Arizona State Sun Devils vs Kansas State Wildcats Picks and Predictions January 10th 2026

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The Arizona State Sun Devils enter 9-6 and look to snap a four-game losing streak, while the Kansas State Wildcats aim to rebound from consecutive defeats in this Big 12 clash at Desert Financial Arena.

Line Movement and Odds

Kansas State and Arizona State opened evenly matched, with the line reflecting both teams’ struggles in conference play. Current market:

  • Arizona State Spread: -2.5 (-110)
  • Kansas State Spread: +2.5 (-110)
  • Arizona State MoneyLine: -140
  • Kansas State MoneyLine: +118
  • Total: 145.5 (-110)

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Matchup Breakdown

Arizona State Outlook

Arizona State averages 74.1 points per game, with Anthony “Pig” Johnson, Massamba Diop, and Frankie Collins leading the offense. Their shooting efficiency has dipped (37.8% FG vs BYU), but Diop’s presence inside (22 points, 9 rebounds vs BYU) highlights their potential advantage in the paint. Their 9-6 overall record underscores competitiveness, though their 0-2 Big 12 mark shows struggles against ranked opponents.

Kansas State Outlook

Kansas State averages 76.3 points per game, with PJ Haggerty, Arthur Kaluma, and Tylor Perry providing scoring depth. Haggerty ranks seventh nationally at 22.7 points per game, but the Wildcats’ perimeter struggles (14.3% 3PT vs BYU, 22.2% vs Arizona) have hurt their efficiency. Their 9-6 overall record underscores resilience, though their rebounding issues (outrebounded 55-32 vs Arizona) remain a concern.

Key Matchup / Path to Victory

The game hinges on Arizona State’s ability to exploit Kansas State’s weakness in the paint, while the Wildcats must improve perimeter shooting to stay competitive. If Diop controls the interior and Johnson finds rhythm, Arizona State has the edge. Kansas State’s hopes rest on Haggerty’s scoring and improved rebounding.

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Injuries / Availability

Arizona State: No injuries reported.

Kansas State: No notable injuries listed.

Environment

Desert Financial Arena provides Arizona State with a strong home-court edge, where they have been competitive despite recent struggles. Kansas State’s balanced offense highlights their ability to compete in Tempe despite road challenges.

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Best Bets and Prediction

Projected Final Score: Arizona State 75, Kansas State 70

  • Arizona State -2.5 → Best Bet. Their interior presence and home-court advantage make them the sharper side.
  • Under 145.5 → Total play. Both teams’ recent shooting struggles point toward a combined score below the line.

Arizona State’s depth and rebounding should dictate the game, while Kansas State’s offense keeps the spread in play. Expect a competitive contest trending under the total.

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