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Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins August 8th 2025
The Miami Marlins take on the Atlanta Braves at Truist Park on Friday, August 8, 2025. The Marlins hold a 56-58 record and sit third in the NL East. They have won six of their last ten games but lost their most recent game.
The Braves, with a record of 48-66, are fourth in the NL East. They have won four of their last ten games and are coming off a win. Edward Cabrera will start for the Marlins, while Bryce Elder takes the mound for the Braves.
Marlins vs Braves Key Information
- Sport: Baseball
- Teams: Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves
- Venue: Truist Park in Atlanta, GA
- Date: Friday, August 8, 2025
- Betting Odds: Marlins Moneyline -116, Braves Moneyline -102, Marlins Runline -1.5 (+144), Braves Runline +1.5 (-173), Total Over 8.0 (-116), Total Under 8.0 (-104)
The Marlins Can Win If…
The Miami Marlins are coming off a close 8-6 loss against the Atlanta Braves. Despite the loss, the Marlins showed strong hitting with 10 hits, including a home run by Graham Pauley. Eury Pérez had a challenging start, but the team’s offense kept them competitive throughout the game.
The Marlins have a solid batting average of .253, ranking 6th in the league. They also have a good number of doubles, ranking 8th with 191, which shows their ability to get runners in scoring position. Xavier Edwards leads the team with a .299 batting average, making him a key player in the lineup.
Edward Cabrera will start for the Marlins with a 3.24 ERA and a WHIP of 1.19. His stats suggest he can limit the Braves’ offense effectively. With Bryce Elder starting for the Braves, who has a higher ERA of 6.03, the Marlins have a chance to capitalize on pitching mismatches.
The Braves Can Win If…
The Atlanta Braves are coming off a win against the Miami Marlins with a score of 8-6. Drake Baldwin was a standout player, going 3-for-5 with two home runs and five RBIs. Marcell Ozuna also contributed with three hits, including a home run.
The Braves have shown strength in their hitting stats this season. They rank 9th in on-base percentage at .317 and have hit 126 home runs, placing them 13th in the league. Their ability to draw walks, ranked 3rd, adds to their offensive capabilities.
Starting pitcher Bryce Elder will take the mound for the Braves. Despite his high ERA of 6.03, the Braves’ offense can provide the needed support. With players like Matt Olson and Austin Riley in the lineup, the Braves have a strong chance to win this game.
The Lean
The Marlins are slightly favored with a moneyline of -116, while the Braves are at -102. The Marlins have a higher batting average and more doubles, which could give them an edge. My model projects the Marlins to win with a score of 5-4. Based on this, I recommend picking the Marlins to win straight up.
The total for the game is set at 8.0 runs. The Marlins’ pitching has a higher earned run average, which might lead to more runs. My model projects a total score of 9 runs. Therefore, I recommend taking the over on the total of 8.0 runs.
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A Glimpse of the Future: Rookie Phenoms Baldwin and Ramirez Clash as Braves Host Marlins
In a season that has been defined by frustration and an unprecedented wave of injuries, the Atlanta Braves are clinging to the promise of the future. That future was on full display on Thursday night in the form of their rookie catcher, Drake Baldwin. After his heroic performance led the Braves to a dramatic comeback victory, the spotlight will once again be on the young backstops as the host Atlanta Braves continue their five-game series against the visiting Miami Marlins and their own rookie sensation, Agustin Ramirez. Friday night’s game is more than just a divisional contest; it is a head-to-head showdown between two of the leading candidates for the National League Rookie of the Year award.
The Baldwin Breakout
The Braves have been searching for a spark all season, a player to inject some life into a lineup that has been ravaged by injuries to its superstars. On Thursday night, they found it in Drake Baldwin. The 24-year-old catcher put the team on his back, hitting two home runs and driving in five runs to lead Atlanta back from a four-run deficit to an 8-6 victory. The performance was so impressive that it earned him a lofty comparison from his manager, Brian Snitker.
“He reminds me of (former Atlanta catcher) Brian McCann a lot,” Snitker said. “Mac came up and was above his years in age behind the plate and as an offensive player, and Drake is right there with him.” That is high praise for a young player, and it is a testament to the fantastic season Baldwin is having. He is currently batting .287 with 13 home runs and 46 RBIs, numbers that have him squarely in the Rookie of the Year conversation. Snitker added, “He’s right there in all the categories, and at the end of the year, if he keeps going like this, it wouldn’t surprise me a bit.”
The table below provides a snapshot of two teams that, while having different overall records, have been playing competitive baseball against each other this season. To review the full box score from their last matchup, you can check the official MLB game results.
| Team | Record | Division Standing | Runs Per Game | Team ERA |
| Miami Marlins | 59-59 | 2nd in NL East | 4.6 | 4.15 |
| Atlanta Braves | 49-68 | 4th in NL East | 4.3 | 4.40 |
The Other Rookie Phenom
The man who may have the most to say about Baldwin’s Rookie of the Year chances will be in the opposing dugout this weekend. Marlins catcher Agustin Ramirez is putting together an equally impressive rookie campaign. The 23-year-old is hitting .242 but has shown immense power, leading all National League rookies in home runs (17) and RBIs (52). His ability to handle a veteran pitching staff while also providing a major power threat in the middle of the lineup has been a huge reason for the Marlins’ own recent success. This head-to-head battle between the two best rookie catchers in the league will be a fascinating storyline to watch throughout the series. The race for MLB’s postseason awards is a key topic in our expert betting guide.
A Tale of Two Pitching Paths
Friday’s pitching matchup is a classic duel of two right-handers who are on completely different trajectories this season. The Marlins will send out Edward Cabrera (5-5, 3.24 ERA), who has been absolutely dominant since the beginning of May. Over his last 15 starts, he has a stellar 2.32 ERA with 83 strikeouts in 81 1/3 innings. “We expect that now, and so does Cabby when he goes out there,” Miami manager Clayton McCullough said. “He has so many weapons he trusts in.”
The Braves will counter with Bryce Elder (4-8, 6.03 ERA), who has struggled for most of the year. However, he is coming off a much-improved start against the Reds, a game in which he made a conscious effort to attack the strike zone. “I think I threw more strikes,” Elder said. “I kind of just accepted if I’m going to get beat, I’m going to get beat with this. I’m not going to back myself in a corner again.”
| Pitcher | W-L (2025) | ERA (2025) | Last 3 Starts ERA |
| Edward Cabrera (MIA) | 5-5 | 3.24 | 2.10 |
| Bryce Elder (ATL) | 4-8 | 6.03 | 7.50 |
The Betting Outlook
The scores and odds for this matchup will likely favor the Marlins, given their better record and the significant advantage on the mound. For more in-depth analysis of this and other games, you can view all of our MLB previews. To see who our experts are backing in this rookie showdown, check out our daily MLB picks. To get access to even more premium content and betting tools, you can register for an account today.
