San Francisco Giants vs San Diego Padres Picks and Predictions August 12th 2025

San Francisco Giants vs San Diego Padres August 12th 2025

The San Diego Padres will take on the San Francisco Giants at Oracle Park. The Padres have a record of 66-52 and are second in their division. They are currently on a two-game winning streak and have won seven of their last ten games.

The Giants hold a 59-59 record and are third in the division. They have lost their last two games and have a 5-5 record in their last ten games. The game will start at 9:45 PM and will be broadcasted on SDPA. The weather is expected to be clear with a mild breeze.

Padres vs Giants Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants
• Venue: Oracle Park in San Francisco, CA
• Date: Tuesday, August 12, 2025
• Betting Odds: Padres Moneyline +109, Giants Moneyline -129, Padres Runline +1.5 (-201), Giants Runline -1.5 (+167), Total Over 7.5 (-112), Total Under 7.5 (-108)

The Padres Can Win If…

The San Diego Padres recently won against the Boston Red Sox, 6-2. Dylan Cease pitched six innings, allowing only two runs and striking out seven. Fernando Tatis Jr. contributed with two hits, two runs, and one RBI, helping the team secure the win.

The Padres have a solid batting average of .251, ranking 7th in the league. Their on-base percentage is .318, placing them 10th. With their pitching staff holding a 3.63 ERA, which is 4th best, they have a strong chance to win.

Manny Machado leads the team with 20 home runs and 72 RBIs. Xander Bogaerts and Fernando Tatis Jr. add depth with their consistent hitting. With Nestor Cortes on the mound, the Padres aim to continue their winning ways against the Giants.

The Giants Can Win If…

The San Francisco Giants are looking to bounce back after their recent 8-0 loss to the Washington Nationals. In that game, the Giants struggled at the plate, managing only three hits. However, Rafael Devers has been a consistent performer, leading the team with 22 home runs and 80 RBIs this season.

One reason the Giants can win is their strong pitching. Robbie Ray, their starting pitcher for the next game, has an ERA of 2.85 and a WHIP of 1.13. The Giants’ pitching staff ranks fifth in the league with a 3.66 ERA, and they have given up the fewest home runs in the league.

The Giants have a solid lineup that includes Heliot Ramos and Willy Adames. Ramos has a batting average of .273 with 14 home runs, while Adames has 18 home runs. With these players in the lineup, the Giants have the potential to put up runs against the Padres.

The Lean

The San Diego Padres are the pick for the moneyline at +109. The Giants have a slight edge in pitching, but the Padres have a better batting average, ranking 7th compared to the Giants’ 18th. The model projects a close game with the Padres winning 4-3, making the Padres a good value pick.

For the over/under, the recommendation is to take the under 7.5 at -108. Both teams have strong pitching, with the Padres having the 4th best ERA and the Giants ranking 5th. The model projects a total score of 7 runs, suggesting the under is the safer bet.

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Slumping Giants Look to Spark Offense Against Red-Hot Padres

The San Diego Padres have been one of baseball’s hottest teams, winning 12 of their last 15 games and closing in on the Los Angeles Dodgers in the NL West. Monday’s 4-1 victory over the San Francisco Giants was another showcase of their bullpen dominance, as hard-throwing right-hander Mason Miller stole the spotlight.

Pitching in San Francisco for just the second time since his former club, the Athletics, relocated to West Sacramento, Miller needed only 13 pitches to strike out the side in the eighth inning. Since being acquired at the trade deadline, the 2024 All-Star has settled in with three consecutive scoreless outings, tallying nine strikeouts in just 3 1/3 innings.

Miller’s Role and Padres’ Bullpen Depth

While some have speculated about a future move to the rotation, Miller remains focused on his current role. “All the focus is on this year and pitching out of the bullpen,” he said last week. “That’s not to say down the road we can’t revisit it. But for now, my job is to help us win late in games.”

The Padres’ bullpen has been a key factor during this surge, protecting leads and shortening games for their starting staff. That trend will be crucial again on Tuesday as they aim for a 13th win in 16 games.

Giants Searching for Answers at Home

The Giants have dropped 11 of their last 12 home games and have fallen from seven games over .500 before the All-Star break to one game under. Manager Bob Melvin has tried to inject life into the offense with an aggressive baserunning approach, but the opportunities have been few.

In Monday’s opener, San Francisco managed only four baserunners outside of Rafael Devers’ solo homer. One of those chances ended poorly when Drew Gilbert, after stealing second, was thrown out trying to take third on an errant throw. “We tried to push the running game… but there was a lack of baserunners to really do anything with it,” Melvin admitted.

Pitching Matchup

San Diego hands the ball to left-hander Nestor Cortes (1-1, 7.11 ERA), making his second start with the club since arriving from Milwaukee. The veteran has faced the Giants just once, giving up three runs in 4 1/3 innings last season while with the Yankees.

The Giants counter with Robbie Ray (9-5, 2.85 ERA), who has pitched well but remains winless over his last six starts despite allowing two or fewer runs in five of them. Ray has extensive history against San Diego, posting a 6-6 record with a 4.15 ERA in 19 career starts.

Probable Starters – 2025 Season

What’s at Stake

For San Diego, the chase for first place in the NL West continues, with the Dodgers holding just a one-game edge. For San Francisco, the focus is on ending a skid that has derailed their wild-card positioning and reclaiming some of the home-field advantage that was a strength earlier in the season.

For updated betting odds and expert analysis on this matchup, visit the MLB scores and odds page and the expert betting guide.