Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder Picks and Predictions June 13th 2025

Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder June 13th 2025

The Indiana Pacers are set to host the Oklahoma City Thunder in Game 4 of the NBA Finals at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. The Pacers lead the series 2-1 after a 116-107 victory in Game 3. This win marked their first NBA Finals win at home in 25 years, giving them a crucial edge in the best-of-7 series. The game will be broadcast on ABC at 8:30 PM on Friday, June 13, 2025.

Oklahoma City Thunder, led by Head Coach Mark Daigneault, will look to bounce back from their Game 3 loss. Despite a strong performance from Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who played 42 minutes, the Thunder were outscored 32-18 in the fourth quarter. The Thunder are currently favored by 6.5 points for Game 4, indicating confidence in their ability to even the series. Both teams will be preparing at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, setting the stage for another intense matchup.

Thunder vs Pacers Key Information

• Sport: NBA
• Teams: Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Indiana Pacers
• Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
• Date: Friday, June 13, 2025
• Betting Odds: Thunder Spread -6.0 (-107), Pacers Spread +6.0 (-112), Thunder MoneyLine -226, Pacers MoneyLine +188, Over/Under 225.5

The Thunder Can Win If…

The Oklahoma City Thunder are looking to bounce back after their recent 116-107 loss to the Indiana Pacers in Game 3 of the NBA Finals. Despite the defeat, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander delivered a strong performance with 24 points, 8 rebounds, and 4 assists. Chet Holmgren also contributed with 20 points and 10 rebounds, showcasing his potential as a key player for the Thunder.

The Thunder have been one of the top offensive teams in the postseason, averaging 116.5 points per game, which ranks them second. Their ability to control the pace with 99.2 possessions per game also ranks them second. With a solid field goal percentage of 46.2%, the Thunder have the offensive firepower to challenge any opponent.

Oklahoma City is currently a 6.5-point favorite in their upcoming game against Indiana, reflecting confidence in their potential to secure a win. The Thunder’s strong regular season, with 68 wins, highlights their capability to perform under pressure. With Shai Gilgeous-Alexander leading the charge, the Thunder have the talent and depth to even the series in Game 4.

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The Pacers Can Win If…

The Indiana Pacers are coming off a strong performance in Game 3 of the NBA Finals, defeating the Oklahoma City Thunder 116-107. Benedict Mathurin led the team with 27 points, shooting 75% from the field. Tyrese Haliburton also contributed significantly with 22 points, 11 assists, and 9 rebounds, nearly achieving a triple-double.

Key stats highlight the Pacers’ strengths, with their field goal percentage at 49.5%, ranking first in the postseason. They also lead in effective field goal percentage and three-point shooting, making 39.8% of their attempts. The team’s ability to score efficiently is a major factor in their success.

The Pacers have shown resilience throughout the playoffs, winning the game following each of their five losses. Their current 2-1 series lead against the Thunder demonstrates their ability to capitalize on home-court advantage. With a strong bench performance and solid defense, Indiana is well-positioned to continue their playoff run.

The Lean

For the point spread, take the Thunder at -6.0. The Thunder score 116.5 points per game and allow 107.1. The Pacers score 116.4 but allow 113.3. Our model projects the Thunder to win 118-110, covering the spread.

For the over/under, go with the over at 225.5. Both teams score over 116 points per game. The Thunder’s defense allows 107.1, while the Pacers’ defense allows 113.3. The projected total is 228, which is above the set line.

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Pacers, Thunder Stick to Proven Game Plans for Game 4

As the Indiana Pacers and Oklahoma City Thunder prepare for Friday’s pivotal Game 4 of the NBA Finals in Indianapolis, neither team plans to stray far from what’s gotten them this far.

The Pacers lead the best-of-seven series 2-1 — a familiar position for a team that has embraced the underdog role throughout this postseason run.

“That’s the challenge before us right now, is to maintain,” Pacers coach Rick Carlisle said. “It’s got to be a killer edge to beat these guys. We’re going to be an underdog in every game in this series. … It’s a daunting challenge. Anything less than a total grit mindset, we just don’t have a chance.”

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Pacers Embracing Underdog Mentality

Indiana guard Tyrese Haliburton has repeatedly said the team’s underdog identity has been a motivating force since last season. That mindset is fueling a confident, resilient squad that has outscored the Thunder 67-43 in the fourth quarter of their two wins in the series.

Haliburton is coming off his best game of the Finals, posting 22 points, 11 assists, and nine rebounds in Indiana’s 116-107 Game 3 victory.

“I think the biggest thing with right now is this is like a really exciting time,” Haliburton said. “To play against these guys is an honor. It’s a lot of fun. This is a 68-win team, historically one of the best defenses ever. This is a really good team. They have the MVP. They have a bunch of dudes who are going to be in this league for a long time having a lot of success.”

Thunder Staying Grounded

The Thunder aren’t panicking despite trailing 2-1 — after all, they rallied from a similar deficit in the second round against Denver. Oklahoma City also managed to avoid consecutive losses all postseason and will look to do so again.

“Being down 2-1 in a series, it can have emotions associated with it, but dragging those into the next experience isn’t going to help anybody,” Thunder coach Mark Daigneault said. “Them being up 2-1, dragging that in isn’t going to help them, either. You have to compete when the ball goes up in the air. We’ve made a habit of that. We have to double down again on that tomorrow.”

League MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander echoed that mindset, emphasizing the importance of sticking to what has worked for Oklahoma City all season.

“We have to be who we are and who we’ve been all season,” Gilgeous-Alexander said. “I think we got back to that in that series. If we want to give ourselves a chance in this series, it has to be the same thing.”

Defensive Focus Key for Thunder

After allowing Indiana to shoot 51.8 percent in Game 3, the Thunder know getting back to their defensive identity is crucial.

“We’ve kind of strayed away from it a little bit,” Thunder forward Jalen Williams said. “Defensively locking in on a lot of the little things, not let them get comfortable and make those bigger runs late in the game.”

Turner Battling Illness

Indiana center Myles Turner continues to play through illness but still contributed a critical block and rebound late in Game 3. Carlisle said Turner participated in Thursday’s film session before heading home to rest.

“Hopefully, he’ll feel better tomorrow,” Carlisle said. “We’ll see.”

As both teams stay true to their game plans, expect another hard-fought battle in Game 4. Bettors can gain an edge by diving into the latest NBA predictions and betting picks ahead of Friday’s clash.

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