Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs Mississippi Valley State Picks and Odds

Two struggling SWAC programs square off Thursday night when Arkansas-Pine Bluff visits Mississippi Valley State at the Harrison HPER Complex. Tip-off is set for 8:00 PM ET, with both teams searching for just their second conference win.

The Golden Lions (5–16, 1–7 SWAC) have shown flashes of fight but continue to rank near the bottom of the league in most statistical categories. Mississippi Valley State (2–19, 1–8 SWAC) is still rebuilding and trying to stay competitive in low-scoring, chaotic games. This one won’t draw national attention — but the market has it tight.

Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs Mississippi Valley State Odds

Team	Moneyline	Spread	Total
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions	-118	-1.5 (-110)	O 134.5 (-110)
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils	-102	+1.5 (-110)	U 134.5 (-110)

Arkansas-Pine Bluff Betting Form

The Golden Lions push tempo but struggle with efficiency. They average just 64 points per game and shoot under 30% from deep. Their backcourt lacks consistent shot creation, and turnovers remain a major issue — especially on the road.

Defensively, UAPB doesn’t have the size to protect the rim or win on the glass. They’ll try to speed the game up and play in transition, but without scoring consistency, it’s a tough formula to trust. That said, they’ve covered in two of their last four and tend to keep games close.

Check the Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions injury report for any updates, and explore their recent numbers at the Arkansas-Pine Bluff stats and results.

Mississippi Valley State Betting Form

Mississippi Valley State ranks among the worst offensive teams in Division I. They shoot under 40% from the field, average fewer than 60 points per game, and rarely get to the line. Still, they defend with effort and force just enough turnovers to stay in games — particularly at home.

They’ve covered just once in their last five but have played hard in recent losses. If they can slow things down and turn this into a grind-it-out possession game, they’ll have a shot to steal one.

Check their Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils injury report before tip, and track trends at the Mississippi Valley State schedule and stats.

Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs Mississippi Valley State Matchup Breakdown

This is a low-level matchup between two inefficient offenses. The tempo might be fast in spurts, but the total scoring is capped by poor shooting and high turnover rates. The key edge might simply be whichever team hits more free throws and avoids second-half foul trouble.

Notable angles:

UAPB ranks last in SWAC in defensive rebounding
MVSU averages 12 turnovers per game (best in SWAC)
Both teams combine to shoot under 60% from the FT line
Delta Devils are 1–9 SU at home

It’s a rough one — but the line reflects how tight this could be.

Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs Mississippi Valley State Predictions and Best Bets

I lean Arkansas-Pine Bluff -1.5. They have more athleticism, a better scoring ceiling, and have at least shown some ability to push leads in transition. Mississippi Valley can hang for stretches, but they haven’t finished games well.

Total lean is Under 134.5. Neither team shoots well, and even with a few fast possessions, efficiency is low enough to keep this one under the number more often than not.

Best Bet: Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions -1.5 (-110).

NCAAB Picks and Handicappers on ScoresAndStats

Don’t forget to check the free NCAAB picks for expert breakdowns of every major conference game.

Compare ROI and pick your strategy from the top sports handicappers, or track consistent winners on the handicapper leaderboard. For high-confidence plays, go to the buy expert picks section.

Want a sharper edge? Learn more in the sports betting strategy guide.