Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Picks and Predictions May 1st 2025

Last Updated on

In one of the most electrifying performances of their 2025 season so far, the Toronto Blue Jays stormed back from a six-run deficit to defeat the Boston Red Sox 7-6 in extra innings. The dramatic victory at Rogers Centre sets the stage for a high-stakes rubber match in this three-game series. Toronto, buoyed by clutch home runs and key defensive lapses from Boston, looks to capitalize on this momentum with ace right-hander Jose Berrios set to take the mound.


Jose Berrios Ready to Repeat April Masterclass vs. Red Sox

Jose Berrios (1-1, 4.24 ERA) will face Boston with confidence, having previously dominated them on April 7. That night, he allowed just one run over seven innings en route to a 6-2 Toronto win at Fenway Park. Across 16 career starts versus the Red Sox, Berrios holds a 5-6 record with a solid 3.66 ERA. His control and ability to work deep into games could be a crucial advantage as the Blue Jays seek a series win.


Tanner Houck Looks to Rebound for Boston

The Red Sox will counter with right-hander Tanner Houck (0-2, 7.58 ERA), who has struggled early in the season. However, he performed well against the Blue Jays on April 9, allowing just one run over 6 2/3 innings in a game Boston eventually lost 2-1 in 11 innings. Despite his rocky 2025 start, Houck owns a respectable 3.09 ERA in nine career appearances (eight starts) versus Toronto.


Power Surge Fuels Comeback Victory

Toronto’s bats finally came alive on Tuesday night. After being stymied offensively for most of the past week, the Blue Jays launched a trio of game-changing home runs:

  • Daulton Varsho and Alejandro Kirk each homered off Lucas Giolito in the sixth inning.
  • Anthony Santander tied the game with a dramatic three-run homer in the seventh, taking advantage of a hanging pitch from Garrett Whitlock.

Manager John Schneider praised his players for their resilience:

“This is what we’ve been missing, and it feels great. I’m so impressed and proud of the way they came back.”


Heroics in Extras: Kirk Delivers Walk-Off Win

The game-winning moment came in the 10th inning, with Vladimir Guerrero Jr. making a heads-up baserunning move that turned into a lucky break. After tagging up on a lineout to center, Guerrero dove into third base safely when Ceddanne Rafaela’s throw bounced off him. Moments later, Alejandro Kirk drove in the winning run with a single, sending the home crowd into a frenzy. Don’t miss this matchup’s Picks from MLB Expert Handicappers


Boston’s Strong Start Fizzles Late

Despite a hot start, Boston’s offense vanished after the sixth inning. Manager Alex Cora acknowledged the team’s shortcomings:

“I think it was one baserunner from the seventh inning on. We have to finish games.”

There were still bright spots for the Red Sox:

  • Lucas Giolito, making his first MLB start since elbow surgery and a hamstring injury, impressed with 6 innings, 3 runs allowed, and 7 strikeouts.
  • Alex Bregman homered for the second straight game, extending his hit streak to 10 games and raising his average to .400 during that span.

Roster Moves & Strategic Changes

Toronto also made roster adjustments before the game:

  • Promoted Eric Lauer from Triple-A, who pitched four innings in relief, allowing two runs.
  • Designated Casey Lawrence for assignment to create room.

These moves reflect the Blue Jays’ effort to reinforce their bullpen amid a challenging early schedule.


What’s at Stake in the Series Finale

With the series tied 1-1, both teams will be hungry for a win in Thursday’s finale. For Toronto, a win means momentum heading into May and a chance to start turning the season around. For Boston, avoiding a collapse and tightening up late-game execution will be top priorities.

sas logo

Best Baseball

Handicapping Membership


Conclusion

The Blue Jays’ comeback victory was more than just a win—it was a statement. After a string of losses, Toronto showed grit, power, and a flair for the dramatic. With Berrios on the mound and their confidence restored, they now have a golden opportunity to clinch the series against the Red Sox. As May begins, the Blue Jays may finally be ready to turn the page.

By Taylor Smith | April 8, 2025
By Taylor Smith | April 1, 2025
By Taylor Smith | March 29, 2025

spread
moneyline
over/under
Toronto Blue Jays
-
-
-
-
-
Boston Red Sox
-
-
-
-
-
Mike Williams
Mike Williams | Handicapper

Free Pick found on BestBettor.com. Mike Williams is part of SportsCapping Group.

Mike uses his strong sports knowledge to analyze all the angles to find the most profitable wagers. Iron Mike handicaps MLB, college football, NFL, NBA, and NCAA basketball. I'm an actual sports and gambling junkie!

#1 Baseball
Yesterday
100
Last 7 days
100
Last 3 days
188
Last 30 days
349