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Alabama Crimson Tide vs Vanderbilt Commodores Picks and Predictions – January 7th 2026
The Alabama Crimson Tide head to Memorial Gymnasium in Nashville, TN on Wednesday, January 7, 2026, to take on the Vanderbilt Commodores in a fast-paced SEC clash. Tipoff is set for 9:00 PM ET, and this one is expected to be a track meet — with a total sitting at a sky-high 177.5. Vanderbilt enters as a 4.5-point favorite, looking to protect home court in what’s likely to be a high-scoring war of tempo and perimeter shooting.
Both teams play with pace, but the difference is defense. Vanderbilt has shown more discipline in late-game situations, while Alabama leans heavily on shot volume and transition threes. This game could have long scoring runs — and just as quickly, droughts that flip the cover or total late.
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Alabama Crimson Tide vs Vanderbilt Commodores Odds
Here’s how the books are pricing this SEC battle. Always check the latest college basketball odds for updates before tipoff.
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama Crimson Tide | +157 | +4.5 (-114) | O 177.5 (-110) |
| Vanderbilt Commodores | -197 | -4.5 (-110) | U 177.5 (-110) |
Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Form
Alabama continues to be one of the fastest teams in the country, ranking top five in tempo and three-point attempts per game. Their offensive identity hasn’t changed — spacing, shooting, and transition buckets. They’ve scored 80+ in five straight and have covered three of their last four.
But defensively, the cracks are there. Alabama often trades buckets and gets beat in halfcourt sets. When the threes fall, they can bury teams — when they don’t, they’re vulnerable, especially on the road. Their defensive rebounding has also slipped against stronger frontcourts, which may matter here.
For performance metrics, view the Alabama stats and results and monitor lineup status on the Alabama injury report.
Vanderbilt Commodores Betting Form
Vanderbilt thrives on discipline, pace control, and late-game execution. They’ve been excellent at home — 6-1 SU — and have won key SEC games by keeping teams in front, slowing tempo when needed, and making their free throws. That last point matters in a game where late fouls could shift both the spread and the total.
They don’t shoot as many threes as Alabama but are more efficient overall. Vanderbilt also limits turnovers and controls the glass better, particularly at Memorial Gymnasium where their home-court setup often trips up visiting teams unfamiliar with the elevated baseline configuration.
Check the Vanderbilt schedule and stats and look for any key updates on the Vanderbilt injury report.
Alabama Crimson Tide vs Vanderbilt Commodores Matchup Breakdown
This is a classic contrast of styles — Alabama’s chaos vs Vanderbilt’s control.
- Pace: Alabama will try to push every possession. Vanderbilt plays more deliberately.
- Shot profile: Alabama bombs from deep, while Vandy takes more balanced looks.
- Defense: Vanderbilt is more reliable in the halfcourt; Alabama gives up high-quality shots often.
- Rebounding and turnovers: Slight edge to Vanderbilt on both — could be critical in a tight cover scenario.
If Alabama starts hot from three, they can lead wire to wire. But if the Commodores muck this up and extend possessions, they have a clear edge — especially with foul shooting late.
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Alabama Crimson Tide vs Vanderbilt Commodores Predictions and Best Bets
The spread is sharp, but I lean Vanderbilt here. Their ability to control tempo, get stops, and manage close games gives them the edge against an Alabama team that can unravel when the shots stop falling. It’s also worth noting Vanderbilt has consistently closed games better at home.
As for the total — 177.5 is high, but not unrealistic. Still, Vanderbilt may slow things down just enough to keep this slightly under the number. Any extended cold stretch from Alabama — which happens on the road — would help the Under.
Best Bet: Vanderbilt -4.5 (-110).
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