Alabama Crimson Tide vs Texas Longhorns Picks and Predictions January 10th 2026

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The Alabama Crimson Tide enter 11-4 and look to rebound from a foul-heavy loss, while the Texas Longhorns aim to regroup after back-to-back SEC defeats in this clash at Coleman Coliseum.

Line Movement and Odds

Alabama opened as the favorite, with the line reflecting confidence in their offensive firepower and home-court edge. Current market:

  • Alabama Spread: -6.5 (-110)
  • Texas Spread: +6.5 (-110)
  • Alabama MoneyLine: -250
  • Texas MoneyLine: +205
  • Total: 152.5 (-110)

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Matchup Breakdown

Alabama Outlook

Alabama averages 84.7 points per game, with Labaron Philon Jr., Amari Allen, and Grant Nelson leading the offense. Philon’s health (probable after cramps vs Vanderbilt) is key, while Allen’s 25-point performance highlighted depth. Their 11-4 overall record underscores competitiveness, though all four losses came against top-12 opponents. Coach Nate Oats emphasizes ball movement after just nine assists in their last game.

Texas Outlook

Texas averages 74.9 points per game, with Tramon Mark, Camden Heide, and Tyrese Hunter providing scoring depth. Their struggles against ranked opponents (0-2 SEC start) and lack of effort prompted lineup changes from coach Sean Miller. Their 9-6 overall record underscores inconsistency, with eight wins coming against Quadrant 4 opponents. Defensive lapses and rebounding remain concerns against elite competition.

Key Matchup / Path to Victory

The game hinges on Alabama’s ability to maintain offensive rhythm and keep Philon healthy, while Texas must lean on Mark and Heide to pace the offense. If Alabama controls tempo and improves ball movement, their depth should create separation. Texas’ hopes rest on effort and defensive intensity to stay competitive.

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Injuries / Availability

Alabama: Labaron Philon Jr. (probable, cramps). No other injuries reported.

Texas: No notable injuries listed.

Environment

Coleman Coliseum provides Alabama with a strong home-court edge, where they have been consistent this season. Texas’ balanced offense highlights their ability to compete in Tuscaloosa despite road challenges.

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Best Bets and Prediction

Projected Final Score: Alabama 81, Texas 72

  • Alabama -6.5 → Best Bet. Their offensive pace and home-court advantage make them the sharper side.
  • Under 152.5 → Total play. Texas’ offensive struggles point toward a combined score below the line.

Alabama’s depth and perimeter shooting should dictate the game, while Texas’ offense keeps the spread in play. Expect a competitive contest trending under the total.

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