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Rangers vs Diamondbacks Picks and Predictions — September 1, 2025
The Texas Rangers bring their hottest stretch of the season into Phoenix as they face the Arizona Diamondbacks in a three-game interleague series at Chase Field. Texas (71-67) has won five straight and eight of its last nine, while Arizona (68-70) is trying to climb back into the NL wild-card race after a tight series against the Dodgers.
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Opening odds list the Diamondbacks as -155 favorites, the Rangers at +132, with the total set at 9.5 runs. For more context on both clubs’ recent form, check the latest MLB game results.
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Rangers Can Win If…
Their offense stays hot and Patrick Corbin finds redemption against his former club. Texas is averaging 10 runs per game during its current five-game streak, with Joc Pederson heating up after a slow start and Josh Smith setting the table.
“It’s hard to sweep a team. Great job by the guys coming in here playing a very hot team,” said manager Bruce Bochy after the sweep of Oakland.
If Corbin — 0-4 with an 11.28 ERA in six career starts vs. Arizona — can give them quality innings, the Rangers’ explosive bats led by Corey Seager and Josh Jung can do the rest.
Diamondbacks Can Win If…
They capitalize on their power bats and Ryne Nelson continues his reliable stretch. Nelson (7-3, 3.53 ERA) has allowed just one run over his last 12 innings and will try to improve on a shaky track record vs. Texas.
Corbin Carroll remains the spark plug after blasting a three-run homer Sunday against the Dodgers, while Ketel Marte continues to pace the lineup with steady production.
“We’re never out of any game at any time,” said manager Torey Lovullo. “When the rally starts, we can put up quick points.”
Arizona’s home bats — they rank top-5 in slugging and home runs — give them the edge if they can get to Corbin early.
Key MLB Betting Trends
| Category | Rangers | Diamondbacks |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 71-67 | 68-70 |
| Last 10 Games | 8-2 | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.92 | 4.85 |
| ERA / Opp Runs | 4.49 ERA (24th) | 3.45 ERA (1st) |
| Head-to-Head (2025) | First Meeting | First Meeting |
The Lean
Pick: Diamondbacks -155
Projected Final Score: Arizona 5, Texas 3
Texas has been scorching at the plate, but Patrick Corbin’s history against his former team is concerning. With Nelson dealing and the D-backs’ power bats at home, Arizona is the play. The under 9.5 also has value with both starters capable of keeping things steady.
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