NFL Previews 
MLB Previews 
NBA Previews 
NHL Previews 
Soccer Previews 
San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves Picks and Predictions – January 11, 2026
The Minnesota Timberwolves welcome the San Antonio Spurs to Target Center on Sunday night, with tipoff scheduled for 7:00 PM ET. Minnesota (29-12) is near the top of the Western Conference and playing dominant basketball, while San Antonio (7-32) remains in developmental mode but has shown flashes of growth behind Victor Wembanyama.
Oddsmakers have Minnesota as a modest 2.5-point favorite at home with a 235.5 total—lower than expected considering both teams can score in bunches. The tight spread may reflect rest dynamics or injury concerns, but stylistically, the Wolves have key matchup advantages in the halfcourt and on the glass.
Advanced NBA Models in Action
See Value Before the Books Adjust
San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves Odds
Below are the current betting odds for Spurs vs Timberwolves. Stay updated with the latest NBA odds as lines shift due to injury or market movement.
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Spurs | +118 | +2.5 (-109) | O 235.5 (-110) |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | -141 | -2.5 (-113) | U 235.5 (-110) |
San Antonio Spurs Betting Form
The Spurs continue to lose games (just 2–8 in their last 10), but they’re beginning to cover more consistently, going 5–3 ATS in their last eight. Wembanyama has been a highlight machine, anchoring the paint with elite rim protection and improving touch around the rim. Offensively, they’re still erratic, but Devin Vassell and Tre Jones have helped provide some structure.
Turnovers remain a concern, especially against high-pressure defenses, and their 3-point shooting is too volatile to trust night-to-night. Still, with size, pace, and growing chemistry, they’ve been more competitive lately—even in losing efforts.
Be sure to monitor the San Antonio Spurs injury report before tip.
Explore trends and team stats on the San Antonio Spurs page.
Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Form
Minnesota is playing like a true contender. They rank 1st in defensive rating and are top 3 in net rating overall. Anthony Edwards is making a leap into All-NBA status, while Rudy Gobert has anchored the interior with elite rim deterrence and rebounding.
Offensively, they’ve improved in halfcourt creation and spacing—thanks in part to more consistent contributions from Mike Conley and Jaden McDaniels. The Wolves are 7–3 ATS in their last 10 and have been especially dominant at home, covering six of their last eight at Target Center.
Check the Minnesota Timberwolves injury report in case of any last-minute lineup adjustments.
For full stats and schedule, visit the Minnesota Timberwolves team page.
San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves Matchup Breakdown
This matchup tilts toward Minnesota on both ends. The Wolves can switch or drop in coverage, limiting San Antonio’s pick-and-roll attack, and they dominate the glass (top 5 rebounding rate). Offensively, Edwards is a tough cover for any Spurs perimeter defender, and Gobert should neutralize Wembanyama’s inside presence.
San Antonio plays fast, but Minnesota excels at slowing down transition and forcing teams into tough halfcourt sets. The Timberwolves also force more turnovers, which could be a problem for the Spurs’ still-developing ballhandlers.
Key matchup notes:
- Wolves: #1 in defensive rating
- Spurs: 27th in turnover rate, 28th in 3PT% defense
- Minnesota: 16–5 SU at home
- Wembanyama: averaging 3.4 blocks per game (leads NBA)
If Minnesota plays to their average level, this is their game to lose.
San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves Predictions and Best Bets
The spread is shorter than expected, and that might be the biggest red flag here. It suggests the market is baking in possible rest or injury risk for Minnesota. But if the lineup holds, this is a spot where the Wolves should handle business.
San Antonio is improving, but they don’t have the shot creation or perimeter defense to keep up with Minnesota’s depth. Look for the Wolves to control the pace and grind out a win with defense and efficient scoring.
The total at 235.5 feels slightly inflated. Minnesota’s defense has consistently held opponents under 110, and if they dictate tempo, this could land in the low 220s.
Best Bet: Timberwolves -2.5 (-113).
NBA Picks and Handicappers on ScoresAndStats
Looking for more winning angles? Check out today’s NBA picks for expert opinions and projections. Track long-term performance on the handicapper leaderboard, or ride hot streaks from the top sports handicappers.
Want high-conviction premium plays? Go to the buy expert picks section for fully-vetted selections from our top pros.
