Tampa Bay Rays vs Texas Rangers Picks and Predictions June 5th 2025

Tampa Bay Rays vs Texas Rangers June 5th 2025

The Texas Rangers will take on the Tampa Bay Rays at George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, FL. The game is scheduled for Thursday, June 5, 2025, at 7:35 PM. Fans can catch the action on FDSSU as the teams play under overcast skies with a light breeze.

The Rangers come into this game with a 29-33 record, sitting four games back in the AL West. Their road record is 9-20, which they hope to improve. On the mound, Jack Leiter will start, bringing a 3.66 ERA and a 4-2 record. The Rays, with a 32-29 record, are five games behind in the AL East. Ryan Pepiot will pitch for the Rays, holding a 3.21 ERA and a 3-5 record. The Rays have a home record of 20-19 this season.

Rangers vs Rays Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays
• Venue: George M. Steinbrenner Field, Tampa, FL
• Date: Thursday, June 5, 2025
• Betting Odds: Rangers MoneyLine +124, Rays MoneyLine -146

The Rangers Can Win If…

The Texas Rangers are coming off a close 5-4 loss to the Tampa Bay Rays. Despite the loss, Wyatt Langford had a strong performance with three hits and two RBIs. Jonah Heim added a home run, showing the potential for power in their lineup.

The Rangers have a solid pitching staff, ranked third in the league with a 3.18 ERA. Jack Leiter will start, carrying a 3.66 ERA and a 4-2 record. His ability to keep runs off the board can give the Rangers a chance to win.

Offensively, the Rangers have players capable of hitting home runs, ranking 15th in the league. Josh Jung leads the team with a .271 average and seven home runs. If their hitters can capitalize on opportunities, they can come out on top.

The Rays Can Win If…

The Tampa Bay Rays are coming off a close 5-4 win against the Texas Rangers. Brandon Lowe led the charge with three hits, including a home run. Shane Baz pitched five innings, allowing three runs and striking out five batters.

The Rays have shown strong stats this season that can help them win. Their team ERA of 3.44 ranks 7th in the league, showing solid pitching. They also lead the league in stolen bases, which can put pressure on opposing defenses.

Ryan Pepiot will start for the Rays, boasting an ERA of 3.21. He has been consistent on the mound and could be key to another victory. The Rays’ lineup, with hitters like Junior Caminero and Jonathan Aranda, adds depth and power to their offense.

The Lean

The Rays are favored with a moneyline of -146. Their pitching, with a 3.18 ERA and .223 batting average against, ranks 3rd in the league. The Rangers’ hitting struggles with a batting average of .222, ranking 19th. My model projects the Rays to win 5-3, so I recommend taking the Rays on the moneyline.

The total for the game is set at 9.0. The Rays’ strong pitching and the Rangers’ weaker hitting suggest a lower-scoring game. My model projects a combined score of 8 runs. Therefore, I recommend taking the under 9.0 for this game.

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Red-Hot Rays Aim to Sweep Slumping Rangers at Home

The Tampa Bay Rays are heating up, and they’re doing it right where it matters most — at home. After a rocky start in their new outdoor stadium, Tampa Bay has found its groove, especially in front of their home crowd. With Wednesday’s 5-4 win over the Texas Rangers, the Rays have now won nine of their past 10 games at home and five straight series there.

They also improved to 11-3 over their last 14 games overall, pushing themselves three games above .500 for the season. That’s a sharp turn from the early part of the year when home-field advantage seemed more like a myth than a factor.

“It’s in our city; we have to start playing better here,” said Brandon Lowe, who delivered a 3-for-4 night with a home run, double, and two RBIs. “Everybody knew it. Something just happened, and we started winning.”

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Pepiot Poised for a Strong Finish to the Series

Taking the mound Thursday for Tampa Bay is Ryan Pepiot (3-5, 3.21 ERA), who’s pitched better than his win-loss record suggests. In May, the right-hander posted a 2.25 ERA and 0.94 WHIP across six starts. Despite only one win, he allowed just 26 hits and struck out 22 in 36 innings.

Pepiot’s lone start against Texas came in April of last year, and it didn’t go his way — the Rangers tagged him for six runs in 5 2/3 innings. But his recent form suggests he’s a very different pitcher heading into this rematch.

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Rangers Struggle at the Plate Despite Pitching Strength

While the Rangers boast one of MLB’s best pitching staffs — third in team ERA at 3.17 — their offense continues to lag. Texas ranks 28th in batting average (.222) and sits middle-of-the-pack in home runs, tied for 17th with 61.

Manager Bruce Bochy saw glimpses of life at the plate during Wednesday’s loss. Rookie Wyatt Langford had three hits, and the team scored three runs in the fifth inning — a rare productive frame in recent weeks.

“A lot of good things happened offensively,” Bochy said. “We got four runs, which is what you’re hoping to do, maybe five. Overall, I thought the bats were better tonight.”

Texas has lost 11 of its last 15 games, and they’ll need to turn things around fast to avoid being swept in Tampa.

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FAQ: Rays vs. Rangers Series Finale