Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles Picks and Predictions September 13th 2025

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Jays’ Max Scherzer tries to erase memories of last outing vs. O’s

Toronto Blue Jays (85-62) tightened their hold on first place in the AL East with a 6-1 win Friday over the Baltimore Orioles. Veteran Max Scherzer takes the mound Saturday as Toronto looks to clinch the series.

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The Orioles (69-78) entered the weekend 8-2 in September, but their offense stalled in the opener with just three hits. Looking at recent MLB game results, Toronto has won back-to-back games while Baltimore seeks a quick rebound to stay competitive down the stretch.


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Baltimore Orioles Can Win If…

  • Tomoyuki Sugano limits damage. The rookie has been inconsistent vs Toronto, posting a 5.19 ERA across two early-season starts.
  • The lineup wakes up. Jackson Holliday and Gunnar Henderson must spark an offense that managed only one RBI Friday.
  • The bullpen keeps it close. Baltimore ranks top-three in fewest blown saves, a strength that matters if they get a late lead.

“We haven’t swung the bat here the past week,” interim manager Tony Mansolino admitted.

Toronto Blue Jays Can Win If…

  • Scherzer sets the tone. In his Blue Jays debut against Baltimore back in March, he lasted just three innings before landing on the IL. Saturday is about redemption.
  • The lineup keeps producing. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 3-for-3 Friday, and Myles Straw added two hits, showing balance beyond the stars.
  • Pitching depth holds. Kevin Gausman’s shutout Thursday and Chris Bassitt’s five steady innings Friday highlight Toronto’s staff strength.

“Something that I’ve learned is it’s good to be out of your comfort zone … I’m happy to be helping the team in this way,” Andres Gimenez said about his new role at shortstop.


Key MLB Betting Trends

CategoryOriolesBlue Jays
Record69-78 (5th AL East)85-62 (1st AL East)
Last 10 Games8-2, but lost last6-4, won 2 straight
Runs Per Game12th in HRs (173)1st in batting avg (.268)
ERA / Opp Runs19th in ERA (4.43)Top 5 in strikeouts (1,302)
Head-to-Head 20252-1 Orioles earlyWon opener 6-1 Friday

The Leans

Main Pick: Blue Jays Moneyline (-170)
Projected Final Score: Blue Jays 5, Orioles 3

  • Runline Angle: Blue Jays -1.5 (+127) → If Scherzer is sharp, Toronto could control this one.
  • Total Runs Angle: Under 8.5 (-103) → My model projects 8 runs; bullpen strength plus Scherzer suggests value on the under.

Stay updated with daily breakdowns at our MLB Betting Predictions hub.


Best Bet Box

Best Bet: Blue Jays ML (-170) + Under 8.5 (-103) (Parlay)
Confidence: ★★★★☆


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