Arizona State Sun Devils vs West Virginia Mountaineers Picks and Predictions January 21st 2026

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Two power-conference programs meet in the desert on Wednesday night as the Arizona State Sun Devils host the West Virginia Mountaineers at Desert Financial Arena in Tempe, Arizona. Tip-off is set for 9:00 p.m. ET, with the Sun Devils laying -1.5 and the total sitting at 145.5.

Both teams are searching for traction in the middle of conference play. The West Virginia Mountaineers have battled inconsistency, while the Arizona State Sun Devils are fighting to hold serve at home. With a short spread and a total that could swing either way depending on tempo, there’s value to be found — but it may not be where the public expects.

Let’s dig into the matchup.

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West Virginia Mountaineers vs Arizona State Sun Devils Odds

Here are the latest odds for this non-conference clash. Make sure to double-check the latest college basketball odds for updates and movement.

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotal
West Virginia Mountaineers+110+1.5 (-110)O 145.5 (-110)
Arizona State Sun Devils-130-1.5 (-110)U 145.5 (-110)

West Virginia Mountaineers Betting Form

The West Virginia Mountaineers enter this one with an underwhelming record, but they’ve started to show signs of life offensively. They’ve covered three of their last four games and seem to be settling into a tighter rotation. They’re still just 2-6 away from home, though, and their offense has notably regressed outside Morgantown.

West Virginia’s tempo is moderate, but their possessions are often messy. They rank near the bottom of the Power 6 in turnover rate and offensive rebounding. That’s especially dangerous on the road, where live-ball turnovers can swing momentum. The Mountaineers’ shot profile leans toward the midrange, and they struggle to generate efficient looks from deep or get to the free-throw line.

Defensively, the West Virginia Mountaineers stats and results show a team that’s physical but often disjointed. They foul too often, allowing over 22 free-throw attempts per game, and have trouble guarding perimeter-heavy lineups — a problem if the Arizona State Sun Devils push pace and space them out.

Before betting on the side or total, it’s smart to double-check the West Virginia Mountaineers injury report. This team’s rotations have been anything but stable, and late scratches or minutes restrictions could move the needle.

Arizona State Sun Devils Betting Form

The Arizona State Sun Devils are 11-7 overall and a respectable 7-3 at home this season, where their defense tends to tighten up. They’ve been covering spreads in the -2 to -4 range all year against similarly matched opponents, and they’ve leaned on tempo and perimeter shooting to create separation at home.

The Sun Devils want to run — they rank top 75 in adjusted tempo and often initiate offense off misses. Their backcourt is deep and balanced, with multiple shooters averaging over 36% from beyond the arc. While they can go cold, they stretch defenses enough to create driving lanes and free-throw chances.

The Arizona State Sun Devils stats and results back up their home-court profile: aggressive, fast, and willing to trade buckets. They’re not elite defensively but have held opponents under 70 points in six of their last eight home games. They pressure ball-handlers and rotate quickly — a plus against a turnover-prone West Virginia Mountaineers squad.

Keep tabs on the Arizona State Sun Devils injury report, especially in the frontcourt. This team has been playing small at times, and that could change how they defend West Virginia’s post touches.

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West Virginia Mountaineers vs Arizona State Sun Devils Matchup Breakdown

This game likely comes down to who dictates pace and takes care of the basketball. The Arizona State Sun Devils want to run, force turnovers, and create transition threes. The West Virginia Mountaineers need to slow it down and grind their way into the bonus early.

Key Matchup Angles:

  • Turnovers: West Virginia Mountaineers rank near the bottom nationally in turnover rate. Arizona State Sun Devils force over 14 per game.
  • Free Throws: Arizona State gets to the line at a solid clip; West Virginia fouls too often.
  • Home/Road Split: Arizona State is +7.5 PPG better at home. West Virginia shoots 39.8% away from home.
  • Late-Game Execution: Sun Devils have more consistent guard play and free-throw shooters late.

In close matchups like this, understanding how to bet on basketball becomes essential — especially with end-game fouling, pace shifts, and rotation tweaks impacting live markets and totals.

The total at 145.5 is fairly sharp, but slightly inflated if the Mountaineers successfully slow it down. If Arizona State Sun Devils build an early lead, they’ll force tempo — and that’s where Over bettors gain life.

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West Virginia Mountaineers vs Arizona State Sun Devils Predictions and Best Bets

While the spread is short, the context favors the home team. The Arizona State Sun Devils have been solid in Tempe, particularly against less disciplined offenses. The West Virginia Mountaineers simply don’t score efficiently enough on the road, and their turnover issues will be magnified against a high-energy Sun Devils defense.

My number makes Arizona State -2.8, so we’re getting slight value at -1.5. It’s a coin flip on paper, but the edge leans to the home court, the deeper backcourt, and the better late-game fouling situation.

As for the total, I project 143.2 — not enough margin to bet it, but I’d lean Under if West Virginia’s pace slows the game down.

Best Bet: Arizona State Sun Devils -1.5 (-110)

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