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Spurs vs Grizzlies Picks and Predictions – Tuesday January 6, 2026
San Antonio rolls into Memphis on Tuesday night trying to keep pace near the top of the West, while the Grizzlies are simply trying to survive a brutal stretch of injuries and stop a four-game slide. The Spurs have won seven of their last 10, and they’ve already taken the first two meetings in this series.
Memphis is leaking bodies. Ja Morant is questionable again, rookie Cedric Coward is out after turning his ankle in Los Angeles, and the backcourt depth is thin enough that one more late scratch changes the entire game script. This matchup is less about scheme and more about who can create clean looks when the half-court bogs down.
Tip is set for Tuesday night at FedExForum in Memphis, with local broadcasts and streaming options depending on market.
San Antonio Spurs vs Memphis Grizzlies Odds
These are the current betting lines, and bettors should monitor the latest movement on the Spurs vs Grizzlies odds as final injury news can swing both the spread and total.
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Spurs | -227 | -5.5 (-115) | O 238.5 (-110) |
| Memphis Grizzlies | +190 | +5.5 (-105) | U 238.5 (-110) |
San Antonio Spurs Betting Form
The Spurs have been good in the spots that usually cash tickets: they’ve defended with real ball pressure, they’ve controlled the glass better than last season, and they’ve been able to win even when the shooting comes and goes. When San Antonio is locked in, the possession battle tilts their way because they don’t beat themselves and they force you to execute deep into the clock.
The biggest variable is Victor Wembanyama’s status. If he plays, the Spurs’ margin for error expands on both ends because the rim protection changes how Memphis attacks and the spacing creates easier decisions for everyone else. If he sits again, San Antonio can still win, but you’re relying more on perimeter creation and steady defensive rebounding to avoid gifting Memphis second shots.
You can track recent trends and matchup splits on San Antonio Spurs stats and results. For final availability, check the San Antonio Spurs injury report before you lock in anything.
Memphis Grizzlies Betting Form
Memphis is in a rough cycle: injuries take away primary creation, which leads to tougher shots, which leads to transition the other way, which makes the defense look worse than it actually is. Coward being out matters because he’s been one of their steadier minutes guys and a real contributor on the glass for a wing. If Morant can’t go again, the offense gets forced into longer possessions where every late-clock shot feels like a negotiation.
The Grizzlies can still defend in stretches, especially at home, but it’s hard to cover numbers when you can’t consistently generate paint touches without turning it over. The problem is that the Spurs are disciplined enough to punish the sloppy possessions, and they’re comfortable playing a slower game if they’re ahead.
For game-by-game context and team trends, use Memphis Grizzlies schedule and stats. For the latest on who is actually active, the Memphis Grizzlies injury report is the key tab.
San Antonio Spurs vs Memphis Grizzlies Matchup Breakdown
This matchup starts with who can control pace. San Antonio is comfortable playing in the half-court and hunting mismatches, and Memphis, without its full guard rotation, is more likely to get dragged into long possessions where creation becomes a problem. That’s where the Spurs’ defensive discipline matters: stay attached to shooters, keep the ball out of the middle, and make Memphis finish over length.
Shot profile is the next edge. The Spurs can get quality looks without forcing the issue because they have multiple drivers who can collapse a defense and find the next pass. Memphis, on the other hand, risks settling for early-clock jumpers if the first action doesn’t create an advantage. If you’re betting the total, that’s a big deal. Empty trips and late-clock shots are how unders get there, even when the pace doesn’t look slow on paper.
Rebounding is a quiet swing factor. Memphis has already lost frontcourt stability with Zach Edey out, and Coward’s absence is another hit to defensive rebounding from the wing. If San Antonio turns misses into extra possessions, Memphis’ offense will be chasing the game instead of setting it.
Schedule and travel lean toward the Spurs as well. San Antonio is in a rhythm and Memphis is coming off another emotional fourth-quarter collapse. If Morant is limited or out, Memphis is asking role players to run high-usage possessions against a defense that will be ready for it.
San Antonio Spurs vs Memphis Grizzlies Predictions and Best Bets
My strongest lean is the under, and it’s mostly about Memphis’ offensive ceiling given the current availability. If Morant doesn’t play, it’s hard to see Memphis consistently scoring efficiently enough to push this game over a number in the high 230s unless San Antonio turns it into a track meet.
Even if Wembanyama sits, the under still makes sense because San Antonio tends to stay organized, and the Spurs don’t need to play fast to win. They can grind, defend, and let Memphis’ shot quality deteriorate. If Wembanyama plays, the under gets even cleaner because the rim deterrence forces more jumpers and usually trims opponent free throws at the rim.
The main risk to the under is foul variance late. If Memphis is down single digits in the final two minutes and starts extending the game, you can get a quick 10 to 14 points at the line and make a solid under sweat. That’s the price you pay with high totals.
Best Bet: Under 238.5
NBA Picks and Handicappers on ScoresAndStats
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