Texas Rangers vs Kansas City Royals Picks and Predictions June 19th 2025

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The Kansas City Royals travel to Arlington to take on the Texas Rangers at Globe Life Field. The game is set for Thursday, June 19, 2025, at 2:35 PM. Fans can catch the action on FDSKC.

Both teams enter the game with identical records of 36-38. The Royals have a road record of 17-19, while the Rangers boast a stronger home record of 23-15. Michael Wacha will start for the Royals, and Shawn Armstrong will take the mound for the Rangers.

Royals vs Rangers Key Information

  • Sport: Baseball
  • Teams: Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers
  • Venue: Globe Life Field in Arlington, TX
  • Date: Thursday, June 19, 2025
  • Betting Odds: Royals +100, Rangers -120

The Royals Can Win If…

The Kansas City Royals recently won 6-3 against the Texas Rangers. Maikel Garcia had a standout performance, going 3 for 4 with a triple and a home run. Kris Bubic pitched 5 1/3 innings, allowing three earned runs and striking out six.

The Royals have shown strong hitting with a team batting average ranked 9th in the league. They are also 11th in doubles, which helps them put runners in scoring positions. Their pitching staff has an ERA ranked 5th, making them tough to score against.

Bobby Witt Jr. and Vinnie Pasquantino are key players for the Royals. Witt Jr. leads the team with 40 runs, while Pasquantino has 10 home runs. Their ability to score and drive in runs gives the Royals a chance to win any game.

The Rangers Can Win If…

The Texas Rangers are coming off a 6-3 loss to the Kansas City Royals. Despite the defeat, the Rangers showed promise with 12 hits, including six extra-base hits. Wyatt Langford and Sam Haggerty led the charge, each securing three hits.

The Rangers’ pitching has been solid this season, ranking second in earned run average at 3.23. Their batting average against is also impressive, placing them third in the league. With Shawn Armstrong starting, who boasts a 2.90 ERA, the Rangers have a strong chance on the mound.

Josh Smith is a key player to watch, with a .288 batting average and seven home runs this season. The Rangers also have a quick base-running game, ranking seventh in stolen bases. Their lineup is set with power hitters like Adolis García and Jake Burger, ready to make an impact.

The Lean

The Rangers are the slight favorites with a moneyline of -120 against the Royals at +100. The Rangers have a better team ERA and batting average against, ranking 2nd and 3rd respectively. My model projects the Rangers to win with a score of 5-3, making them the pick for the moneyline.

The over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The Royals have struggled with on-base percentage and slugging, ranking 19th and 24th. Given the strong pitching from both teams, my model projects a total of 8 runs. Therefore, the recommendation is to take the under.

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Royals Eye Sweep Over Rangers in Series Finale

The Kansas City Royals will attempt to cap off an impressive turnaround when they face the Texas Rangers in the final game of their three-game set on Thursday afternoon in Arlington. Kansas City, which entered the series riding a six-game losing streak, has bounced back with back-to-back wins and now has a chance to sweep the defending World Series champions on their home turf.

This AL matchup features two right-handers on the mound, as Kansas City turns to veteran Michael Wacha (3-6, 3.38 ERA), while Texas counters with Shawn Armstrong (2-1, 2.90 ERA) in what is expected to be a bullpen-led outing.

For more matchup breakdowns and expert insights, visit the MLB previews page.

Garcia Powers Royals in Game 2 Victory

Maikel Garcia was the offensive catalyst for Kansas City in Wednesday’s 6-3 win, launching a three-run homer and later adding a key RBI triple. His timely hitting backed Kris Bubic and four relievers who held the Rangers to just three runs despite allowing 12 hits.

The Royals’ pitching staff has quietly delivered in this series, navigating a deep Rangers lineup that had been hot entering the week. Texas went just 5-for-13 with runners in scoring position and failed to capitalize on multiple scoring chances, snapping a run where they had won seven of their last eight games.

Wacha Looks to Rebound After Rough Outing

Michael Wacha has not recorded a win since May 12 and enters Thursday’s game with a two-game losing streak. His last start, a 6-4 loss to the Athletics, was his worst of the season as he allowed five earned runs on nine hits over 5 1/3 innings.

“I wanted more than anything to get back in that win column,” Wacha said after the loss. “Felt like I let the team down.”

Historically, Wacha hasn’t fared well against Texas. He’s 0-3 with a 4.74 ERA in four career starts against the Rangers, including two losses last season. He’ll need to reverse that trend if Kansas City hopes to finish the sweep.

For more betting angles on Wacha’s matchup and others across the league, check out the MLB expert betting guide.

Rangers Dealing With Key Injuries

Injuries have begun to test the Rangers’ pitching depth. Tyler Mahle is on the 15-day injured list with shoulder fatigue as of June 12, and Nathan Eovaldi has also missed time. Mahle expressed frustration over the timing of the injury but is optimistic about a quick recovery.

“We’re just trying to get it to rest up and get back to 100 percent like it had been,” Mahle said. “All of the sudden, it didn’t feel right. That part of it is really frustrating.”

Meanwhile, Kansas City announced on Wednesday that All-Star lefty Cole Ragans will be sidelined for at least four weeks with a mild rotator cuff strain. The team is opting for rest rather than surgery or injections for their ace, who last pitched on June 5.

Armstrong to Open for Texas

Shawn Armstrong is expected to open Thursday’s game in what will likely be a bullpen day for Texas. The right-hander has been reliable in short stints and owns a 4.05 ERA in 16 career appearances against Kansas City.

The Rangers will hope that Armstrong and the rest of the relief corps can slow down a Royals offense that has suddenly found its rhythm.

Key Betting Trends to Watch

The Rangers have been dominant in high-scoring games but tend to falter when runs are at a premium. They are 26-4 this season when scoring four or more runs, including a perfect 16-0 at home in those situations. If Kansas City can keep Texas below that threshold, their chances of finishing the sweep improve dramatically.

Bettors looking for up-to-date trends, picks, and predictions can head over to Scores and Stats’ MLB picks page for the latest insights.

For verified, high-performing betting advice, visit the leaderboard of top MLB handicappers, or explore premium selections through the buy picks section.

By T. Franklin Smith | April 8, 2025
By T. Franklin Smith | April 1, 2025
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Mike Williams
Mike Williams | Handicapper

Free Pick found on BestBettor.com. Mike Williams is part of SportsCapping Group.

Mike uses his strong sports knowledge to analyze all the angles to find the most profitable wagers. Iron Mike handicaps MLB, college football, NFL, NBA, and NCAA basketball. I'm an actual sports and gambling junkie!

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