Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles Picks and Predictions September 12th 2025

Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles September 12th 2025

The Baltimore Orioles will visit the Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre on Friday, September 12, 2025. The Orioles hold a record of 69-77 and are ranked fifth in the AL East. They are on a three-game winning streak and have won eight of their last ten games.

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The Blue Jays, with a record of 84-62, are first in the AL East. They have won six of their last ten games and are coming off a win. Trevor Rogers will start for the Orioles, boasting an impressive 1.51 ERA. Chris Bassitt will take the mound for the Blue Jays with a 3.97 ERA. The game will air on MASN, and the weather forecast indicates a warm day with a light breeze. However, the retractable roof at Rogers Centre may negate any wind effects.

Orioles vs Blue Jays Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays
• Venue: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON
• Date: Friday, September 12, 2025
• Betting Odds: Orioles Moneyline +114, Blue Jays Moneyline -134, Orioles Runline +1.5 (-185), Blue Jays Runline -1.5 (+154), Total Over 8.0 (-105), Total Under 8.0 (-116)

Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays Picks and Predictions

The Baltimore Orioles travel north to face the Toronto Blue Jays in a series that feels like October baseball. Baltimore has won nine of its last 11 games, while Toronto holds a three-game AL East lead with playoff hopes rising.

The Orioles Can Win If…

Baltimore eked out a 3-2 win against Pittsburgh behind Cade Povich’s steady pitching and timely hits from Jackson Holliday and Gunnar Henderson. The Orioles rank 10th in both home runs and doubles, showing their ability to create extra-base damage.

Trevor Rogers (1.51 ERA, 0.87 WHIP) will get the ball. His elite command makes him a weapon against Toronto’s high-contact lineup. If Baltimore’s bullpen—ranked top three in limiting blown saves—remains sharp, the Orioles have a solid chance to keep rolling.

Orioles Snapshot

The Blue Jays Can Win If…

Toronto is fresh off a dominant 6-0 shutout of Houston behind Kevin Gausman’s complete-game gem. Their offense is the league’s best by batting average (.268) and on-base percentage (.335), with a top-four slugging percentage at .432. Players like Davis Schneider and Daulton Varsho continue to supply big swings, while Vladimir Guerrero Jr. remains the anchor.

Chris Bassitt (11-8, 3.97 ERA) takes the mound, and while his career numbers against Baltimore are shaky, his strikeout consistency (top five in MLB) gives Toronto confidence. If Bassitt delivers quality innings and the lineup continues its patient approach, the Jays should hold serve at home.

Blue Jays Snapshot

Matchups and Betting Outlook

Baltimore’s contact-heavy lineup will test Toronto’s staff, while the Jays’ power and discipline create pressure for Rogers early. Holliday and Henderson are rising stars for the Orioles, but Toronto’s balance makes them tough to match pitch for pitch.

For bettors, the Jays are priced as -134 favorites with a total of 8.0 runs. You can compare updated prices and props on the MLB odds board before first pitch.

Series History and Context

The Orioles lead the season series 6-4, including three wins in their last set against Toronto. Baltimore may be out of playoff contention, but their September surge has given them confidence. The Blue Jays remain in control of the AL East, with Kevin Gausman peaking at the right time.

Picks and Predictions

Projection: Blue Jays 5, Orioles 4. With the league’s best batting average and on-base percentage, Toronto holds the edge in a tight contest. The model leans toward the over 8.0 (-105) thanks to both lineups’ extra-base power.

For more daily breakdowns and betting projections, check the expert MLB picks hub.