basketball | nba

Dallas Mavericks vs. Miami Heat Pick & Prediction MAY 4TH 2021

FinishedAmerican Airlines Arena Miami

511Dallas Mavericks
512Miami Heat

OP
214.5
-3
CU
216.5o -111
-1 -102
ML
-110
-110
Partials
1 2 3 4
30 33 35 29
39 15 23 36
Score
127
113
Recap

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The Miami Heat are picking up the pace at the right time.

The streaking Heat aim for their fourth straight win and eighth in 10 games Tuesday night when they host the Dallas Mavericks.

Miami (35-30) was sitting at even .500 prior to the torrid stretch that has seen the team move into the sixth spot in the Eastern Conference, a game ahead of the Boston Celtics. That is a coveted placement, as the seventh through 10th place finishers will be part of the play-in round.

"We definitely want to be in the top six and not play in the seeding game," Heat point guard Goran Dragic said after Sunday's 121-111 victory over the Hornets in Charlotte. "We need to fight every game because it's important. It is the playoffs. The preparation is just different."

Finishing in the top six would be a positive development in a season in which the Heat have been struggling to get back on track since a bad January stretch left them seven games below .500. A year after reaching the NBA Finals, they are finally five games over .500 for the first time this season.

"You want to be playing your best basketball at the right time and I'm praying, I'm hoping that right now is the right time for us to be playing our best basketball," swingman Jimmy Butler said.

Dallas (36-28) understands Miami's predicament as it faces its own battle down the stretch.

The Mavericks are competing with the Los Angeles Lakers and Portland Trail Blazers for the fifth through seventh spots in the Western Conference. One of those teams will end up in the play-in round and Dallas doesn't want that to be its fate.

The Mavericks will feel better down the stretch drive if big man Kristaps Porzingis (knee) can get healthy.

Porzingis has missed five of the past six games and is listed as doubtful for Tuesday. Guard Tim Hardaway Jr. (ankle) also sat out Sunday but is slated to play against the Heat.

"It's eight games left," Dallas coach Rick Carlisle said. "They're all very meaningful. Hopefully we'll get Tim back. We'll see where KP is and we'll head to Miami and look to play better."

The Mavericks didn't play well Sunday as they fell 111-99 to the visiting Sacramento Kings. Dallas went 0-3 against the Kings this season.

Composure was a problem as both Carlisle and star guard Luka Doncic were ejected for receiving two technical fouls, the second for each coming in the final minute after the outcome had been determined.

Doncic scored 30 points but was just 1 of 7 from 3-point range. Dallas was 6 of 35 from beyond the arc.

But perhaps most mystifying is figuring out why the Mavericks have such trouble with Sacramento. Dallas has been hot lately -- except playing the Kings. Dallas is 6-3 since April 16, with all six losses coming to Sacramento.

"I guess it's not a good matchup," Doncic said. "But we got to move to the next one. We have bigger things ahead of us."

Tuesday's game is the first meeting between the Mavs and Heat since Dallas ended a six-game losing streak in the series on Jan. 1 with a 93-83 triumph.

Doncic recorded 27 points, 15 rebounds and seven assists in that contest in Dallas, while Butler missed all six of his shots and scored just two points for the Heat.

Miami point guard Victor Oladipo (right knee) will miss his 14th consecutive game and shooting guard Tyler Herro (foot) will miss his sixth in a row. The Heat also might be without veteran swingman Andre Iguodala, who left Sunday's game with a recurring hip problem and will be evaluated before the game.

--Field Level Media

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MONEY LINE ACTION

DAL

TOTAL

MIA
1607p 44%
3651 PICKS
56% 2044p
>
$
$172,202 63%
37% $100,320
DAL

PUBLIC

MIA
1589p 44%
3628 PICKS
56% 2,039p
>
$
$170,823 63%
37% $100,263
DAL

SHARP

MIA
18p 78%
23 PICKS
22% 5p
<
$
$1,379 96%
4% $57

SPREAD ACTION

DAL

TOTAL

MIA
3259p 55%
5921 PICKS
45% 2662p
<
$
$638,775 76%
24% $198,329
DAL

PUBLIC

MIA
3177p 54%
5833 PICKS
46% 2,656p
<
$
$604,732 75%
25% $198,299
DAL

SHARP

MIA
82p 93%
88 PICKS
7% 6p
<
$
$34,043 100%
0% $30

TOTAL ACTION

UNDER

TOTAL

OVER
530p 21%
2541 PICKS
79% 2011p
>
$
$54,456 15%
85% $300,330
UNDER

PUBLIC

OVER
530p 21%
2541 PICKS
79% 2,011p
>
$
$54,456 15%
85% $300,330

GAMES

Last 10

W 70% L 30%
7 3
  • @Miami W 127 - 113
  • Sacramento L 111 - 99
  • Washington W 124 - 125
  • @Detroit W 115 - 105
  • @Golden State W 133 - 103
  • @Sacramento L 106 - 113
  • L.A. Lakers W 93 - 108
  • L.A. Lakers W 110 - 115
  • Detroit W 117 - 127
  • Sacramento L 121 - 107
W 70% L 30%
7 3
  • Dallas L 127 - 113
  • @Charlotte W 121 - 111
  • @Cleveland W 124 - 107
  • San Antonio W 111 - 116
  • Chicago L 110 - 102
  • Chicago W 101 - 106
  • @Atlanta L 103 - 118
  • @San Antonio W 107 - 87
  • Houston W 91 - 113
  • Brooklyn W 107 - 109

Next Games

  • Brooklyn(11-21-18) W 113 - 119
  • Cleveland(03-16-19) W 116 - 121
  • @Cleveland(02-02-19) W 111 - 98
  • @Memphis(04-14-21) W 114 - 113
  • New Orleans(02-12-21) W 130 - 143
  • Minnesota(12-30-18) L 113 - 104
  • @Boston(01-10-21) D 0 - 0
  • @Boston(01-10-21) D 0 - 0
  • Philadelphia(04-09-19) W 99 - 122

Last Meetings

  • Mavericks @ Heat 127-113
  • Heat @ Mavericks 83-93
  • Mavericks @ Heat 99-105
  • Heat @ Mavericks 112-101
  • Heat @ Mavericks 95-88
  • Mavericks @ Heat 101-113
  • Heat @ Mavericks 89-96
  • Mavericks @ Heat 95-99
  • Heat @ Mavericks 93-90
  • Mavericks @ Heat 82-106

Last Injuries

Miami Heat

  • Jimmy Butler

    Illness
    Ques Fri | questionable

    Butler missed the last game due to an illness, and it is unknown if he will face the Timberwolves on Friday.

  • Tyler Herro

    Foot
    Out indefinitely | out

    Herro is sidelined due to a foot injury, and it is uncertain when he will return to the court.

  • Andre Iguodala

    Hip
    Prob Tues | probable

    Iguodala is dealing with a hip injury, but it is likely that he will suit up against the Mavericks on Tuesday.

  • Gabe Vincent

    Knee
    Ques Sun | questionable

    Vincent is tending to a knee injury, and it is unknow if he will play in Sunday's game versus the Hornets.

  • Goran Dragic

    Back
    Prob Sun | probable

    Dragic is bothered by a back injury, but he is projected to lace up for Sunday's game against the Hornets.

  • Avery Bradley

    Calf
    Ques Sun | questionable

    Bradley has missed the last two games with a calf injury, and it it up in the air if he will participate in Sunday's matchup with the Knicks.

  • Kendrick Nunn

    Neck
    Prob Wed | probable

    Nunn was held out of the last game with a neck injury, but it is projected that he will be active versus the Spurs on Wednesday.

  • Andre Iguodala

    Hip
    Prob Wed | probable

    Iguodola missed the last game with hip soreness, but it is likely that he will line up for Wednesday's contest with the Spurs.

Dallas Mavericks

  • Kristaps Porzingis

    Knee
    Out Thurs | out

    Porzingis has sat out the previous three games with right knee soreness, and he will not face the Nets on Thursday.

  • Maxi Kleber

    Achilles
    Out Thurs | out

    Kleber missed the last game with a sore right Achilles, and he will not lace up for Thursday's clash against the Nets.

  • Tim Hardaway Jr.

    Ankle
    Ques Tues | questionable

    Hardaway missed the last game due to an ankle injury, and it is unclear if he will be in the lineup versus the Heat on Tuesday.

  • Maxi Kleber

    Leg
    Prob Sat | probable

    Kleber is bothered by right lower leg soreness, but he is likely to be in the lineup to face the Wizards on Saturday.

  • Luka Doncic

    Elbow
    Ques Sat | questionable

    Doncic was held out of the last contest with a left elbow contusion, and it is unknown if he will dress for Saturday's tilt with the Wizards.

  • Dorian Finney-Smith

    Leg
    Ques Sat | questionable

    Finney-Smith missed the last game due to left lower-leg soreness, and it remains to be seen if he will be active for Saturday's showdown with the Wizards.

  • Josh Richardson

    Hamstring
    Prob Thurs | probable

    Richardson has missed the previous three games with right hamstring tightness, but it is likely that he will be available Thursday versus the Pistons.

  • Maxi Kleber

    Back
    Ques Thurs | questionable

    Kleber is bothered by a lower-back contusion, and it unclear if he will line up against the Pistons on Thursday.