Phoenix-suns vs Indiana Pacers Picks and Predictions November 13th 2025

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The Phoenix Suns return home Thursday night after hitting 14 threes in a win at Dallas. Their offense is humming, and their movement-heavy approach keeps defenses off balance. You can see more matchup context on our NBA previews page

Indiana arrives at 1-10 and on another five-game losing streak. They were blown out in Utah and Golden State, giving up 152 and 114 in back-to-back nights. Rick Carlisle’s group is struggling to defend and struggling even more to score, shooting 40.2 percent from the field and 29.6 percent from deep.

Phoenix has won six of seven. Devin Booker continues to drive the offense, and Grayson Allen’s elite shooting has carried them during Jalen Green’s absence. Indiana needs its pace and rebounding strength to keep this close.

For more betting context, check real-time movement on the NBA odds page

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Line Movement and Odds

The market opened around Suns −4.5 with a total near 232.5. Current pricing is still Suns −4.5 with the moneyline near Suns −190, Pacers +160, and a total around 231.

Sharp money has leaned toward Phoenix early. Public money has trickled in on Indiana due to the fast pace and the perception they can play catch-up. The total has seen slight under pressure as bettors react to Indiana’s efficiency issues.

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Matchup Breakdown

Suns Outlook

Phoenix is top-three in threes made per game and continues to stretch defenses with volume and accuracy. Booker’s spacing and usage pull defenders into rotation, and Allen’s 44.6 percent shooting from deep forces hard closeouts. At home, with rest coming Friday, Phoenix should push pace early.

You can compare both rosters via the NBA team pages

Pacers Outlook

Indiana’s edge is pace. They lead the league in possessions and field-goal attempts per game. They rebound well, winning extra possessions that usually keep them competitive. The issue: they convert few of those chances. With Haliburton and Mathurin still out, the shot creation falls heavily on Pascal Siakam.

The Pacers defend the arc well, ranking among the best at limiting opponent three-point percentage. That matchup, versus a Phoenix team firing 16 or more threes nightly, may decide the game.

Injuries and Conditions

Suns

Pacers

  • Tyrese Haliburton, Achilles, out.
  • Bennedict Mathurin, toe, out.
  • T.J. McConnell returned but remains on a ramp-up plan.
    Full details: Indiana Pacers injury report

Indoor venue, no weather factor.

Best Bets and Prediction

Phoenix matches up well with Indiana’s depleted backcourt, and the Suns’ spacing punishes teams that struggle in transition defense. The Pacers’ pace helps them cover numbers, but their shooting profile makes late-game scoring difficult.

Projected Score: Suns 118, Pacers 111
Best Bet: Suns −4.5
Secondary Lean: Under 231

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