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San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder Picks and Predictions – January 13, 2026
The Oklahoma City Thunder host the San Antonio Spurs on Tuesday night at Paycom Center, with tipoff set for 8:00 PM ET. This Western Conference clash pits one of the league’s most promising young contenders against a rebuilding squad still learning how to compete night-to-night. OKC enters at 25–13, holding down a top-four seed with eyes on climbing the West standings. San Antonio sits at 7–30, still bottom of the conference, and searching for any signs of cohesion in a tough developmental season.
The Thunder come in as -8.0 favorites, priced at -293 on the moneyline. The Spurs are catching +8.0 and listed at +241 straight-up. The total sits at 228.5, suggesting we could get some pace here, especially given both teams’ tendency to push the ball and take early-clock shots. With Oklahoma City looking to bounce back after a road loss and San Antonio simply trying to stay competitive, this game sets up several betting angles worth exploring.
NBA Lines Before They Move
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San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder Odds
These are the current lines for Tuesday’s matchup. Always check for real-time movement on the latest NBA odds page before placing bets, especially when key injuries or rest situations are involved.
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Spurs | +241 | +8.0 (-111) | O 228.5 (-110) |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | -293 | -8.0 (-110) | U 228.5 (-110) |
San Antonio Spurs Betting Form
The Spurs enter this matchup with just seven wins on the season and only two road victories since early December. They’ve dropped four straight and continue to struggle on both ends of the court, especially in fourth quarters. Even with Victor Wembanyama showing flashes of dominance, the supporting cast has been wildly inconsistent. Devin Vassell has had some strong scoring nights, but Tre Jones, Jeremy Sochan, and Keldon Johnson haven’t been able to maintain rhythm, particularly on the road.
San Antonio is 3–7 ATS in its last 10 games and has struggled against top-10 teams in net rating. The offense ranks 28th in points per 100 possessions and shoots just 34% from deep. Ball movement is decent, but they rank near the bottom in effective field goal percentage and rarely get to the line, limiting their ceiling in high-tempo matchups.
Defensively, they’re a step slow against dynamic guards and frequently allow dribble penetration, ranking 30th in opponent rim frequency and 27th in paint points allowed. That’s a major concern against Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who lives in the lane and draws fouls at an elite rate. San Antonio’s transition defense is also one of the league’s worst, often giving up quick scores off long rebounds or turnovers.
Keep an eye on the San Antonio Spurs injury report for updates on key rotation players. And for more on their performance this season, check out the San Antonio Spurs team stats and schedule.
Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Form
The Thunder remain one of the league’s most efficient teams, ranking top-five in net rating and effective field goal percentage. Despite a tough road loss in Memphis over the weekend, they’ve won 7 of their last 10 and continue to cover at an elite rate — 24–14 ATS overall this season, one of the NBA’s best marks.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander continues to lead the offense with surgical efficiency. He’s averaging over 30 points per game while shooting 54% from the floor and generating free throws at a top-three rate. He’s supported by Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, and a deep group of floor spacers and ball movers that keep defenses honest. Oklahoma City plays a modern style: drive-and-kick heavy, high pace, and elite assist rates. They rank 2nd in offensive efficiency over the past 10 games.
Defensively, they’ve tightened up. Holmgren provides rim deterrence, and OKC is quietly top-10 in opponent FG% at the rim. They also lead the league in turnover creation — which bodes well against a Spurs team that often coughs the ball up under pressure.
This is also a comfortable home spot. OKC is 14–5 SU at Paycom Center and 13–6 ATS in those games. They’ve covered three straight at home and play faster and more efficiently when in front of their crowd.
Be sure to monitor the Oklahoma City Thunder injury report for any late scratches. You can also review the Oklahoma City Thunder stats and results to track their recent performance.
Golden State Warriors
vs
Portland Trail Blazers
Open
vs
Jan 13, 2026 23:10 EST
–
Score
–
-10.50 -110
Spread
+10.50 -110
o+225.50-110
Total
u+225.50-110
-400
Moneyline
+310
Los Angeles Lakers
vs
Atlanta Hawks
Open
vs
Jan 13, 2026 22:40 EST
–
Score
–
+2.00 -110
Spread
-2.00 -110
o+234.50-115
Total
u+234.50-105
+112
Moneyline
-132
Oklahoma City Thunder
vs
San Antonio Spurs
Open
vs
Jan 13, 2026 20:10 EST
–
Score
–
-6.50 -110
Spread
+6.50 -110
o+228.00-110
Total
u+228.00-110
-278
Moneyline
+220
Spurs vs Thunder Matchup Breakdown
This is a rough stylistic matchup for San Antonio on multiple levels. The Spurs are still learning how to guard elite ball-handlers, and OKC brings one of the best in SGA. Without strong point-of-attack defense, the Thunder will get downhill at will, collapse the defense, and kick out for threes or dump-offs to Holmgren.
Here’s where the key matchup edges show up:
- Pace and efficiency: Both teams play fast, but OKC does so with control; Spurs rank 29th in transition defense.
- Turnovers: OKC forces the most turnovers in the NBA; Spurs rank bottom five in turnover rate.
- Shot profile: Spurs allow the highest rim rate and bottom-five 3P% defense; OKC ranks top-10 in both categories offensively.
- Late-game execution: OKC is top-five in clutch net rating; Spurs are dead last.
Fatigue isn’t a huge factor — both teams had rest coming in — but the home-road split matters. The Spurs are just 3–16 SU on the road, while OKC has protected home court all season.
Total-wise, the number is sharp. Both teams play with tempo, and San Antonio’s defense could allow this to fly Over. That said, if the Thunder dominate from start to finish, the pace may slow in the fourth quarter. Garbage time risk is real with spreads this wide, and it could skew the total depending on bench efficiency.
For more matchup evaluation tips, you can dig into our NBA betting guide for deeper strategy breakdowns.
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Spurs vs Thunder Predictions and Best Bets
The line opened around -8 and has held steady — and that feels about right. The Thunder are the better team, in the better spot, with far more cohesion on both ends. San Antonio just doesn’t have the depth or defensive discipline to consistently stop OKC’s high-efficiency offense.
I’m leaning toward Thunder -8.0. It’s not a small number, but OKC has covered these types of spreads consistently — especially at home against non-contenders. I expect SGA to have his way with San Antonio’s weak perimeter defense, and if Holmgren stays out of foul trouble, this could get lopsided early.
On the total, I lean Under 228.5. Spurs team total Under may be the safer derivative angle. Their halfcourt offense stagnates often, and OKC has shown the ability to lock down when needed, especially late.
One alt look: OKC 1H -4.5. They tend to start strong at home and the Spurs are -10.4 in first-half net rating on the road this season.
Best Bet: Thunder -8.0 (-110).
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