Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Picks and Predictions September 19th 2025

Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox September 19th 2025

The Boston Red Sox will visit the Tampa Bay Rays at George M. Steinbrenner Field. The game is set for Friday, September 19, 2025, at 7:35 PM. The weather forecast predicts a very hot day with a light breeze under clear skies.

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The Red Sox hold a record of 83-70 and are ranked third in the AL East. They are coming off a loss and have a 5-5 record in their last ten games. The Rays have a 75-78 record and are fourth in the division. They are on a two-game winning streak and have a 4-6 record in their last ten games. Garrett Crochet will start for Boston, while Drew Rasmussen takes the mound for Tampa Bay.

Red Sox vs Rays Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays
• Venue: George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, FL
• Date: Friday, September 19, 2025
• Betting Odds: Red Sox Moneyline -131, Rays Moneyline +111, Red Sox Runline -1.5 (+135), Rays Runline +1.5 (-162), Total Over 7.0 (-115), Total Under 7.0 (-105)

The Red Sox Can Win If…

The Boston Red Sox dropped their last game against the Athletics 5-3, but Trevor Story stood out with a home run and a double, driving in two runs. David Hamilton also added a solo homer, showing the team’s extra-base power.

Boston leads MLB in doubles with 304 and ranks fifth in batting average at .254. They also sit sixth in on-base percentage at .323, a sign of consistency. Those numbers make them one of the most balanced lineups in baseball.

Garrett Crochet will start on the mound for Boston. He owns a 16-5 record, a 2.63 ERA, and a 1.05 WHIP. His command has been elite, and if he delivers another quality start, the Red Sox are in a strong position to win.

Pitching Matchup

The Rays Can Win If…

The Tampa Bay Rays are coming off a 4-0 shutout win against the Toronto Blue Jays. Shane Baz threw five scoreless innings, while Carson Williams homered and Chandler Simpson collected three hits.

Tampa Bay ranks sixth in batting average at .252 and leads the league with 186 stolen bases. Their pitching has been equally strong, ranking eighth in ERA at 3.83 and fifth in batting average against at .234.

Drew Rasmussen will take the ball with a 10-5 record and 2.74 ERA. If he keeps the Red Sox bats quiet and the lineup delivers timely hitting from stars like Junior Caminero (44 HR) and Yandy Díaz (.297 average), the Rays have every chance to even the series.

The Lean

Boston is listed at -131 on the moneyline, while Tampa Bay comes in at +111. The Red Sox hold an edge offensively with their higher batting average and on-base percentage, while the Rays counter with elite pitching and speed.

My projection calls for a Red Sox win, 4-3. That makes Boston the moneyline play.

The total is 7.0 runs, with the over priced at -115 and the under at -105. My model projects exactly 7 runs, which could push. Given both starters’ form, the lean is to the under.

Betting Trends

• Red Sox are 7-3 in Crochet’s last 10 starts.
• Rays have gone under the total in 5 of their last 7 home games.
• The under has hit in 6 of the last 9 head-to-head meetings.

Players to Watch