San Diego Padres vs Boston Red Sox Picks and Predictions August 8th 2025

San Diego Padres vs Boston Red Sox Baseball Fri, Aug 8, 20:40 pm.
San Diego Padres
ML: -200
0
0
Boston Red Sox
ML: 155
Last Updated on

The Boston Red Sox will visit the San Diego Padres at PETCO Park on Friday, August 8, 2025. The Red Sox have a record of 64-52 and sit second in the AL East. They are coming off a loss but have won eight of their last ten games. Manager Alex Cora leads the team with Peter Fatse as the hitting coach and Andrew Bailey as the pitching coach.

The Padres also hold a second-place spot in their division, the NL West, with a 64-51 record. They are currently on a two-game winning streak and have also won eight of their last ten games. Mike Schildt manages the team, with Victor Rodriguez as the hitting coach and Ruben Niebla as the pitching coach. The game will be broadcast on NESN, and the weather is expected to be warm with a light breeze.

Red Sox vs Padres Key Information

  • Sport: Baseball
  • Teams: Boston Red Sox vs. San Diego Padres
  • Venue: PETCO Park in San Diego, CA
  • Date: Friday, August 8, 2025
  • Betting Odds: Red Sox Moneyline +156, Padres Moneyline -186, Red Sox Runline +1.5 (-141), Padres Runline -1.5 (+118), Total Over 8.0 (-105), Total Under 8.0 (-115)

The Red Sox Can Win If…

The Boston Red Sox are coming off a 7-3 loss against the Kansas City Royals. Despite the loss, Romy Gonzalez and Trevor Story had solid performances. Gonzalez went 2-for-4 with two doubles and two RBIs, while Story added two hits and an RBI.

Boston’s lineup has been consistent this season. They rank 5th in batting average at .254 and lead the league in doubles with 239. Their ability to get on base and hit for power makes them a threat in any game.

Walker Buehler will be on the mound for the Red Sox. Although his ERA is 5.75, he has shown the ability to keep games close. With a strong offensive lineup backing him, Boston has a chance to secure a win.

The Padres Can Win If…

The San Diego Padres won their last game against the Arizona Diamondbacks with a score of 3-2. Xander Bogaerts was key, hitting a home run and scoring two runs. Ryan O’Hearn also contributed with a home run, helping the team secure the victory.

The Padres have a strong pitching lineup. Nick Pivetta, their starter for the upcoming game, has an ERA of 2.73 and a WHIP of 0.94. His record of 11-3 shows he can keep the opposing team’s runs low.

The Padres’ lineup features Manny Machado, who leads the team with a .300 batting average and 20 home runs. Their team batting average is .251, ranking them 8th in the league. With a solid mix of power and consistency, the Padres have the tools to win the game.

The Lean

The Padres are favored on the moneyline at -186. With a stronger pitching staff, ranked 3rd in ERA, they have an edge over the Red Sox. My model projects the Padres to win with a score of 5-3. Therefore, the recommendation is to take the Padres on the moneyline.

The total for the game is set at 8.0. Both teams have decent hitting, but the Padres’ pitching should limit the Red Sox. My model projects a combined score of 8. This suggests a close call, but the recommendation is to take the under at 8.0.

sas logo

Stay Ahead of the Diamond

MLB Data & Insights

A Clash of Contenders: New-Look Padres Host Surging Red Sox

It is a marquee interleague showdown, a potential playoff preview between two of the hottest and most talked-about teams in Major League Baseball. The San Diego Padres, newly fortified by a flurry of aggressive trade-deadline acquisitions, will open a three-game home series on Friday night against the visiting Boston Red Sox, a team that has been on an incredible surge ever since making their own controversial trade. This series is a massive test for two clubs with legitimate championship aspirations, a clash of different team-building philosophies, and a chance to see how their new-look rosters stack up against elite competition.

The All-In Padres: “Ready to Go For It”

The San Diego Padres’ front office sent a clear and unmistakable message at the trade deadline: they are all-in. In a whirlwind of moves that involved 22 different players, the Padres aggressively bolstered every facet of their roster for a second-half push. They added starting pitcher JP Sears, elite closer Mason Miller, and veteran outfielders Ramon Laureano and Ryan O’Hearn. The impact has been immediate and profound. The Padres have won nine of their last eleven games and have surged up the National League West standings, now sitting just two games behind the first-place Dodgers. The new additions have brought a new level of energy and belief to the clubhouse.

“Getting these guys is definitely an upgrade, definitely a help,” said superstar third baseman Manny Machado. “It sends a message that we’re ready to win, and we’re going to go for it. They’re putting the faith in us.”

The newcomers are already delivering in big moments. Ryan O’Hearn, who had been struggling since the trade, hit a massive game-tying home run in the ninth inning of Wednesday’s 3-2 comeback victory over the Diamondbacks. “Just got to keep going, keep getting comfortable… and hopefully continue to contribute,” a relieved O’Hearn said. “To do something finally felt good.”

The table below provides a snapshot of two teams that are both playing their best baseball of the season, setting the stage for a fantastic series. For a full recap of their most recent games, you can check the official MLB game results.

TeamRecordDivision StandingRecent Form (Last 10)
Boston Red Sox68-522nd in AL East8-2
San Diego Padres64-562nd in NL West8-2

Addition by Subtraction: The Post-Devers Surge in Boston

While the Padres went all-in on adding players, the Boston Red Sox took the opposite and much more controversial approach. In a move that was widely criticized by the national media in June, the Red Sox traded away their franchise cornerstone, superstar Rafael Devers, to the San Francisco Giants. The move was seen as a white flag, a sign that the team was giving up on the season. Instead, it has had the opposite effect. Since the trade, the Red Sox have been one of the best teams in baseball, posting a remarkable 27-16 record. Their offense is scoring more runs without Devers, and their defense has improved significantly. They are currently on a seven-game winning streak and hold the top wild-card spot in the American League. The psychology of how a team can rally and actually improve after trading away a superstar is a fascinating topic, one often explored in our expert betting guide.

The Pitching Matchup: A Deeper Look

Friday’s game features a fantastic pitching matchup. The Padres will send out their red-hot ace, Nick Pivetta, to face his former team. The Red Sox will counter with their own former ace, Walker Buehler, who has been struggling mightily this season but has a dominant career record against San Diego.

PitcherW-L (2025)ERA (2025)Career vs. Opponent
Nick Pivetta (SD)11-32.730-1, 9.00 ERA
Walker Buehler (BOS)6-65.746-1, 1.80 ERA

The Betting Outlook

The scores and odds for this matchup will be incredibly tight. The Padres are at home and have been playing great, but the Red Sox are on a massive winning streak. For more in-depth analysis of this and other games, you can view all of our MLB previews. To see who our experts are backing in this potential playoff preview, check out our daily MLB picks. To get access to even more premium content and betting tools, you can register for an account today.