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Golden State Warriors vs Portland Trail Blazers
The Golden State Warriors visit the Portland Trail Blazers at Moda Center on Friday, October 24, 2025 (10:00 PM ET) in what’s shaping up to be one of the most dramatic early-season matchups in the NBA.
You can watch the game live on ESPN or stream via NBA League Pass.
The game comes under a cloud for Portland. Less than 48 hours after head coach Chauncey Billups was arrested on federal conspiracy and money laundering charges, assistant Tiago Splitter steps in as interim coach — becoming the first Brazilian head coach in NBA history.
Golden State, meanwhile, looks as sharp as ever, starting 2-0 after an overtime thriller in Denver on Thursday, powered by a 42-point masterpiece from Stephen Curry.
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Line Movement and Odds
Golden State opened as a slight favorite and continues to draw most of the action due to Portland’s instability.
Current Odds:
- Warriors Moneyline: -113
- Trail Blazers Moneyline: -106
- Spread: Warriors -1.0 (-110)
- Over/Under: 226.5 (-110)
For updated lines and historical matchup data, visit the NBA scores and odds section.
The Warriors Can Win If…
The Warriors have hit their rhythm early — and it’s all centered on Stephen Curry. The 37-year-old star erupted for 42 points, seven assists, and six rebounds in Thursday’s 137-131 overtime win over the Denver Nuggets, outdueling a 50-point game from Aaron Gordon.
Golden State’s offensive spacing remains elite, ranking top five in three-point makes (15.5) and fourth in accuracy (42.5%). Jimmy Butler III has been the ideal secondary scorer, posting 26 points per game on 56% shooting across his first two appearances.
Defensively, Golden State has shown discipline late in games. They allow just 109 points per game, ranking third league-wide, and opponents are shooting only 31% from beyond the arc. If Draymond Green and Jonathan Kuminga can contain Jerami Grant’s slashing game, the Warriors’ transition attack could quickly take over.
Head coach Steve Kerr noted the team’s urgency to “stack wins early” in a competitive Western Conference — a message that seems to have taken hold.
For advanced player prop data and situational betting trends, check the NBA picks page.
The Trail Blazers Can Win If…
Portland enters this matchup in chaos but not without competitive potential. In Wednesday’s 118-114 loss to Minnesota, the Blazers led most of the night before collapsing in the fourth quarter — hitting just 4 of 19 shots (21.1%) in the final frame.
Despite the loss, Jerami Grant was spectacular off the bench, scoring 29 points on 10-of-14 shooting. Deni Avdija added 20 points and seven rebounds, while Scoot Henderson flashed improved decision-making with eight assists.
New interim coach Tiago Splitter inherits a roster with strong interior defense and length. Portland ranks 2nd in blocks per game (7.0) and 3rd in opponent two-point percentage (46.2%). Their free-throw efficiency (82.9%) also keeps them alive in close contests.
If Portland can rally emotionally and slow down Golden State’s tempo, they could turn this into a half-court battle — exactly the type of grind-it-out pace that neutralizes the Warriors’ spacing advantage.
Betting Trends
- Golden State has won nine straight vs Portland, by an average of 21.0 points per game.
- Warriors are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games.
- Portland is 5-1 ATS in their last six home openers.
- The Over has hit in four of Golden State’s last five overall.
- Portland has gone Over in 8 of their last 11 when listed as a home underdog.
For long-term profitability trends and NBA-specific power ratings, visit the NBA expert betting guide.
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Prediction and Analysis
This matchup has emotional and tactical contrasts everywhere — a seasoned, cohesive Golden State team against a young, distracted Portland squad trying to rally under new leadership.
The Blazers will compete early, but the Warriors’ offensive chemistry and late-game execution should carry the night.
Projected Score: Warriors 117, Trail Blazers 114
Best Bet: Warriors -1.0 (-110)
Total Lean: Over 226.5 (-110)
Golden State’s pace and Portland’s lack of defensive consistency in crunch time make this a likely high-scoring affair. Expect Curry and Butler to dominate the second half as the Warriors extend their streak to 10 straight wins over the Blazers.
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