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St. Louis Cardinals vs Atlanta Braves July 12th 2025
The Atlanta Braves will visit the St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium on Saturday, July 12, 2025. This afternoon game begins at 2:15 PM and will be broadcast on FDSMW. The weather forecast predicts a warm day with broken clouds and a light breeze.
The Braves, managed by Brian Snitker, hold a season record of 41-52. They have struggled on the road with a 17-30 record. Meanwhile, the Cardinals, led by Oliver Marmol, have a record of 50-45. At home, they have performed well, boasting a 28-19 record. Erick Fedde is set to start for the Cardinals, while the Braves have yet to announce their starting pitcher.
Braves vs Cardinals Key Information
- Sport: Baseball
- Teams: Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinals
- Venue: Busch Stadium in St. Louis, MO
- Date: Saturday, July 12, 2025
- Betting Odds: Braves Moneyline +106, Cardinals Moneyline -126, Braves Runline +1.5 (-189), Cardinals Runline -1.5 (+155), Total Over 9.5 (+100), Total Under 9.5 (-121)
The Braves Can Win If…
The Atlanta Braves recently won against the St. Louis Cardinals with a score of 6-5. Sean Murphy led the team with two home runs and three RBIs. Ronald Acuña Jr. and Jurickson Profar also contributed with multiple hits, showing their strong offensive capabilities.
Atlanta’s batting lineup is strong, with the team ranking 12th in home runs this season. Key players like Matt Olson and Austin Riley are consistent performers. Olson leads the team with 17 home runs, while Riley has a solid .274 batting average, making them threats at the plate.
The Braves’ pitching staff has a 3.83 ERA, ranking 13th in the league. Their ability to limit opponents’ batting averages to .234 is impressive. With a high strikeout count of 857, they can control the game and give their offense a chance to win.
The Cardinals Can Win If…
The St. Louis Cardinals are coming off a close 6-5 loss to the Atlanta Braves. They tallied 10 hits, with Alec Burleson and Victor Scott II each contributing two hits. Despite the loss, their ability to generate hits shows they can keep the pressure on opposing pitchers.
The Cardinals have a team batting average of .252, ranking fifth in the league. This strong hitting performance is bolstered by players like Brendan Donovan, who has a .295 average. With a lineup that can consistently make contact, the Cardinals have a solid chance to score runs.
Erick Fedde will be on the mound for the Cardinals. Although his record is 3-9, he has the potential to deliver quality innings. If he can limit home runs and maintain control, the Cardinals can rely on their offense to secure a win.
The Lean
The Cardinals are favored with a moneyline of -126. The Braves have a moneyline of +106. Based on the stats, the Cardinals have a better batting average and on-base percentage. My model projects the Cardinals to win with a score of 5-4. I recommend taking the Cardinals on the moneyline.
The total for the game is set at 9.5 runs. The Braves have a higher slugging percentage, but the Cardinals’ pitching has a lower earned run average. My model projects a total score of 9 runs. I recommend taking the under 9.5 runs.
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Cardinals Give Struggling Erick Fedde Another Start vs. Banged-Up Braves
The St. Louis Cardinals are giving struggling right-hander Erick Fedde at least one more chance to get his season back on track. Fedde will get the start on Saturday afternoon as the St. Louis Cardinals look to even their three-game series against the visiting and banged-up Atlanta Braves.
A Crisis of Confidence
Fedde (3-9, 4.79 ERA) has been in a deep slump, allowing 17 runs over his last three starts spanning just 10 innings. The veteran is not making any excuses and was brutally honest in his self-assessment.
“My sinker is not running, which is really killing me,” Fedde said. “Maybe, in a sense, thinking too much about outside things — about my mechanics, about tipping, about holding runners — and just not focusing on making the quality pitch… That is inexcusable, and I need to be better about it.”
A Battle of the Banged-Up
Both teams are dealing with new injuries to their star third basemen. The Cardinals’ Nolan Arenado is questionable after leaving Friday’s game with a sprained index finger. The Braves’ Austin Riley is also questionable after departing with abdominal tightness. The potential absence of both stars significantly changes the outlook for this game, a key factor discussed in our expert betting guide.
Braves’ Pitching Puzzle
While the Cardinals are sticking with their struggling starter, the Braves’ injury-depleted rotation is forcing them to use a “bullpen game” for the final two games before the All-Star break. They have not yet named a starter or opener for Saturday’s contest. This pitching uncertainty will be a key focus on the scores and odds board.
Trying to End on a High Note
Despite their struggles, the Braves got a boost on Friday from two home runs by Sean Murphy and two doubles from the recently returned Jurickson Profar. For two MLB teams looking to go into the All-Star break with some positive momentum, this series is crucial. To see who our experts think will win, check out our daily MLB picks.
