St. Louis Cardinals vs Toronto Blue Jays Picks and Predictions June 11th 2025

St. Louis Cardinals vs Toronto Blue Jays June 11th 2025

The Toronto Blue Jays will take on the St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium on Wednesday, June 11, 2025. The game is set for an afternoon start at 2:15 PM and will be broadcast on FDSMW. Fans can expect warm weather with a light breeze and few clouds.

Toronto enters the game with a 37-30 record, sitting 4 games behind in the AL East. Eric Lauer will start for the Blue Jays, boasting a 2.08 ERA and a 0.89 WHIP. The Cardinals, with a 36-31 record, are 5 games back in the NL Central. Matthew Liberatore will take the mound for St. Louis, carrying a 3.82 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP.

Blue Jays vs Cardinals Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: Toronto Blue Jays vs. St. Louis Cardinals
• Venue: Busch Stadium in St. Louis, MO
• Date: Wednesday, June 11, 2025
• Betting Odds: Cardinals -150, Blue Jays +125

The Blue Jays Can Win If…

The Toronto Blue Jays are coming off a high-scoring win against the St. Louis Cardinals, 10-9. Alejandro Kirk shined with a home run and three hits, while Andrés Giménez added a home run and four RBIs. Bo Bichette contributed with three hits and three runs, showcasing the depth of the Blue Jays’ lineup.

Toronto’s offense is strong, ranking 4th in batting average at .256 and 4th in doubles with 118. Their ability to hit for average and power makes them a threat at the plate. With a lineup that includes consistent hitters like Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Bo Bichette, they can score runs in bunches.

The Blue Jays’ pitching staff is led by Eric Lauer, who has a stellar ERA of 2.08. His ability to keep runners off base, with a WHIP of 0.89, gives Toronto a solid chance to control the game. If the Blue Jays can combine Lauer’s pitching with their potent offense, they have a strong chance to win this game.

The Cardinals Can Win If…

The St. Louis Cardinals are coming off a narrow 9-10 loss against the Toronto Blue Jays. Despite the loss, their offense was strong, with 12 hits and 3 home runs. Nolan Arenado and Nolan Gorman both had standout performances, each hitting a home run and driving in 3 runs.

The Cardinals’ batting stats show they can win games with their offense. They have a team batting average of .258, ranking 3rd in the league. Their ability to hit doubles is also impressive, with 120 doubles, which is 3rd in the league.

Matthew Liberatore will start for the Cardinals, bringing a 3.82 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP. His solid performance on the mound can keep the Blue Jays’ hitters in check. The Cardinals’ pitching staff ranks 6th in quality starts, which can provide the stability needed for a victory.

The Lean

The Cardinals are favored with a moneyline of -150. The Blue Jays are the underdogs at +125. Given the Cardinals’ slightly better batting average and on-base percentage, the pick is for the Cardinals to win. The model projects a score of Cardinals 5, Blue Jays 4.

The over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The model projects a total score of 9 runs. Considering both teams’ pitching stats and the projected score, the recommendation is to take the over. The Cardinals’ ERA and the Blue Jays’ strikeout rate suggest more runs might be scored.

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Jays Look to New Arm for Series Sweep

The Toronto Blue Jays are on the edge of a three-game road sweep against the St. Louis Cardinals, and they’re calling on a fresh arm to seal the deal. With the pitching rotation in flux, it looks like newcomer Spencer Turnbull will make his debut on Wednesday.

A Fresh Face on the Mound

So, who is Spencer Turnbull? After signing with Toronto last month and making five starts in the minors, he’s been called up and is ready to contribute. “I threw a bullpen (session on Monday), so I’m still on my five-day starter’s routine,” Turnbull said. “I’ll be available Wednesday, but I don’t know if I’ll be starting or in bulk relief to start out.”

Fine-Tuning the Arsenal

If you glance at Turnbull’s 7.13 ERA in his minor league outings, you might feel a bit hesitant. But there’s more to the story. He’s been working hard to add a sweeper to his pitches. “I feel like it added a whole other element to my swing-and-miss,” Turnbull explained. After Tommy John surgery, his slider wasn’t as effective, so this new pitch could be a real game-changer.

Cardinals Hope to Stop the Bleeding

Meanwhile, the Cardinals are handing the ball to lefty Matthew Liberatore (3-4, 3.82 ERA) in an attempt to avoid the sweep. Liberatore is aiming for a comeback after a rough outing against the Kansas City Royals, where he allowed seven runs. Despite a drop in pitch velocity during that game, he says it was just a mechanical issue. “Over the course of the season, you’re going to have times where you feel synced up and kind of lose the feel for it and find it again,” he said. “I’m not concerned about it.”

A Series of Close Calls

This has been a thrilling series so far. The Blue Jays grabbed a 5-4 win in extra innings on Monday, followed by a 10-9 slugfest victory on Tuesday. You can follow all the action on our MLB scores and odds page. The intensity isn’t lost on the managers. “We know going in … this might be one of our toughest series,” said Cardinals manager Oliver Marmol, suggesting it was even more of a challenge than facing the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Injury Updates

Keep an eye on a couple of players heading into the finale. Blue Jays outfielder Nathan Lukes was a late scratch on Tuesday due to neck discomfort, though the team doesn’t think it’s serious. For the Cardinals, infielder Brendan Donovan is questionable after leaving Tuesday’s game with a sore big toe.

What’s at Stake

This final game promises to be another exciting showdown. For more in-depth analysis, take a look at our expert betting guide and check out our latest MLB picks to see who our experts think will win.