Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder Picks and Predictions June 19th 2025

Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder June 19th 2025

The Oklahoma City Thunder and Indiana Pacers are set to meet in Game 6 of the NBA Finals. The Thunder lead the series 3-2 and are one win away from their first NBA championship. The game will take place at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, with the Pacers having the home-court advantage. This matchup is crucial for the Pacers as they face elimination after losing Game 5 with a score of 120-109.

Oklahoma City’s Jalen Williams and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander were key in their last victory, combining for 71 points. Williams scored a playoff career-high of 40 points. Meanwhile, the Pacers are dealing with Tyrese Haliburton’s injury concerns, which affected his performance in Game 5. Haliburton is determined to play in Game 6, saying, ‘If I can walk, I am playing.’ The Pacers need a strong performance to keep their championship hopes alive. The game will be broadcast on ABC at 8:30 PM on Thursday, June 19, 2025.

Thunder vs Pacers Key Information

• Sport: NBA Basketball
• Teams: Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Indiana Pacers
• Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
• Date: Thursday, June 19, 2025
• Betting Odds: Thunder -6.5 (-107), Pacers +6.5 (-113), Thunder MoneyLine -247, Pacers MoneyLine +203, Over/Under 222

The Thunder Can Win If…

The Oklahoma City Thunder are riding a wave of momentum after their recent 120-109 victory over the Indiana Pacers in Game 5 of the NBA Finals. Jalen Williams was the standout performer, scoring 40 points, while Shai Gilgeous-Alexander added 31 points and 10 assists. This win gave the Thunder a 3-2 series lead, putting them just one win away from their first NBA championship.

Key stats show why the Thunder can win. They rank second in points per game with 116.4 and third in possessions per game with 98.8 during the postseason. Their defense is also strong, allowing just 107 points per game, which ranks sixth. This balance of offense and defense gives them an edge in the series.

Situational trends also favor the Thunder. Teams that win Game 5 in a 2-2 series have a 75% success rate in winning the series. The Thunder have shown resilience, bouncing back from an early series deficit. With Jalen Williams and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander combining for 103 points scored or assisted in Game 5, they have the firepower and teamwork needed to secure a win in the next game.

The Pacers Can Win If…

The Indiana Pacers are gearing up for Game 6 at home after a tough 120-109 loss to the Oklahoma City Thunder in Game 5. Despite this setback, Pascal Siakam stood out with 28 points and a 60% shooting accuracy, showcasing his ability to lead the team. T.J. McConnell also contributed significantly with 18 points in just 21 minutes, indicating that the Pacers have depth in their roster.

The Pacers have been strong offensively throughout the postseason, ranking third in points per game at 115.5. They lead the league in field goal percentage at 49.0%, which shows their efficiency in shooting. Their ability to make three-pointers, ranking third with a 39.2% success rate, could be vital in turning the tide in their favor in Game 6.

Indiana has a solid home record in the postseason with a 6-4 ATS record, which suggests they perform well on their own court. Despite facing elimination, the Pacers have shown resilience in previous series, making strategic adjustments. With Tyrese Haliburton determined to play through his injury, the team is poised to give their best effort to extend the series to Game 7.

The Lean

For the point spread, the recommendation is to pick the Thunder at -6.5. The Thunder are strong offensively, scoring 116.4 points per game, while allowing only 107 points. The Pacers allow 113.5 points, which could give the Thunder an edge to cover the spread.

For the over/under, the recommendation is to go with the over at 222. The Thunder and Pacers both average over 115 points per game. With both teams having high-scoring offenses, the total score could exceed the line of 222.

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Thunder One Win from Title, Expect ‘Best Punch’ From Pacers in Game 6

With one victory standing between them and their first NBA title, the Oklahoma City Thunder know the hardest step still lies ahead as they prepare for Game 6 of the Finals on Thursday night in Indianapolis.

Holding a 3-2 series lead, Thunder coach Mark Daigneault is preaching discipline and focus.

“We’re always trying to put ourselves in our opponent’s shoes. Zero and zero mindset. We’re not introducing any new concepts right now, we’re just relying on the psychological habits we’ve built over time,” said Daigneault.

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That opponent, the Indiana Pacers, are staring at elimination and monitoring All-Star guard Tyrese Haliburton’s availability. The dynamic playmaker has been slowed by calf and ankle injuries. Coach Rick Carlisle admitted it will be late Thursday before knowing how much Haliburton can contribute.

“I’m a competitor. I want to play. I’m going to do everything in my power to play,” Haliburton said.

Thunder Stars Rising

OKC’s stars have delivered as the Finals have worn on. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander combined for 66 points in Games 4 and 5, while Jalen Williams erupted for 40 points in Game 5.

“On the cusp of winning is not winning. The way I see it, winning is all that matters,” Gilgeous-Alexander said.

Williams has stayed locked in during the high-pressure series.

“We’ve done a really good job of focusing on us,” Williams said of his mindset.

The Thunder showed resilience earlier in the playoffs when they lost Game 6 to Denver while leading 3-2, only to rebound with a Game 7 win. That experience has them wary of any complacency.

Pacers Leaning on Team Mentality

Indiana’s hopes rest not just on Haliburton’s availability but also on a full team effort. Pascal Siakam, who scored 28 points in Game 5, stressed the collective mentality needed.

“We have to together all step up. It’s going to be a collective,” Siakam said.

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Indiana rallied from a 3-2 series deficit last summer against the Knicks, and coach Carlisle hopes that experience will fuel the Pacers’ effort.

“Buckle down, stand strong,” was Carlisle’s message for his team.

Meanwhile, Daigneault continues to anchor OKC’s mindset to the present.

“You can’t skip steps in the process,” Daigneault said. “The most important thing we can do is prepare today. Win today.”

With OKC’s stars locked in and Indiana’s resilience tested, Game 6 promises to be a thrilling chapter in this NBA Finals series.