Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles Picks and Predictions September 14th 2025

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The Baltimore Orioles will visit the Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre. The game is set for Sunday, September 14, 2025, at 1:37 PM. The Orioles hold a record of 69-79 and are ranked fifth in the AL East. They have lost their last two games but went 7-3 in their last ten. Interim manager Tony Mansolino will lead the team.

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The Toronto Blue Jays come into the game with an 86-62 record, sitting at the top of the AL East. They have won their last three games and also went 7-3 in their last ten. John Schneider manages the team. The game will feature Albert Suárez pitching for the Orioles against Shane Bieber for the Blue Jays. Fans can watch the game on MASN, and the weather is expected to be mild with scattered clouds.

Orioles vs Blue Jays Key Information

  • Sport: Baseball
  • Teams: Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays
  • Venue: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON
  • Date: Sunday, September 14, 2025
  • Betting Odds: Orioles Moneyline +160, Blue Jays Moneyline -191, Orioles Runline +1.5 (-130), Blue Jays Runline -1.5 (+108), Total Over 8.5 (+100), Total Under 8.5 (-120)

The Baltimore Orioles Can Win If…

The Baltimore Orioles are still reeling from a 5–4 walk-off loss to the Toronto Blue Jays, but all is not lost. Coby Mayo and Gunnar Henderson each posted a 2-for-4 performance in that game, while Tomoyuki Sugano worked six impressive innings after taking a line drive to the ankle. That kind of mental and physical toughness will be essential as the Orioles look to avoid a sweep.

The team continues to be sneaky productive at the plate. With 174 home runs on the season and a .399 slugging percentage, the Orioles rank middle of the pack in power stats. Henderson continues to be a cornerstone, while Adley Rutschman offers reliability and plate discipline. If they can put runners on early and get a long ball or two, they’ll be in business. Baltimore will need to stay aggressive — especially knowing how lethal Toronto is in late innings.

On the mound, Albert Suárez brings a strong edge. His 2.08 ERA and 0.92 WHIP reflect elite-level control, even with a small sample size due to injury. Suárez has already proven capable against Toronto, carrying a 1.72 ERA over 15 2/3 innings in five career outings. If he can give the Orioles 3–4 clean frames before handing it over to a refreshed bullpen, Baltimore could finally flip the script in this series.

The Toronto Blue Jays Can Win If…

There may be no team better at late-game magic than the Toronto Blue Jays. Saturday’s 5–4 win — capped by a three-run ninth inning — marked their ninth walk-off of the season and fifth win when trailing after eight innings. Toronto now leads MLB with 45 comeback victories, a testament to their offensive depth and clubhouse confidence.

Their offensive stats speak for themselves. A .269 batting average and .336 on-base percentage both rank No. 1 in the majors. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. continues to mash, holding a .305 average, while young contributors like Addison Barger and Ernie Clement add lineup depth. If Toronto continues to apply pressure with quality at-bats, they’re likely to crack any combination of arms Baltimore throws out there.

Starting for Toronto is Shane Bieber, whose 4.30 ERA comes with caveats. While he’s been up-and-down this season, Bieber owns a 3.60 ERA in six career starts against the Orioles. He’ll benefit from the support of a pitching staff that holds opponents to a .238 average — ranking 7th in MLB. Combine that with an elite bullpen and late-game heroics, and it’s easy to see why Toronto is favored here.

The Lean

The betting market backs Toronto with a moneyline of –191, while Baltimore enters as the underdog at +160. Given Toronto’s dominant contact hitting and late-game success, the smart lean is on the Blue Jays to finish off the sweep. Even when trailing, they’ve consistently found ways to win — a dangerous profile when matched up against a shaky bullpen.

The projected total is 8.5 runs, with most books slightly favoring the under at –120. Considering both starting pitchers — Bieber and Suárez — are capable of limiting damage, and that Baltimore struggles when trailing, the better play is the under 8.5. Expect a scoreline close to Blue Jays 5, Orioles 3.

Betting Odds Overview

Betting MarketOdds
Moneyline (Toronto)–191
Moneyline (Baltimore)+160
Total Runs8.5
Over 8.5+100
Under 8.5–120

For additional picks and projections, visit the MLB Picks page at ScoresAndStats.

Game Preview Recap

The Toronto Blue Jays aim to complete the sweep over the Baltimore Orioles in Sunday’s finale. Saturday’s dramatic ninth-inning comeback secured their 86th win and maintained a three-game AL East lead. The season series between these two clubs is now tied at 6–6, adding extra drama to this final game.

Toronto will send Shane Bieber to the hill, who last faced Baltimore in September 2023. He’s 3–1 with a 3.60 ERA in 40 innings over six career starts against them. Baltimore counters with Albert Suárez, who’s posted strong results since returning from the injured list on September 1. His most recent outing saw him throw three innings against the Dodgers.

Rookie Dylan Beavers is a name to watch for Baltimore. Moved up to the No. 2 spot in the order, he responded with three walks Saturday and now has 20 walks in just 23 games. If he can get on base ahead of Henderson and Rutschman, the Orioles might finally capitalize on early opportunities — something they’ve failed to do so far in this series.

Max Scherzer summed up Toronto’s current mindset: “We just have this mentality that we’re going to win. We’ll scratch and claw our way back into this.” With that kind of belief and a statistical edge in every major category, the Blue Jays are in prime position to close the door on the Orioles.

Projected Lineups Snapshot

Baltimore OriolesToronto Blue Jays
Gunnar HendersonDavis Schneider
Dylan BeaversVladimir Guerrero Jr.
Adley RutschmanAddison Barger
Coby MayoErnie Clement
Anthony SantanderDaulton Varsho