Washington Nationals vs Milwaukee Brewers Picks and Predictions August 1st 2025

Washington Nationals vs Milwaukee Brewers August 1st 2025

The Milwaukee Brewers will take on the Washington Nationals at Nationals Park. The Brewers hold a strong record of 64-44 and are first in the NL Central. They are coming off a loss but have won six of their last ten games. Jose Quintana will start for Milwaukee, bringing an ERA of 3.50 and a record of 7-4.

The Nationals have a record of 44-64 and are in fifth place in the NL East. They have lost their last two games and are 5-5 in their last ten. Mitchell Parker will be on the mound for Washington, with an ERA of 4.91 and a 7-10 record. The game will be broadcast on APLTV, with a start time of 6:45 PM under overcast skies.

Brewers vs Nationals Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals
• Venue: Nationals Park in Washington, DC
• Date: Friday, August 1, 2025
• Betting Odds: Brewers Moneyline -154, Nationals Moneyline +130, Brewers Runline -1.5 (+105), Nationals Runline +1.5 (-126), Total Over 9.0 (-106), Total Under 9.0 (-115)

The Brewers Can Win If…

The Milwaukee Brewers are coming off a recent game against the Chicago Cubs, where they lost 10-3. William Contreras stood out with two home runs and two RBIs. Blake Perkins also contributed with two hits, including a double.

Milwaukee’s batting stats show they can compete. They rank 7th in batting average at .251 and 5th in on-base percentage at .323. Their ability to get on base and steal bases, where they rank 2nd, gives them an edge.

Jose Quintana will start for the Brewers with a solid ERA of 3.50. His experience and control on the mound can limit opposing hitters. The Brewers’ pitching staff ranks 5th in ERA, making them a tough team to score against.

The Nationals Can Win If…

The Washington Nationals are looking to bounce back after a tough 9-1 loss to the Houston Astros. In that game, Josh Bell was a bright spot, going 2 for 3 at the plate. Despite the loss, the Nationals have shown they can compete, winning two of their last five games, including a 2-1 victory over the Astros on July 28th.

The Nationals’ offense has been steady, with a team batting average of .244, ranking 12th in the league. CJ Abrams has been a key player, hitting .275 with 14 home runs and 41 RBIs. The team’s ability to generate extra-base hits, including 175 doubles, helps keep them in games.

On the mound, Mitchell Parker will start for the Nationals with a 4.91 ERA. He has been effective in recent outings, contributing to the team’s two recent wins against the Twins. The Nationals’ pitching staff has managed 36 quality starts this season, which is 12th best in the league, showing they can deliver solid performances when needed.

The Lean

The Brewers are favored with a moneyline of -154 against the Nationals at +130. The Brewers have a strong pitching staff with a 3.63 ERA, ranking 5th, while the Nationals struggle with a 5.13 ERA, ranking 29th. My model projects the Brewers to win the game 5-3, making the Brewers a solid pick on the moneyline.

The total for the game is set at 9.0 runs, with the over at -106 and the under at -115. The Brewers’ pitching should limit the Nationals’ offense, while the Nationals’ pitching has been weak. My model projects a total of 8 runs, so I recommend taking the under.

Score a Homerun!

With our Premium Handicapping Membership

Get Free Trial

Series Background

The Milwaukee Brewers, boasting the best record in the National League, open a three-game series at Nationals Park on Friday. After sweeping Washington in a 6–0 homestand before the All-Star break, Milwaukee will look to extend its dominance. For more on upcoming matchups across the league, see our MLB previews.

Trade Deadline Recap

Milwaukee remained largely unchanged at the deadline, adding outfielder Brandon Lockridge from San Diego and catcher Danny Jansen from Tampa Bay. Those modest moves underscore confidence in a roster that has already delivered. In contrast, Washington embraced a rebuild, shipping veterans Kyle Finnegan, Alex Call, Amed Rosario, Michael Soroka, Andrew Chafin and Luis Garcia for prospects while retaining ace MacKenzie Gore. For a deeper dive into how these transactions affect wagering angles, consult our Expert Betting Guide: MLB.

Pitching Matchups

Friday’s opener pits left-hander José Quintana (7–4, 3.50 ERA) against Washington’s Mitchell Parker (7–10, 4.91). Quintana, who lowered his ERA to 2.66 on June 7 before cooling off to a 4.46 mark over his last seven starts, owns a 1.91 ERA in eight career outings vs. the Nationals. Parker has rebounded with back-to-back two-run efforts, using his slider more effectively, but is 1–1 with a 9.53 ERA in three starts against Milwaukee. Recent game results provide further context on both pitchers’ form.

Team Momentum

Milwaukee’s 3–3 homestand ended with a 10–3 loss to the Cubs, trimming their NL Central lead to a single game. William Contreras, who snapped a month-long homer drought with two on Wednesday, exemplifies the depth fueling Milwaukee’s success. Washington wrapped up a 3–3 road trip with a 9–1 loss at Houston and will now feature fresh prospect talent. You can track the season’s top analysts on our Handicappers Leaderboard.

Betting Outlook

Milwaukee’s veteran core and favorable history make them the logical pick in D.C., but the Nationals’ emerging arms could spring surprises. To see which side our experts favor, check out our latest MLB picks. If you’re ready to lock in on more than just this series, you can buy picks for full-season access.