Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies Picks and Predictions April 20th 2025

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies April 20th 2025

At 1:00 ET, the Thunder host the Grizzlies in a Western Conference matchup. Oklahoma City (-908) is currently on a 4-game win streak and is favored by 13.5 points over Memphis (+608). The over/under line is set at 229.5.

This game will be played at Paycom Center in Oklahoma City and can be seen on ABC.

Grizzlies vs. Thunder Key Information

• Sport: NBA
• Teams: Memphis Grizzlies at Oklahoma City Thunder
• Where: Oklahoma City at Paycom Center
• Date: Sunday, April 20th
• Betting Odds OKC -13.5, MEM +608 | OKC -908 O/U 229.5

The Grizzlies Can Win If…

With a 120-106 win over the Mavericks on Friday, the Grizzlies improved to 48-34 on the season. Playing at home, Memphis covered the -6 point spread, and the game’s total of 226 points narrowly exceeded the O/U line of 222.

Memphis took control early, going on a 10-0 run to stretch the score from 42-24 to 52-24. They led 96-78 heading into the 4th quarter, allowing Dallas to outscore them 28-24 in the final period.

Jaren Jackson Jr. led the Grizzlies to a win over the Mavericks with 24 points, hitting 4 threes at an 80% clip. Desmond Bane and Ja Morant each added 22 points, with Bane shooting 53.3% from the field and Morant struggling at 29.2%.

Memphis connected on 13 threes, shooting 41.9% from deep and 47% overall. Jackson scored 12 points in the 3rd quarter, while Bane added 11 in the 2nd and 7 more in the 4th.

The Grizzlies held the Mavericks to 106 points on Friday, giving up 24 in the 1st quarter and 25 in the 2nd. They allowed 29 points in the 3rd and 28 in the 4th, with the Mavericks shooting 47% from the field.

Memphis limited Dallas to 12 made threes on 31% shooting. The Mavericks went 12/16 from the free-throw line. The Grizzlies grabbed 34 defensive rebounds, allowing 7 offensive boards, and added 8 steals and 4 blocks.

• In their last three road games, Memphis has averaged 116 points per game while allowing 112. The team’s record in this stretch was 1-2 while going 2-1.
• In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Grizzlies have a straight up record of 2-3 and an ATS mark of 3-2.
• Over their last five games, the Grizzlies have an over/under record of 4-1 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.

The Thunder Can Win If…

The Thunder improved to 68-14 with a 115-100 win over the Pelicans on Sunday. Oklahoma City, favored by 12.5 points, covered the spread, while the game’s total of 215 points fell short of the 230.5 over/under line.

Oklahoma City jumped out to a 38-19 lead after the 1st quarter, but the Pelicans responded with an 11-0 run, narrowing the gap to 48-38. The Thunder held off New Orleans by winning the 3rd quarter 26-23 and entered the 4th with a 90-72 lead. The Pelicans edged out the Thunder 28-25 in the final period, but Oklahoma City’s early advantage was too much to overcome.

Despite shooting just 41.8% from the field and 19.1% from three, the Thunder managed to score 115 points in their win over the Pelicans. They connected on only 9 threes in the game.

Aaron Wiggins led the way with 28 points, 7 rebounds, and 7 assists, while Branden Carlson added 26 points and 10 boards. Isaiah Joe contributed 17 points, including 10 in the 4th quarter.

The Thunder’s defense was solid in their win over the Pelicans, holding them to 100 points on 38% shooting. They had strong performances in the 1st and 3rd quarters, allowing just 19 and 23 points, respectively.

Oklahoma City was particularly effective at defending the three, limiting New Orleans to 18% shooting and just 7 made threes. The Thunder also recorded 8 steals and 4 blocks in the game.

• Across the Thunder last ten home games, the team averaged 119 points per game while allowing 108. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 9-1, while going 9-1 straight-up.
• Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Thunder have gone 8-2 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 8-2.
• In their last three games, the Thunder have an over/under record of 1-2 and are 2-1 vs. the spread.

The Lean

We’re putting our money on the Thunder to win, and have the projected score sitting at 152-131. We also like them to cover the spread, so our recommendation is to bet on the Thunder at -13.5.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 229.5, and our model projects the Grizzlies and Thunder to reach a combined total of 283 points. Our bet is on taking the over.

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Thunder vs Grizzlies: Time for OKC to Prove It

The Oklahoma City Thunder dominated the regular season with a league-best 68-14 record, yet they still hear the whispers—”Are they for real?”

Now, it’s time to silence the doubters.

Led by MVP favorite Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, the Thunder enter the 2025 NBA Playoffs as the No. 1 seed in the Western Conference, ready to kick off their title chase against the eighth-seeded Memphis Grizzlies.

Game 1 tips off Sunday in OKC. Let the fireworks begin.

Want expert analysis and betting picks? Hit up our NBA Picks Page.

OKC’s Rise: More Than Just Numbers

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander isn’t just leading OKC—he’s leading the league. The Thunder star averaged 36.3 points in four regular-season games against Memphis, all wins by double digits.

Despite all that, SGA’s keeping his focus razor-sharp:

“I don’t care if teams fear us… if we win games, that’s all that matters.”

The Thunder swept the Grizzlies in the regular season, winning by an average of 18.8 points. They’ve now won nine straight games in the matchup.

Want to see how other contenders stack up? Check out the NBA Championship Odds Preview.

Young but Dangerous

The Thunder are the youngest team in the NBA, but don’t mistake that for inexperience. This group isn’t just growing—they’re thriving.

Their playoff journey last year ended in Round 2 against Dallas, but this season, there’s more depth, more swagger, and a chip on their shoulder.

For more playoff previews and strategy breakdowns, visit our NBA Expert Betting Guide.

Memphis Grizzlies: Playing With Grit

The Grizzlies had to fight their way through the Play-In, and now, they’re here—bruised, but alive.

Ja Morant, still nursing a sprained ankle, dropped 22 points and 9 assists in their Play-In win over Dallas. This came just two days after hobbling through a loss at Golden State.

“He does stuff no one else can do,” said interim coach Tuomas Iisalo. He’s not wrong.

Morant only played in two of the four regular-season losses to OKC—but don’t count him out now.

Dive into Western Conference playoff dynamics with our NBA Western Conference Preview.

Can Memphis Make History?

Only two Play-In teams have won a playoff series: the 2023 Miami Heat and 2023 Los Angeles Lakers. The Grizzlies are gunning to be the third.

They ended the season 13-18 after a strong 35-16 start, which led to coach Taylor Jenkins getting fired. But they’ve found fight in their chaos.

Jaren Jackson Jr. says it best:

“A series is a series. Stay level-headed. It doesn’t matter until it’s over.”

Follow how Memphis stacks up with teams across the NBA Central Division.

Series Snapshot

• Thunder swept 4-0
• Average win margin: 18.8 points
• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander averaged 36.3 PPG
• Morant missed two games

The Thunder’s offensive balance and defensive versatility made all the difference during the regular season. Can they carry that dominance into the playoffs?

For full stat breakdowns and rosters, visit our NBA Team Page.

FAQs

When is Game 1 of Thunder vs Grizzlies?
Game 1 tips off Sunday in Oklahoma City.

Who led the Thunder this season?
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, the league’s top scorer and MVP favorite.

Did the Thunder win the regular season series?
Yes, OKC swept Memphis 4-0 by double-digit margins.

How did the Grizzlies make the playoffs?
They advanced through the Play-In Tournament, beating Dallas in the final game.

What’s Ja Morant’s injury status?
He’s battling a sprained ankle but is expected to play, as shown in his 22-point effort against Dallas.

Where can I get playoff betting picks?
Find sharp insights on our NBA Picks Page.