San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Picks and Predictions August 24th 2025

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The Los Angeles Dodgers will play against the San Diego Padres at PETCO Park. The game is set for Sunday, August 24, 2025, at 4:10 PM. The Padres lead the NL West with a record of 74-56, while the Dodgers are just behind with a record of 73-57.

The Dodgers have been on a two-game losing streak, while the Padres have won their last five games. Yoshinobu Yamamoto will start for the Dodgers, bringing a 2.90 ERA and a 10-8 record. Nick Pivetta will pitch for the Padres, boasting a 2.81 ERA and a 13-4 record. The weather is expected to be clear with a mild day and calm wind.

Dodgers vs Padres Key Information

  • Sport: Baseball
  • Teams: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres
  • Venue: PETCO Park in San Diego, CA
  • Date: Sunday, August 24, 2025
  • Betting Odds:
    • Dodgers Moneyline: -110
    • Padres Moneyline: -108
    • Dodgers Runline: -1.5 (+148)
    • Padres Runline: +1.5 (-180)
    • Total Over: 7.5 (-118)
    • Total Under: 7.5 (-102)

The Dodgers Can Win If…

The Los Angeles Dodgers are coming off a 5-1 loss to the San Diego Padres. Despite the loss, Alex Freeland hit a home run, showing his potential at the plate. Tyler Glasnow had a tough outing, but the team looks to bounce back with their strong lineup.

The Dodgers have a potent offense, ranking 2nd in home runs with 192 this season. Shohei Ohtani leads the team with 44 home runs, ranking 3rd in the league. Their batting lineup, including Freddie Freeman and Mookie Betts, provides depth and power.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto will start for the Dodgers, bringing an ERA of 2.90. His solid performance on the mound can keep the Padres’ offense in check. With a strong starting pitcher and a powerful lineup, the Dodgers have the tools to win this game.

The Padres Can Win If…

The San Diego Padres are on a winning streak, having secured a 5-1 victory against the Los Angeles Dodgers in their most recent game. Nestor Cortes led the way with a strong pitching performance, allowing just one hit over six innings. Xander Bogaerts contributed with a key double and two RBIs, helping the Padres maintain their momentum.

The Padres have a solid batting average of .252, ranking 6th in the league. Their on-base percentage is .319, placing them 8th, which shows their ability to get on base and create scoring opportunities. With players like Manny Machado and Fernando Tatis Jr. in the lineup, the Padres have the potential to score runs effectively.

Nick Pivetta is set to start for the Padres, boasting an impressive ERA of 2.81 and a WHIP of 0.94. His record of 13-4 highlights his consistency on the mound. With a strong pitching staff and a lineup capable of producing runs, the Padres are well-positioned to continue their winning ways.

The Lean

The Dodgers are slightly favored with a moneyline of -110. The Padres have a moneyline of -108. My model projects the Dodgers to win 5-3. The Dodgers have strong hitting stats, ranking 3rd in on-base and slugging percentage. This gives them an edge over the Padres’ pitching, which ranks 2nd in ERA.

The total for the game is set at 7.5 runs. My model projects a total of 8 runs. Both teams have solid hitting, with the Dodgers ranking 2nd in home runs. This suggests the game could go over the total of 7.5. The recommendation is to take the over at -118.

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Padres flip the script at Petco Park

What a difference a week makes for the San Diego Padres. Swept out of first place last weekend by the Los Angeles Dodgers, the Padres are now on the verge of returning the favor. With back-to-back wins at Petco Park, San Diego has regained a one-game lead in the NL West heading into Sunday’s finale.

Pitching has been the story. Yu Darvish allowed just one hit in Friday’s 2-1 win, while Nestor Cortes flirted with perfection Saturday, retiring the first 16 batters he faced before settling for a one-hitter over six innings in a 5-1 victory. The Dodgers’ offense — usually one of MLB’s most dangerous — has been held to just two runs on five hits across the first two games.

Ramon Laureano summed it up after Saturday’s win: “It’s a new series and a new mentality.”

Dodgers’ bats go silent

Los Angeles has struggled badly at the plate in this series. Aside from rookie Alex Freeland, who has provided both of the team’s runs via solo homers, the Dodgers’ stars have been quiet. Shohei Ohtani and Will Smith are hitless, while Mookie Betts and Freddie Freeman have just one hit apiece.

Without runs to protect, the Dodgers haven’t been able to showcase the recent returns of relievers Tanner Scott and Kirby Yates, both of whom were activated this weekend but remain unused.

The shift has been dramatic compared to last weekend, when the Dodgers won behind timely hits from the bottom of the order and early runs against Darvish and Dylan Cease.

Sunday’s pitching duel: Pivetta vs Yamamoto

Sunday’s finale sets up as a marquee pitching matchup. The Padres will hand the ball to Nick Pivetta, their most reliable starter this season. The right-hander enters with a 13-4 record and a 2.81 ERA, and he’s coming off a gem against San Francisco where he struck out 10 across six innings.

The Dodgers counter with Yoshinobu Yamamoto, who has been their best starter but has struggled historically against San Diego. The Japanese right-hander is 10-8 with a 2.90 ERA this season but carries an 0-2 record with an 8.03 ERA in three career starts vs the Padres.

Starting PitchersRecordERANotes
Nick Pivetta (SD)13-42.8110 K vs SF in last start; 1-2 career vs LAD
Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LAD)10-82.900-2, 8.03 ERA career vs SD

What’s at stake in the NL West

With the season series wrapping up Sunday, the Padres are looking to end on a high note and solidify their position atop the NL West. A sweep of the Dodgers would mark a huge psychological shift after years of playing second fiddle in the rivalry.

For Los Angeles, it’s about avoiding an embarrassing sweep while reigniting an offense that has gone ice cold. A strong outing from Yamamoto could steady things before the Dodgers head into their next series.

Fans and bettors can check the latest MLB scores and odds and explore MLB picks for insights on whether the Padres can finish the sweep or if the Dodgers punch back.