Toronto Blue Jays vs Philadelphia Phillies Picks and Predictions June 5th 2025

Toronto Blue Jays vs Philadelphia Phillies June 5th 2025

The Philadelphia Phillies visit the Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre on Thursday, June 5, 2025. The game starts at 3:07 PM and will be shown on SNET. The weather forecast predicts a mild day with a light breeze and moderate rain, but the retractable roof at Rogers Centre should keep the game going smoothly.

The Phillies have a strong record of 37-24 this season, trailing by just one game in the NL East. They bring Jesús Luzardo to the mound, who has a 3.58 ERA and a 5-1 record. The Blue Jays, with a 32-29 record, are 5 games back in the AL East. Chris Bassitt, with a 3.80 ERA and a 5-3 record, will start for Toronto. Both teams aim to improve their standings in their respective divisions.

Phillies vs Blue Jays Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays
• Venue: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON
• Date: Thursday, June 5, 2025
• Betting Odds: Phillies MoneyLine -121, Blue Jays MoneyLine +103

The Phillies Can Win If…

The Philadelphia Phillies are ready for their next game after a narrow 2-1 loss to the Toronto Blue Jays. Mick Abel pitched well, allowing only one run in over five innings. Nick Castellanos was a standout, hitting a solo home run, which was the Phillies’ only run of the game.

Philadelphia’s batting stats this season show they can win games. They rank 5th in batting average at .256 and 4th in on-base percentage at .332. Their ability to get on base and maintain pressure on opposing pitchers is a key factor in their success.

The Phillies’ pitching staff is also strong, leading the league in strikeouts with 582. Jesús Luzardo, their starting pitcher for the next game, has a solid ERA of 3.58. With both strong hitting and pitching, the Phillies have a good chance to come out on top.

The Blue Jays Can Win If…

The Toronto Blue Jays come into this game after a win against the Philadelphia Phillies, 2-1. José Berríos pitched six strong innings, allowing only one run. Key performances came from Bo Bichette, who drove in a run, and Vladimir Guerrero Jr., who scored a run.

The Blue Jays have shown solid batting this season, ranking 8th in batting average and 7th in on-base percentage. Their lineup includes Vladimir Guerrero Jr., who leads the team with eight home runs. The team also ranks 9th in doubles, which helps them create scoring chances.

On the pitching side, Chris Bassitt will start for the Blue Jays. He holds a 3.80 ERA and has five wins this season. The team’s pitching staff ranks 5th in strikeouts, which can be a key factor in keeping the Phillies’ hitters in check.

The Lean

The Phillies are favored with a moneyline of -121, while the Blue Jays are at +103. The Phillies have a stronger batting average and on-base percentage, ranking 5th and 4th, respectively. Given these stats, my model projects the Phillies to win with a score of 5-4. Therefore, the recommendation is to pick the Phillies on the moneyline.

The current over/under line is set at 8.5. Both teams have moderate pitching stats, with the Phillies having an ERA of 3.96 and the Blue Jays at 4.03. My model projects a total score of 9 runs. Based on this, the recommendation is to take the over on the total runs.

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Phillies Await Realmuto Injury Update Ahead of Series Finale vs. Blue Jays

The Philadelphia Phillies hope to avoid another setback Thursday afternoon when they wrap up their three-game series against the surging Toronto Blue Jays. All eyes will be on the status of catcher J.T. Realmuto, who exited Wednesday’s 2-1 loss after taking a foul ball to the groin in the bottom of the ninth inning.

Realmuto, a crucial presence both behind the plate and in the lineup, was replaced by Rafael Marchan, and his status will be reevaluated before first pitch.

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Realmuto’s Exit Adds to Phillies’ Frustrations

After going 1-for-3 in Wednesday’s loss, Realmuto was in visible pain following the foul tip from Bo Bichette. Manager Rob Thomson, a former catcher himself, acknowledged the severity but held out cautious hope.

“He’s getting checked out… He said he has had worse, but we’ll see,” Thomson said postgame.

The Phillies had opened the series strong with an 8-3 win on Tuesday but have now dropped five of their last six games. Their lone run Wednesday came from a Nick Castellanos solo homer in the second inning.

Jays Stay Hot with Kirk’s Walk-Off

The Blue Jays, winners of six of their last seven, sealed Wednesday’s game in dramatic fashion. Alejandro Kirk delivered a walk-off single off the right-field wall, scoring Vladimir Guerrero Jr., who extended his on-base streak to 34 games.

“We both tried to do the best we could, and I ended up a bit on the winning side,” Kirk said about facing former teammate Jordan Romano. “But it’s not easy to face a guy like Romano.”

Romano, now with the Phillies, took the loss in his first outing against his former club. Still, he refused to blame Realmuto’s exit for the outcome.

“Both our guys are great,” Romano said. “It wasn’t a big deal for myself.”

Pitching Preview: Luzardo vs. Bassitt

The finale sets up a solid duel on the mound. Philadelphia hands the ball to lefty Jesus Luzardo (5-1, 3.58 ERA), who has yet to face Toronto in his career. The Jays counter with veteran right-hander Chris Bassitt (5-3, 3.80 ERA), who will make his 200th career start. He boasts a 4-0 record and a 2.36 ERA in six starts against the Phillies.

This pitching matchup could present a valuable opportunity for bettors looking at MLB Game Forecasts and Betting Picks, especially as both teams navigate recent lineup changes and pitching form.

Philadelphia rookie Mick Abel filled in for Zack Wheeler (paternity list) on Wednesday and impressed with 5 1/3 innings of one-run ball. The lone blemish came on Bichette’s triple, which deflected off center fielder Brandon Marsh’s glove.

Toronto reliever Jeff Hoffman, formerly of the Phillies, picked up the win with a solid outing. After struggling through May with a 13.50 ERA, Hoffman seems to have found his rhythm again.

“It’s been a little bit of a rocky road,” Hoffman admitted. “But I feel good about where we’re at now.”

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