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San Diego Padres vs Boston Red Sox August 10th 2025
The Boston Red Sox will visit the San Diego Padres at PETCO Park on Sunday, August 10, 2025. The game is set for 4:10 PM and will be shown on SDPA. The Red Sox have a record of 65-52 and are second in the AL East. They are on a one-game winning streak and have been strong lately, winning eight of their last ten games.
The Padres, also with a record of 64-52, hold the second spot in the NL West. They are coming off a loss but have won seven of their last ten games. The weather at PETCO Park is expected to be clear with a mild temperature and a calm crosswind. Brayan Bello will start for the Red Sox, while Dylan Cease takes the mound for the Padres.
Red Sox vs Padres Key Information
- Sport: Baseball
- Teams: Boston Red Sox vs. San Diego Padres
- Venue: PETCO Park in San Diego, CA
- Date: Sunday, August 10, 2025
- Betting Odds: Red Sox Moneyline +117, Padres Moneyline -138
The Red Sox Can Win If…
The Boston Red Sox recently played against the San Diego Padres, losing 5-4. Alex Bregman had a strong performance with three hits, including two doubles. Jarren Duran also contributed with two hits and one RBI.
Boston’s hitting stats show why they can win. They have the fifth-best batting average in the league at .254. Their ability to hit doubles is unmatched, as they rank first with 241 doubles this season.
Brayan Bello will start on the mound for the Red Sox. He has an ERA of 3.03, which is among the best in the league. With his solid pitching and the team’s strong hitting, the Red Sox have a good chance to win the game.
The Padres Can Win If…
The San Diego Padres are coming off a close win against the Boston Red Sox, with a final score of 5-4. Xander Bogaerts was key, hitting a home run and driving in two runs. Fernando Tatis Jr. also contributed with two hits, showcasing the depth in their lineup.
The Padres have a solid batting average this season, ranking 7th in the league at .251. They also have a strong on-base percentage, sitting in 10th place. Their pitching staff has been effective, with a team ERA of 3.65, ranking 5th in the league.
Manny Machado leads the team with 20 home runs and a .300 batting average. Ryan O’Hearn and Ramón Laureano add power, with 14 and 16 home runs, respectively. With Dylan Cease on the mound, the Padres aim to capitalize on their recent momentum and strong player performances.
The Lean
The Padres are favored with a moneyline of -138 against the Red Sox at +117. The Padres have a strong pitching lineup, ranked 5th in ERA and 2nd in batting average against. My model projects the Padres to win with a score of 5-3, making them a solid pick to win straight up.
The total for the game is set at 8.0 runs, with the over at -105 and the under at -116. Both teams have solid pitching, with the Red Sox ranked 7th in ERA. My model projects a total score of 8 runs, which aligns with the current line. However, given the pitching strengths, the under 8.0 is the recommended pick.
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New-Look Padres, Powered by Laureano, Face Hot Red Sox in Rubber Match
The San Diego Padres went all-in at the trade deadline, and the early returns are paying off in a massive way. After a thrilling walk-off victory on Saturday night, the new-look San Diego Padres will look to clinch a huge series win against one of the hottest teams in baseball, the visiting Boston Red Sox, in a Sunday afternoon rubber match. It is a clash of contenders, a potential playoff preview, and a showcase of how a few key acquisitions can completely change the dynamic of a team.
The Laureano Effect: An Instant Spark
When the Padres acquired outfielder Ramon Laureano from the Baltimore Orioles at the trade deadline, they were hoping to add a veteran presence and some length to their lineup. In his first week with the team, he has been all that and more. Laureano has been the catalyst for the Padres’ recent surge, and his heroics were on full display on Saturday. After drawing a key bases-loaded walk earlier in the game, he stepped to the plate in the bottom of the tenth inning and delivered a walk-off RBI single to give his team a dramatic 5-4 victory.
“Good player; clearly, he’s helping us,” a pleased San Diego manager Mike Shildt said of Laureano. “He takes tough at-bats, and he really helps us in the outfield as well. He’s a winning guy.”
Laureano is just one of several new faces who are making an impact for a Padres team that has now won nine of its last eleven games and has surged into a comfortable wild-card position. The aggressive trade deadline strategy has injected a new level of belief into the clubhouse.
The table below provides a snapshot of two teams that are both playing their best baseball of the season. For a full recap of their most recent games, you can check the official MLB game results.
| Team | Record | Wild Card Standing | Recent Form (Last 10) |
| San Diego Padres | 68-57 | WC #2 (+1.5) | 8-2 |
| Boston Red Sox | 69-54 | WC #1 (+2.5) | 8-2 |
Boston’s Frustrating Fundamentals
While the Padres are celebrating their clutch performance, the Boston Red Sox are lamenting the mental mistakes that cost them the game. Despite being one of the hottest teams in baseball, their loss on Saturday was a frustrating display of self-inflicted wounds. They left 11 runners on base, went just 3-for-14 with runners in scoring position, and had a crucial rally in the eighth inning killed when a runner was tagged out after over-sliding a stolen base.
“Frustrating,” summed up pinch runner David Hamilton, who also failed to get a bunt down in the tenth inning. “I’ve got to do a better job.” These are the kinds of mistakes that can be the difference in a tight playoff race, a key topic for any bettor and one often explored in our expert betting guide.
The Pitching Matchup: A Deeper Look
Sunday’s game features a fantastic pitching matchup between two of the best young right-handers in their respective leagues. The Padres will start Dylan Cease, who is coming off a dominant shutout performance. The Red Sox will counter with Brayan Bello, who has been excellent in his own right.
| Pitcher | W-L (2025) | ERA (2025) | Career vs. Opponent |
| Dylan Cease (SD) | 4-10 | 4.60 | 0-1, 6.85 ERA |
| Brayan Bello (BOS) | 8-5 | 3.03 | First Appearance |
The Betting Outlook
The scores and odds for this matchup will be incredibly tight. For more in-depth analysis of this and other games, you can view all of our MLB previews. To see who our experts are backing in this showdown of contenders, check out our daily MLB picks. To get access to even more premium content and betting tools, you can register for an account today.
