Pittsburgh Pirates vs St. Louis Cardinals Picks and Predictions June 30th 2025

Pittsburgh Pirates vs St. Louis Cardinals MLB Mon, Jun 30, 17:40 pm.
Pittsburgh Pirates
ML: 105
0
0
St. Louis Cardinals
ML: -133
Last Updated on

The St. Louis Cardinals will play against the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA. This game is set for Monday, June 30, 2025, at 6:40 PM. The weather forecast calls for a warm evening with light rain and calm winds.

St. Louis comes into this game with a record of 47-38, sitting 2 games back in the NL Central. They have a balanced road record of 21-21. Pittsburgh holds a 35-50 record, 14 games back in the same division. The Pirates have a slightly better home record of 23-21. Erick Fedde will start for the Cardinals, while Andrew Heaney takes the mound for the Pirates. Both pitchers have identical win-loss records of 3-7 this season.

Cardinals vs Pirates Key Information

  • Sport: Baseball
  • Teams: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
  • Venue: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA
  • Date: Monday, June 30, 2025
  • Betting Odds: Cardinals MoneyLine -123, Pirates MoneyLine +104

The Cardinals Can Win If…

The St. Louis Cardinals are coming off a strong performance, winning 7-0 against the Cleveland Guardians. Matthew Liberatore pitched six scoreless innings, allowing only three hits. Nolan Gorman and Victor Scott II each hit home runs, contributing to the team’s 11 hits.

The Cardinals have shown strong hitting stats this season. They rank 4th in batting average with .255 and 5th in on-base percentage at .323. Their 145 doubles also rank them 4th, showcasing their ability to get extra-base hits.

Erick Fedde will start for the Cardinals in the upcoming game. He has an ERA of 4.11 and a WHIP of 1.36. With their recent form and hitting power, the Cardinals have a solid chance to win against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

The Pirates Can Win If…

The Pittsburgh Pirates are coming off a strong 12-1 win against the New York Mets. In that game, Oneil Cruz hit two home runs, driving in four runs. Ke’Bryan Hayes also had a solid performance, going 3 for 5 with two doubles and two RBIs.

Offensively, the Pirates have been consistent, with a team batting average of .234, ranking 13th in the league. They are also strong in stolen bases, ranking 5th with 74 steals. Their ability to get on base and move runners is key to their recent success.

On the mound, Andrew Heaney will start for the Pirates. Heaney has a WHIP of 1.25, showing his ability to limit base runners. With a recent win streak and strong performances from their lineup, the Pirates are in a good position to continue their winning ways.

The Lean

The Cardinals are the favorites with a moneyline of -123. The Pirates are the underdogs at +104. Given the Cardinals’ stronger batting average and on-base percentage, picking the Cardinals to win is reasonable. My model projects a score of Cardinals 5, Pirates 4.

The over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The Cardinals’ hitting ranks high in batting average, while the Pirates have a solid earned run average. My model projects a total of 9 runs, so taking the over is recommended.

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A Clash of Streaks: Hot Pirates Host Surging Cardinals

Two National League Central rivals playing their best baseball of the season will clash on Monday night as the surging St. Louis Cardinals visit the Pittsburgh Pirates to open a three-game series. The Cardinals are winning with dominant pitching, while the Pirates are coming off a historic offensive weekend.

Pittsburgh’s Power Display

The Pirates’ offense, which has struggled for most of the year, exploded over the weekend against the Mets. They scored 30 runs in a three-game sweep, their best offensive series since 1999. The charge has been led by third baseman Ke’Bryan Hayes, who is in the middle of an eight-game hitting streak, batting .448 during that span.

St. Louis’s Pitching Prowess

While the Pirates are winning with their bats, the Cardinals are getting it done on the mound. They are coming off a three-game sweep of their own against the Guardians, a series that included a complete-game one-hitter from Sonny Gray and a combined three-hit shutout. St. Louis has now won 10 of its last 13 games and is firmly in the NL playoff picture. Their offense has been led by Nolan Gorman, who hit .264 with five homers in a breakout month of June.

Ke'Bryan Hayes of the Pittsburgh Pirates at bat during a game.

A Duel of Redemption

Monday’s pitching matchup features a fascinating and symmetrical storyline: two veteran pitchers who are both coming off disastrous seven-run outings. The Cardinals will start right-hander Erick Fedde (3-7, 4.11 ERA), who felt his last start “ruins” what had been a good month for him. He will look to repeat his performance from earlier this season, when he threw six no-hit innings against these same Pirates.

The Pirates will counter with lefty Andrew Heaney (3-7, 4.48), who has been shelled in each of his last two starts. “I’ve always been sort of a streakier pitcher,” Heaney said. “I can go on some pretty good runs, and then I can throw some pretty bad ones in a row.” This duel between two pitchers seeking a rebound will be a key focus on the scores and odds board.

Divisional Stakes

This series is a classic battle of strength against strength—the Pirates’ hot bats versus the Cardinals’ dominant pitching. How these opposing forces match up is a key topic in our expert betting guide. For two MLB teams in the same division, these games always have extra intensity. To see who our experts think will win the opener, check out our daily MLB picks.

spread
moneyline
over/under
Pittsburgh Pirates
-
-
105
O 8.5
-125
St. Louis Cardinals
-
-
-133
U 8.5
100
Mike Williams
Mike Williams | Handicapper

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Mike uses his strong sports knowledge to analyze all the angles to find the most profitable wagers. Iron Mike handicaps MLB, college football, NFL, NBA, and NCAA basketball. I'm an actual sports and gambling junkie!

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