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Washington Wizards vs Phoenix Suns Picks and Predictions – January 11, 2026
The Washington Wizards roll into the desert to face the Phoenix Suns on Sunday night at the Mortgage Matchup Center, with tipoff set for 8:00 PM ET. Washington (7-31) has dropped nine of their last ten and is locked into a long rebuild, while Phoenix (24-15) continues its push toward a top-four seed in the West and is now riding a four-game win streak.
This one’s a massive mismatch on paper—and the betting line reflects it. Phoenix is laying a hefty 14 points at home against a Wizards team that’s simply not competitive in most games. It’s the second night of a back-to-back for Washington after getting blown out in Denver, and the market is clearly expecting more of the same here.
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Washington Wizards vs Phoenix Suns Odds
Here are the current betting lines for Wizards vs Suns. Make sure to stay updated with the latest NBA odds as lines may shift based on injury news or betting action.
| Team | Spread |
|---|---|
| Washington Wizards | +14.0 (-110) |
| Phoenix Suns | -14.0 (-112) |
Washington Wizards Betting Form
It’s rough out there for the Wizards. They’ve lost 13 of their last 15, and they haven’t covered in five straight. The defense is bottom three in every major category—points allowed, opponent FG%, rim protection, defensive rebounding. They struggle to stay in front of anyone and don’t have the rim presence to recover when things break down.
Offensively, there’s talent in spurts. Jordan Poole and Kyle Kuzma can get hot, but they also take a ton of low-efficiency shots. The pace is high, but they’re 29th in assist rate and often play disconnected basketball in the halfcourt. When they fall behind early, it snowballs fast.
Back-to-back fatigue is a real concern here. Washington was just run off the floor in Denver and now faces a rested Suns team with elite shotmakers. Availability also looms large, so be sure to check the Washington Wizards injury report before placing bets.
For team stats, recent games, and more, visit the full Washington Wizards profile.
Phoenix Suns Betting Form
Phoenix is quietly hitting stride. Devin Booker has been sensational over the last two weeks, and Kevin Durant is managing minutes while still producing at an elite level. The Suns’ offense has jumped to top 5 in efficiency this month, and they’re spacing the floor well with better shot selection—fewer long twos, more corner threes and attacks off closeouts.
Defensively, the Suns are middle-tier overall but much better at home. They’ve allowed under 109 points in three of their last four at the Mortgage Matchup Center. The addition of more consistent bench minutes from Eric Gordon and Grayson Allen has stabilized the rotation, and Jusuf Nurkic continues to provide physicality on the glass.
Double-check the Phoenix Suns injury report for any last-minute changes, but as long as the core is intact, this is a team that can cover big numbers—especially against overmatched, road-weary opponents.
You can dig into their form and future matchups via the Phoenix Suns schedule and stats.
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Washington Wizards vs Phoenix Suns Matchup Breakdown
This is one of those games where matchup edges are everywhere—for the home team. The Suns are far more efficient on both ends and hold clear advantages in shooting, rebounding, and late-game execution. The Wizards don’t defend the arc well (allowing 38.7% from 3), and that’s a problem against Phoenix’s spacing and multiple elite shot creators.
Shot profile matters here. The Suns take a balanced mix of threes and rim attempts, while Washington settles for midrange looks at one of the highest rates in the league. Transition defense also favors Phoenix—they take care of the ball (top 5 in turnover rate), while the Wizards are sloppy in live-ball situations.
Washington is also at a major schedule disadvantage, closing out a back-to-back in elevation then travel. Phoenix is rested, at home, and in rhythm.
Washington Wizards vs Phoenix Suns Predictions and Best Bets
This is a blowout spot. Phoenix has the talent, motivation, and rest edge, while Washington is outmatched physically and tactically. The 14-point spread is big—but perhaps not big enough. Unless Booker or Durant sits, this feels like a 20-point cruise-control win where the Suns pull away in the third quarter and never look back.
Totals aren’t posted yet, but if the number lands near 236–238, I’d lean under. The blowout risk and Suns’ defensive strength at home could suppress scoring late if Phoenix builds a huge lead and rests starters.
Don’t overthink this one. Bad team on a back-to-back, great team at home, big spread but fair number.
Best Bet: Suns -14.0 (-112).
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