San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Picks and Predictions June 11th 2025

San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers June 11th 2025

The Los Angeles Dodgers will take on the San Diego Padres at PETCO Park on Wednesday, June 11, 2025. The game is set to start at 4:10 PM and will be broadcast on SN LA. Fans can expect an afternoon game with overcast clouds and a mild day with a calm crosswind.

The Dodgers have a season record of 40-27, with a road record of 17-16. Managed by Dave Roberts, the Dodgers aim to add another win to their division record of 8-3. The Padres, managed by Mike Schildt, hold a 37-28 record and a strong home record of 20-11. Starting on the mound for the Dodgers is Justin Wrobleski, while Randy Vásquez will pitch for the Padres.

Dodgers vs Padres Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres
• Venue: PETCO Park in San Diego, CA
• Date: Wednesday, June 11, 2025
• Betting Odds: Dodgers MoneyLine -146, Padres MoneyLine +123

The Dodgers Can Win If…

The Los Angeles Dodgers recently won a close game against the San Diego Padres with an 8-7 score. Will Smith played a key role with a home run and three RBIs. Freddie Freeman also contributed with three hits and one RBI, helping the Dodgers secure the win.

The Dodgers have a strong lineup, leading the league with a .266 batting average. They are second in on-base percentage at .341 and slugging percentage at .461. Their ability to hit home runs, with 103 this season, ranks them second, making them a formidable offensive team.

Shohei Ohtani is a standout player for the Dodgers, with a batting average of .291 and 23 home runs. Freddie Freeman is another key player, boasting a .351 average. With a deep lineup and strong hitters, the Dodgers have the potential to win any game.

The Padres Can Win If…

The San Diego Padres are coming off a close 7-8 loss to the Los Angeles Dodgers. In that game, Jackson Merrill and Tyler Wade each drove in key runs, showing their ability to contribute under pressure. Despite the loss, the Padres’ lineup demonstrated depth, with hits from multiple players, including Fernando Tatis Jr.

For the season, the Padres’ pitching has been strong with a team ERA of 3.49, ranking 6th in the league. Their ability to limit opposing teams’ batting averages to .228, which ranks 5th, is a testament to their solid defense. Randy Vásquez, their starting pitcher for this game, holds a respectable ERA of 3.69, offering a reliable option on the mound.

Offensively, the Padres have some power hitters like Manny Machado, who has a batting average of .320 and 10 home runs. Gavin Sheets leads the team with 11 home runs, providing a consistent threat at the plate. With players like Fernando Tatis Jr. and Luis Arraez setting the table, the Padres have the tools needed to generate runs and secure a win.

The Lean

The Dodgers are favored with a moneyline of -146 against the Padres at +123. Given the Dodgers’ strong batting average and on-base percentage, they are likely to score more runs. My model projects the Dodgers to win with a score of 6-4, making them the pick to win straight up.

The over/under line is set at 9.5. The Dodgers have a higher slugging percentage and home run count, suggesting a potential for high scoring. My model projects a total score of 10 runs. Therefore, the recommendation is to take the over in this game.

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Rivalry Showdown Comes Down to a Day Game Finale

After two wild games filled with drama, it all comes down to this. The San Diego Padres and Los Angeles Dodgers will settle the score in their first heated series of the year with a Wednesday day game in San Diego. With the NL West standings incredibly tight, this isn’t just for bragging rights.

Flushing It and Moving On

This series has been a rollercoaster. The Dodgers walked off the Padres in a thrilling 8-7 extra-inning game on Monday, but San Diego didn’t dwell on it. They stormed back on Tuesday with a commanding 11-1 blowout victory to even the series.

“Last night was fun, and it was a great game,” said Padres center fielder Jackson Merrill. “We flushed it. We have to do the same thing tomorrow.”

The Battle of the Bullpens

The key for Wednesday’s finale? Both bullpens are surprisingly fresh. Padres starter Dylan Cease went seven shutout innings in the blowout win, giving his key relievers a much-needed night off. The Dodgers, meanwhile, waved the white flag early in the rout, using a long reliever and eventually a position player to eat innings and save their top arms. This sets up an “all hands on deck” scenario, which our expert betting guide notes is a crucial factor in close games.

A Shaky Starting Pitcher Matchup

Both teams will likely need their rested relievers early. The Dodgers are starting lefty Justin Wrobleski (1-2, 7.20 ERA), while the Padres counter with righty Randy Vasquez (3-4, 3.69 ERA). Vasquez has struggled with control, issuing a high number of walks, a dangerous habit against a potent Dodgers lineup that gets slugger Will Smith back behind the plate. The scores and odds for this game will heavily depend on which starter can limit the damage.

Dodgers’ Silver Lining

Even in Tuesday’s lopsided loss, the Dodgers got fantastic news. Injured aces Shohei Ohtani, Tyler Glasnow, and Blake Snell all made significant progress in their rehabs and are trending toward returning soon. It was a crucial glimpse of the reinforcements on the way for a team that has championship aspirations.

“Really encouraging,” a pleased Dave Roberts said. “You can start to see us get to the other side.”

This game has huge implications for two of the best MLB teams in the league. To see who our experts think will win this rivalry rubber match, check out our daily MLB picks.