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The Territorial Cup rivalry tips off Saturday afternoon as Arizona heads north to face Arizona State at Desert Financial Arena. Tip is scheduled for 2:00 PM ET. The Wildcats come in as heavy 13.5-point road favorites with a high total of 165.5 — signaling expectations of pace, scoring, and possibly chaos.
Arizona (18–3, 9–1 Pac-12) is steamrolling through conference play and comes off a dominant stretch that’s vaulted them into top-5 national contention. Arizona State (9–12, 3–7 Pac-12) is limping, having lost four of five and covered just once in that stretch. The Sun Devils are trying to salvage pride in a rivalry game, but they’ll need much more than emotion to keep up here.
This is all about pace and pressure. Arizona thrives in the open floor and runs teams out of the gym when they’re clicking. Arizona State wants to muck it up — but they may not have the tools to control this one.
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Arizona Wildcats vs Arizona State Sun Devils Odds
These are the latest lines for this high-intensity PAC-12 battle. Keep tabs on the latest college basketball odds for movement heading into tip.
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Wildcats | -1149 | -13.5 (-117) | O 165.5 (-120) |
| Arizona State Sun Devils | +655 | +13.5 (-109) | U 165.5 (-113) |
Arizona Wildcats Betting Form
Arizona is peaking. The Wildcats are obliterating teams with tempo, ball movement, and depth. They rank top-10 nationally in pace, assist rate, and transition efficiency. What separates them this season is how well they’re defending — even when games get fast.
They’re not just running to run. Arizona punishes slow defenses by constantly rotating bodies, cutting off-ball, and hunting mismatches in the post or corner. They also draw fouls at a high rate, which is crucial when covering big spreads on the road.
Check the Arizona Wildcats injury report for any changes, especially among their rotation wings. For stats, trends, and previous game breakdowns, visit the Arizona Wildcats stats and results.
Arizona State Sun Devils Betting Form
Arizona State is backpedaling — and doing so against one of the worst possible opponents. The Sun Devils can’t keep pace in transition and have been foul-prone during their current slide. They rely too much on one-on-one creation and haven’t shot well from deep in weeks.
Their best hope is turning this into a halfcourt game. When they’re at home and can slow opponents down, they’ve shown flashes — but the margin for error here is slim. Arizona State’s defense gives up a high rate of corner threes and struggles with teams that move without the ball. That’s a nightmare setup against this opponent.
Make sure to check the Arizona State Sun Devils injury report for clarity on their rotation. For more stats and game logs, visit the Arizona State Sun Devils schedule and stats.
Arizona Wildcats vs Arizona State Sun Devils Matchup Breakdown
This is a pace mismatch. Arizona plays fast — and scores efficiently while doing it. ASU doesn’t have the depth or conditioning to keep up for 40 minutes. The Wildcats also dominate the glass, which could limit any second-chance scoring that ASU depends on.
Shot profile? Arizona scores at the rim and off cuts. ASU allows a high FG% in both areas. And when the game gets up-tempo, ASU starts fouling — they rank among the worst in the Pac-12 in opponent free throw rate.
Key matchup points:
- Arizona: top-10 in pace, top-15 in scoring, elite transition offense
- Arizona State: below-average transition defense, poor foul control
- Rivalry factor is real, but ASU hasn’t covered double-digit spreads well this season
- Arizona’s depth allows consistent pressure and scoring in both halves
If Arizona avoids early foul trouble, this one could get out of hand early.
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Arizona Wildcats vs Arizona State Sun Devils Predictions and Best Bets
There’s not much value in the moneyline, obviously — but laying the points makes sense here. Arizona’s been covering big spreads on the road and looks locked in. Arizona State doesn’t have the firepower or efficiency to go score-for-score in a track meet. I lean Arizona -13.5, and I’d still take it up to -14.
The total is a sharper debate. 165.5 is very high, but this could be a full-throttle game from the start. Arizona doesn’t stop running, and ASU will be forced to match possessions or foul. If ASU hits some shots — even if late — this could clear.
Look for 1H plays too: Arizona -7 or better makes sense if you expect an early blitz.
Best Bet: Arizona Wildcats -13.5 (-117).
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