Padres Chase Wild Win in Series vs Marlins

San Diego Padres vs Miami Marlins May 27th 2025

The Marlins travel to PETCO Park to play against the Padres on Tuesday, May 27, 2025. This night game is set to begin at 9:40 PM. Fans can expect an exciting matchup as both teams aim to secure a win.

Max Meyer will be on the mound for the Marlins. He has an ERA of 4.15 and a WHIP of 1.28. The Padres will counter with Stephen Kolek, who has an ERA of 2.84 and a WHIP of 1.26. Both pitchers will look to give their teams a strong start in this game.

Marlins vs Padres Key Information

Sport: Baseball
Teams: Marlins vs. Padres
Venue: PETCO Park
Date: Tuesday, May 27, 2025
Betting Odds:
- Marlins Spread: +1.5 (-147)
- Padres Spread: -1.5 (+121)
- Marlins MoneyLine: +153
- Padres MoneyLine: -182
- Over/Under: 8.0

The Marlins Can Win If…

The Miami Marlins are coming off a narrow 4-3 loss to the San Diego Padres. Despite the loss, Ryan Weathers delivered a strong performance on the mound. He pitched 5 2/3 innings, allowing no earned runs and striking out six batters. Jesús Sánchez was a standout at the plate, hitting a home run and driving in a run.

The Marlins have shown they can compete with their solid hitting stats this season. They have a .250 team batting average, ranking them 8th in the league. Their ability to steal bases, with 46 stolen bases, places them 9th, adding speed and pressure on the base paths.

Max Meyer will take the mound for the Marlins in the upcoming game. He has a respectable 4.15 ERA and a WHIP of 1.28. With the lineup featuring hitters like Connor Norby, who is batting .287, and Kyle Stowers, who has 10 home runs, the Marlins have the pieces to put runs on the board.

The Padres Can Win If…

The San Diego Padres come into their next game with momentum from a recent win against the Miami Marlins. They edged out a 4-3 victory, thanks to solid performances from Manny Machado and Jose Iglesias. Machado hit a home run, while Iglesias added two RBIs, showing their ability to deliver in key moments.

The Padres have a strong lineup that can make a difference. With a team batting average of .253, they rank 7th in the league. Their pitching staff also stands out, holding a .225 batting average against, which is 3rd best in the league. This combination of hitting and pitching gives them a solid chance to win.

Stephen Kolek will take the mound for the Padres with an impressive ERA of 2.84. His ability to keep runs off the board will be vital against the Marlins. Alongside key hitters like Fernando Tatis Jr. and Gavin Sheets, the Padres have the tools to secure another victory.

The Lean

The Padres are the favorite with a moneyline of -182. They have a strong pitching staff with a 3.54 ERA and a .225 batting average against. The Marlins struggle in pitching with a 5.31 ERA. My model projects the Padres to win with a score of 5-3. The recommendation is to pick the Padres to win straight up.

The over/under line is set at 8.0. The Marlins’ pitching struggles could lead to more runs, but the Padres’ strong pitching might limit scoring. My model projects a total of 8 runs. The recommendation is to take the under at 8.0 (-113)

Padres Chase Encore After Gritty Extra-Inning Win Over Marlins

San Diego Padres manager Mike Shildt often says it best: “Winners find solutions.” That mantra echoed louder than ever Monday night as the Padres clawed their way from a three-run deficit to secure a nail-biting 4-3 victory over the visiting Miami Marlins in 11 innings.

This wasn’t just a win—it was a statement.

Now, with momentum cautiously tilting their way, San Diego turns its attention to locking in a series win on Tuesday night. Here’s a breakdown of the win, the challenges ahead, and what it all means as the Padres eye a turnaround.

What Went Down: A Wild, Winding Road to Victory

Falling Behind Early—Again

The game started like many recent Padres outings: a slow crawl with an early deficit. Miami jumped ahead 3-0 before fans could even settle into their seats. Jesus Sanchez’s solo homer in the second inning punctuated a frustrating trend for San Diego’s pitching—falling behind early and forcing the bats to play catch-up.

This theme has haunted the Padres, who’ve managed only 21 runs over their last 10 games, sliding to a 3-7 record in that stretch. Offensive inconsistency has plagued them, leaving little margin for error.

Grit, Hustle, and a Little Chaos

But Monday night had a different ending, and it all started with Manny Machado. His eighth-inning solo shot tied the game at 3-3 and finally injected some life into the bats. From there, it was pure grind.

When Machado reached third in the 11th on Gavin Sheets’ grounder, manager Mike Shildt made a bold move—pinch-running Tyler Wade. It was the right call.

Wade dashed home on a breaking ball in the dirt, barely escaping a tag as catcher Liam Hicks scrambled after the wild pitch. That heads-up play secured San Diego’s first extra-inning win in four tries this season.

Check out MLB Picks to stay ahead of game-changing moments like these.

Spotlight on the Padres: Who Stepped Up?

From his dugout days in Johnson City, Tennessee, to managing the Padres in prime-time matchups, Shildt’s baseball IQ continues to shine. Monday’s decision to swap Wade for Machado in a pressure situation wasn’t just about speed—it was about intuition and preparation.

Shildt reads the game like a chessboard, always anticipating how his players might fit into the puzzle. And on Monday, Wade fit perfectly.

Stephen Kolek: Can He Deliver Again?

Right-hander Stephen Kolek (2-1, 2.84 ERA) will start Tuesday’s game, aiming to build off a strong—though imperfect—outing against Toronto last week. He pitched six-plus innings, allowing seven hits and four runs (three earned) in a tough 11-inning loss.

Kolek’s history with Miami is brief but shaky. In his only outing against them (May 29), he gave up three runs in just over an inning of relief. He’ll need to tighten his command and deliver a steady start if the Padres want to ride the wave of Monday’s win.

Explore MLB Team Profiles for more on players like Kolek.

Marlins Look to Regroup After Missed Opportunity

Miami’s answer on the mound will be right-hander Max Meyer (3-4, 4.15 ERA), who’s coming off a solid showing against the Cubs. In six innings, he allowed just one run and five hits while striking out four. His only career start vs. the Padres, back in August 2024, was a victory where he tossed 6 1/3 solid innings.

If Miami wants to keep their season afloat, Meyer needs to continue his steady progression.

Jesus Sanchez Heating Up

While the Marlins’ offense fell flat after the second inning, Jesus Sanchez provided a spark. Elevated to the leadoff spot following Xavier Edwards’ injury, Sanchez is thriving under pressure. Monday saw him reach base three times, including his second-inning homer.

“He’s doing a lot of good things for us,” said first-year manager Clayton McCullough. “He’s one of our most dangerous hitters right now.”

Sanchez’s emergence adds a dynamic threat at the top of Miami’s order—one capable of changing the game with a swing or a steal.

Can the Padres Build Momentum?

San Diego has talent on both sides of the ball, but consistency is the missing ingredient. The team’s inability to string together quality at-bats has kept them in low-scoring affairs, where one mistake can swing the outcome.

With Kolek on the mound and the home crowd behind them, Tuesday night’s matchup is the perfect stage for San Diego to take a step forward—and not just in the win column. They need rhythm, and they need belief.

Dive into MLB Betting Odds to see how tonight’s game stacks up.

What’s Next: Keys for Tuesday’s Showdown

Padres

Get to Meyer early: The Padres need to avoid another cold start. Scoring first could change the tone.
Support Kolek: A quality start from Kolek will go to waste without some timely hitting behind him.
Let the bullpen breathe: Late-inning pressure is tough when your relievers are overworked. A smoother ride would help everyone.

Marlins

Capitalize on chances: They left runners on third in both the 10th and 11th innings Monday. That can’t happen again.
Sanchez needs backup: One bat can’t carry a lineup. Luis Arraez, Bryan De La Cruz, and others must contribute.
Keep it clean defensively: Extra-inning games magnify every mistake, and Miami can’t afford freebies.

For those diving into advanced insights, the Expert Betting Guide offers breakdowns that go beyond the box score.

FAQs

How did the Padres win against the Marlins?

San Diego won 4-3 in 11 innings thanks to Tyler Wade’s hustle home on a wild pitch after being subbed in as a pinch-runner.

Who’s pitching for the Padres in the next game?

Stephen Kolek (2-1, 2.84 ERA) will start for San Diego. He’s seeking a rebound after a no-decision against Toronto.

Why is Jesus Sanchez batting leadoff for Miami?

He moved into the leadoff role after Xavier Edwards’ injury and has been producing well, including a homer on Monday.

What’s the Padres’ record in extra-inning games?

They were 0-3 before Monday night’s win, which marked their first extra-innings victory of the season.

What are the Padres struggling with offensively?

They’ve scored just 21 runs over their last 10 games, reflecting issues with clutch hitting and lineup depth.

Can Max Meyer shut down the Padres again?

Meyer’s past success vs. San Diego and recent form suggest he could be a problem if the Padres don’t adjust.

Final Thoughts: Time to Step Up

The Padres showed guts and grit in their extra-inning win, but one game doesn’t make a season. They’ve got the tools—it’s about unlocking that next gear. For the Marlins, it’s all about seizing moments and building confidence.

The energy is rising in San Diego. Now it’s time to see if that spark becomes a streak.

San Diego Padres vs Miami Marlins Picks and Predictions May 27th 2025