New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs Picks and Predictions December 16th 2025

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Match Facts

ItemDetail
MatchupSan Antonio Spurs vs New York Knicks
EventNBA Cup Final (neutral site)
DateTuesday night
LocationLas Vegas, NV
Spurs recent formWon 10 of last 13 (including 111-109 vs Thunder in the West final)
Knicks recent formWon five straight and nine of last 10 (including 132-120 vs Magic in the East final)
Key playersVictor Wembanyama, De’Aaron Fox; Jalen Brunson, Karl-Anthony Towns

For the live matchup page and updated numbers, use NBA scores and odds.

Line and Odds

MarketSnapshot
SpreadKnicks -2.5 (small favorite range)
TotalLow-230s range after upward movement from the opener
MoneylineKnicks favored (price varies by book)
Basketball
2025-12-18 19:10
Open
New York Knicks
3 PICKS
Indiana Pacers
Basketball
2025-12-18 20:10
Open
Washington Wizards
3 PICKS
San Antonio Spurs
Basketball
2025-12-18 20:40
Open
Detroit Pistons
3 PICKS
Dallas Mavericks
Basketball
2025-12-18 21:10
Open
Orlando Magic
3 PICKS
Denver Nuggets
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Movement Matchup

The market story is a steady spread with a rising total. That combination suggests bettors haven’t forced a side correction, but they have pushed the scoring expectation up.

On the floor, the matchup pressure points are clear. New York’s attack flows through Brunson’s craft and shot creation, while San Antonio’s edge is the Wembanyama effect on both ends: rim deterrence defensively and spacing/vertical gravity offensively. If the Knicks win the paint without overcommitting help, they can keep their shooters comfortable. If the Spurs control Brunson’s downhill touches and keep New York out of easy rhythm possessions, this turns into a one-possession game late.

Breakdown Injury Reports

San Antonio Spurs

PlayerStatusNotes
Victor WembanyamaActiveReturned from a calf injury after missing time; may still be monitored, but he closed and dominated late in the West final.

New York Knicks

PlayerStatusNotes
Miles McBrideOutAnkle injury.
Landry ShametOutShoulder sprain.

San Antonio Spurs Recent performance

San Antonio’s Cup run reached its peak at the right time, with Wembanyama returning and immediately changing the fourth quarter against Oklahoma City. The Spurs’ identity in this matchup is versatility: Fox can pressure the rim and pace, the supporting guards can defend, and Wembanyama can win possessions on defense even when the initial coverage breaks down.

The Spurs’ best path is to keep the Knicks from living at their preferred tempo, win the “second effort” possessions, and force New York into contested twos instead of paint-to-kick threes. For broader context on roster profiles and season performance, the quickest reference hub is NBA teams.

New York Knicks Recent performance

New York enters scorching, driven by Brunson’s scoring burst and a stretch of wins where their offense has consistently cleared the bar. Brunson has stacked four straight games with 30+ points, including a season-best 40 in the East final against Orlando.

The Knicks’ advantage is stability: they can play through Brunson in multiple ways, and Towns gives them a second scoring engine that punishes single coverage. If New York stays composed against Wembanyama’s rim presence and keeps their spacing tight, they can generate high-quality looks even when the Spurs defend the first action well.

This game sets up like a classic “market vs moment” spot. The rising total reflects two teams in form and star scorers producing efficiently, but a trophy game often tightens in the second half when possessions slow and matchups get hunted deliberately.

New York’s biggest edge is elite guard creation. Brunson can win late-clock possessions that don’t exist for most teams, and that can decide close finals.

San Antonio’s counter is that they can defend in layers. Even if Brunson creates a paint touch, Wembanyama can turn layups into floaters and force the Knicks to finish over length. If the Spurs avoid live-ball turnovers and keep the Knicks out of transition bursts, they’re live for the full 48.

If you want a broader tournament-only lens, including futures and narrative angles around the event, see NBA Cup odds.

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Best Bets and Prediction

  • Best Bet: Spurs +2.5

If this stays in the one-possession spread range, the underdog has a clean case: Wembanyama’s defensive influence can swing two to four possessions by itself, and finals basketball tends to reward teams that can win ugly late. The Spurs can get there if they keep Brunson off the free-throw line and limit corner threes when help rotates.

Handicapper section

Primary angle to build around: Spurs +points at the best available number.

Game script: competitive throughout, with the Spurs’ rim protection and late half-court defense keeping the margin inside one possession.

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