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San Francisco Giants vs Tampa Bay Rays August 17th 2025
The Tampa Bay Rays are set to play against the San Francisco Giants at Oracle Park. The Rays have a record of 61-63 and are on a three-game winning streak. In contrast, the Giants hold a 59-64 record and are struggling with a seven-game losing streak. The game is scheduled for Sunday, August 17, 2025, at 4:05 PM and will be broadcast on MLBN.
Ryan Pepiot will start for the Rays, bringing an ERA of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.18. Logan Webb will pitch for the Giants, with an ERA of 3.34 and a WHIP of 1.26. The weather forecast predicts a mild day with broken clouds and a light breeze. Fans can expect an exciting game between these two teams in San Francisco.
Rays vs Giants Key Information
- Sport: Baseball
- Teams: Tampa Bay Rays vs. San Francisco Giants
- Venue: Oracle Park in San Francisco, CA
- Date: Sunday, August 17, 2025
- Betting Odds:
- Rays Moneyline: +138
- Giants Moneyline: -163
- Rays Runline: +1.5 (-158)
- Giants Runline: -1.5 (+133)
- Total Over: 7.5 (-113)
- Total Under: 7.5 (-107)
The Rays Can Win If…
The Tampa Bay Rays are coming off a tight 2-1 win against the San Francisco Giants. Adrian Houser pitched five scoreless innings, striking out six batters. Yandy Díaz and Brandon Lowe each drove in a run, showing their ability to come through in close games.
Key stats show why the Rays can win. They rank first in stolen bases with 157, making them a constant threat on the bases. Their pitching staff ranks seventh in batting average against, holding opponents to a .236 average.
Junior Caminero is a key player for the Rays, with 35 home runs and 85 RBIs this season. Ryan Pepiot, their starting pitcher, has a solid ERA of 3.86. With these players leading the way, the Rays have a strong chance to secure another win.
The Giants Can Win If…
The San Francisco Giants are looking to bounce back after a close 2-1 loss to the Tampa Bay Rays. Justin Verlander pitched a strong game, allowing just two hits over seven innings and striking out eight. Christian Koss also had a solid performance with two hits and an RBI.
The Giants’ pitching has been a strength this season, ranking 7th in ERA at 3.75. They have given up the fewest home runs in the league, with only 107. Logan Webb, the starting pitcher for this game, has a solid ERA of 3.34, which could give the Giants an edge on the mound.
Offensively, Rafael Devers leads the team with 23 home runs and 81 RBIs. The Giants rank 8th in walks, showing patience at the plate. With players like Heliot Ramos and Willy Adames also contributing, the Giants have the potential to put runs on the board and secure a win.
The Lean
The Giants are favored with a moneyline of -163. My model projects the Giants to win with a score of 5-3. The Giants have a better ERA and rank higher in home runs given up, which gives them an edge in pitching.
The total is set at 7.5 runs. My model projects a combined score of 8 runs. With both teams having decent hitting stats, especially in home runs and slugging, the over 7.5 (-113) is the recommended pick.
Rays Keep Rolling Behind Clutch Hitting and Road Warrior Mentality
The Tampa Bay Rays have found their stride — and it’s come at the Giants’ expense. With back-to-back gritty wins powered by Yandy Díaz and key at-bats from Nick Fortes, the Rays are eyeing a sweep in San Francisco.
As the road trip nears its end, Tampa Bay is already celebrating its third straight series win. Sunday, they’ll turn to right-hander Ryan Pepiot (8-9, 3.86 ERA), who’s been on the road so long, he’s practically a travel blogger at this point.
“It’s still baseball,” Pepiot shrugged. “We just hit first instead of pitch first. I’m enjoying the ride — and winning series.”
See Tampa Bay Rays stats and results
Pepiot on the Mound: Comfort Away from Home
Pepiot’s comfort on the road has been one of the quiet strengths of this Rays squad. He’s racked up wins against the Angels and A’s during this 12-game trip, and he’s looking to add the Giants to that list.
Ryan Pepiot – Last 5 Road Starts
| Opponent | Result | ERA | Strikeouts | Walks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angels | Win | 2.25 | 6 | 2 |
| Athletics | Win | 3.00 | 7 | 1 |
| Mariners | Loss | 4.50 | 5 | 3 |
| Twins | ND | 3.86 | 4 | 2 |
| Giants (2023) | Loss | 6.75 | 3 | 2 |
He’s 0-1 against San Francisco in two appearances, but with the Giants’ current state, this might be the perfect time to even the score.
Giants’ Home Struggles Reach Historic Proportions
To put it plainly: San Francisco is collapsing at home. The Giants are 1-15 in their last 16 games at Oracle Park, making this the worst home stretch in franchise history — even worse than the 1901 New York Giants.
Manager Bob Melvin has started rotating players like Drew Gilbert and Grant McCray into the lineup, searching for any spark. Even ace Logan Webb (10-9, 3.34 ERA) can’t break the slump — the Giants are 1-4 in his last five outings.
Full San Francisco Giants team page
Sunday’s Matchup: Pepiot vs. Webb
Two high-caliber arms will go head-to-head Sunday. While Pepiot has been solid lately, Webb’s numbers remain consistent, but the wins just aren’t there.
Pitching Comparison – Pepiot vs Webb
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Last Start Result | Career vs Opponent |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Pepiot | 8-9 | 3.86 | Win @ A’s | 0-1 vs Giants |
| Logan Webb | 10-9 | 3.34 | Loss vs Padres | 1-0 vs Rays |
Webb’s only outing against the Rays came last year — a gem where he gave up just one run over seven innings in a dominant 11-2 road win.
Can the Giants Salvage Anything?
This homestand was supposed to launch the Giants into wild card contention. Instead, it’s brought on frustration, injuries, and tough conversations in the clubhouse. Melvin even hinted at giving veterans rest in favor of younger talent — a subtle nod toward a possible shift in priorities.
But there’s still one game left. One chance to avoid a sweep. One opportunity to stop the bleeding.
FAQs
How bad is this home stretch for the Giants?
It’s the worst in franchise history — they’ve lost 15 of their last 16 at home.
Who is starting for the Rays on Sunday?
Right-hander Ryan Pepiot, who’s been sharp on the road.
Has Logan Webb been struggling?
Not in performance — he’s still reliable, but the team isn’t backing him up with runs.
Are the Rays strong on the road?
Yes, they’ve already won three straight road series on this trip and are thriving away from home.
How did the Rays win the first two games?
Clutch hitting from Yandy Díaz and opportunistic baserunning made the difference.
Where can I find expert MLB picks?
Visit the Scores and Stats MLB Picks section for top predictions.
