s been tearing it up with a .345 batting average, .419 OBP, and 8 home runs, was struck on the left forearm by a pitch during the third inning of Friday’s 9-4 win at PNC Park. Initial medical reports diagnosed him with a left forearm contusion, and immediate swelling raised fears of a potential layoff.

“I feel good. Just a little bit sore,” Tatis said postgame. “Gonna sleep on it, see how it feels (Saturday), and we’ll go from there.”

Timing Couldn’t Be Worse: Padres Just Getting Healthy Again

Tatis’ injury casts a shadow over what was shaping up to be a resurgence for the Padres. Recent returns of Luis Arraez and Jason Heyward had sparked optimism. On Friday, Brandon Lockridge also rejoined the squad from the injured list, further strengthening the roster. Young infielder Jackson Merrill is expected back within the next week, boosting hopes for a complete lineup.

The Padres’ offense has clicked recently, with three straight wins and 14 hits on Friday despite hitting just one home run (by Gavin Sheets). Their resurgence is happening just as they begin a critical stretch of the season.

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Saturday Showdown: Vasquez vs. Falter – Who Has the Edge?

Randy Vasquez (Padres)

• Record: 1-3
• ERA: 4.28
• Last Start: 4.2 IP, 3 ER, 5 H vs. Rays
• Career vs. Pirates: 3.86 ERA in 2 appearances (1 start)

Vasquez has struggled with efficiency, often failing to get deep into games. He’ll look to rebound against a Pirates lineup that’s been inconsistent.

Bailey Falter (Pirates)

• Record: 1-3
• ERA: 5.93
• Last Start: 4.1 IP, 7 R (5 ER), 8 H vs. Dodgers
• Career vs. Padres: 7.36 ERA in 3.2 innings

Falter has had command issues, and his track record against San Diego doesn’t inspire confidence. According to manager Derek Shelton, “He was inconsistent with his command and didn’t look sharp.”

Pirates Looking to Snap Skid, Lean on Oneil Cruz’s Speed

While the Padres ride a hot streak, the Pirates are desperate to avoid a three-game losing streak. Their offensive bright spot? Oneil Cruz, who stole two bases Friday, extending his streak to 34 straight successful steals — one of the longest active runs in MLB.

In roster moves:

• The Pirates recalled infielder Liover Peguero from Triple-A Indianapolis.
• Right-hander Hunter Stratton was optioned to the minors.

Managerial Mastery: Mike Shildt Dominates at PNC Park

Padres manager Mike Shildt improved to an astonishing 26-5 career record at PNC Park with Friday’s win. The former St. Louis Cardinals skipper appears to have Pittsburgh’s number, and his experience could be pivotal if Tatis Jr. sits out.

What’s at Stake on Saturday?

A win for San Diego would cement their return to form, even if Tatis is sidelined. A loss — especially against a struggling Pirates starter — could raise questions about the team’s depth and resilience without their superstar. Don’t miss out on our Daily Baseball Picks from MLB Expert Handicappers

Conclusion: All Eyes on Tatis Jr. as Padres Aim to Sustain Momentum

Saturday’s game between the Padres and Pirates holds more weight than just standings. It’s about how the Padres adapt without their MVP-caliber right fielder, and whether San Diego can continue their winning rhythm. With pitching questions on both sides and lineup shakeups looming, expect an unpredictable but critical clash.