Texas Rangers vs Kansas City Royals Picks and Predictions June 17th 2025

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The Kansas City Royals will take on the Texas Rangers at Globe Life Field in Arlington, TX. This night game is set for Tuesday, June 17, 2025, at 8:05 PM. Fans can watch the game on FDSKC.

The Royals, led by manager Matt Quatraro, have a season record of 34-38. They will rely on starting pitcher Seth Lugo, who holds a 3.18 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP. The Rangers, managed by Bruce Bochy, have a 36-36 record. They will counter with Jack Leiter on the mound, who has a 3.88 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP.

Royals vs Rangers Key Information

  • Sport: Baseball
  • Teams: Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers
  • Venue: Globe Life Field in Arlington, TX
  • Date: Tuesday, June 17, 2025
  • Betting Odds: Royals MoneyLine +108, Rangers MoneyLine -129

The Royals Can Win If…

The Kansas City Royals are coming off a narrow 3-2 loss to the Athletics. Despite the loss, starting pitcher Noah Cameron delivered a strong performance with five scoreless innings and seven strikeouts. Bobby Witt Jr. and Vinnie Pasquantino each contributed two hits, showcasing their ability to get on base and drive in runs.

The Royals have a solid batting average of .250, ranking 7th in the league. They also have 116 doubles, placing them 9th. Their pitching staff holds a respectable ERA of 3.44, which is 7th best, and they have a strong record of 34 quality starts, ranking 3rd.

In their upcoming game, the Royals will rely on Seth Lugo, who has an ERA of 3.18 and a WHIP of 1.15. Bobby Witt Jr. and Maikel Garcia are key players to watch, with batting averages of .279 and .309, respectively. With their ability to hit and a strong starting pitcher, the Royals have the tools to secure a win.

The Rangers Can Win If…

The Texas Rangers are coming off a narrow 2-1 win against the Chicago White Sox. Kumar Rocker delivered a strong performance, pitching five scoreless innings with six strikeouts. Ezequiel Duran and Marcus Semien each contributed an RBI, helping the team secure the victory.

The Rangers’ pitching has been strong this season, with a team ERA of 3.15, ranking them second in the league. Their batting average against is .223, placing them third, and they have only given up 59 home runs, which is also third-best. This solid pitching foundation gives them a good chance to win games by keeping opponents’ scores low.

Key players like Josh Smith and Marcus Semien have been consistent contributors. Smith leads the team with a .288 batting average and 32 runs, while Semien has 30 RBIs. With their lineup depth and strong pitching, the Rangers have the tools to secure another win in their upcoming game against the Kansas City Royals.

The Lean

The Rangers are favored with a moneyline of -129, while the Royals are at +108. Given the Rangers’ strong pitching stats, including a 3.15 ERA and a .223 batting average against, they have the edge. My model projects the Rangers to win 5-3, making them the recommended pick.

The over/under for the game is set at 8.5 runs. With the Rangers’ solid pitching and the Royals’ lower-ranked slugging percentage, scoring might be limited. My model projects a total of 8 runs, so the under is the recommended pick.

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Rangers Eye Fifth Straight Win as Royals Look to End Slide

The Texas Rangers return to Globe Life Field with momentum, aiming for a fifth consecutive victory as they host the Kansas City Royals in the opener of a three-game series on Tuesday night. Texas enters the matchup fresh off a sweep of the Chicago White Sox and winners of seven of its last eight games, evening their record at 36-36 and moving into third place in the AL West.

Rookie right-hander Jack Leiter (4-3, 3.88 ERA) will get the start for the Rangers, facing Kansas City righty Seth Lugo (3-5, 3.18 ERA). It marks Leiter’s 12th outing of the season and his first career appearance against the Royals.

Get complete previews and matchups for all major league games at the MLB previews section.

Texas Bullpen Powering Resurgence

One of the biggest reasons for the Rangers’ recent surge has been the performance of their bullpen. Over the past seven games, Texas relievers have logged a league-high 38 1/3 innings while posting a 1.88 ERA. Two of those contests were designated bullpen games—both resulting in victories.

Among the standout arms has been left-hander Jacob Latz, who has delivered 13 1/3 effective innings over his last eight appearances with a 2.70 ERA. Last week, Latz threw 115 total pitches, including a 30-pitch effort to secure an 11-inning win on Saturday. Manager Bruce Bochy credited Latz and the entire bullpen for keeping the team in close games.

Leiter, who has never faced Kansas City, is coming off a shaky performance against Minnesota, where he allowed four runs over four innings. That loss snapped a six-start unbeaten streak dating back to early May.

Explore more pitching insights and expert analysis in our MLB betting guide.

Royals Reeling After Winless Homestand

The Royals are heading to Arlington on a six-game losing streak after getting swept at home by the Oakland Athletics. Kansas City has managed only 11 runs during the skid and now sits at 34-38, dropping to fourth place in the AL Central.

Frustration is mounting among players. Shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. described the homestand as “bad” and emphasized the need for a reset. “The time is now,” he said after Sunday’s 3-2 loss. First baseman Vinnie Pasquantino echoed the urgency, urging the team to get back to “playing some ball.”

Find daily predictions and sharp MLB picks from top performers on our MLB picks page.

Lugo Solid but Still Seeking a Win

Seth Lugo hasn’t recorded a win since May 1, despite keeping his team in games. Over his last two starts, he’s allowed just two runs on seven hits across 10 2/3 innings, striking out seven and walking five. However, the Royals failed to capitalize, losing both games. Lugo has only one career appearance against Texas, a one-inning relief stint in 2022 as a member of the New York Mets.

With Kansas City’s offense sputtering, Lugo will likely need continued stinginess to give his team a chance to snap its slump.

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Eyes on the Handicappers

For bettors looking to ride hot streaks, the ScoresAndStats leaderboard highlights the top-performing MLB handicappers across the season. Whether backing consistent moneyline winners or sharp totals plays, their insight offers actionable edges during streak-heavy matchups like Rangers vs. Royals.

Track their picks and records on the leaderboard.

By T. Franklin Smith | April 8, 2025
By T. Franklin Smith | April 1, 2025
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Kyle Parker
Kyle Parker | Handicapper

Free Pick found on BestBettor.com. Mike Williams is part of SportsCapping Group.

Mike uses his strong sports knowledge to analyze all the angles to find the most profitable wagers. Iron Mike handicaps MLB, college football, NFL, NBA, and NCAA basketball. I'm an actual sports and gambling junkie!

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