Arkansas Razorbacks vs Vanderbilt Commodores Picks and Predictions January 20th 2026

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The Vanderbilt Commodores look to bounce back from consecutive losses, while the Arkansas Razorbacks aim to protect their undefeated home record in this SEC clash at Bud Walton Arena.

Line Movement and Odds

Arkansas enters as the favorite, but Vanderbilt’s high-powered offense makes this line competitive. Current market:

  • Vanderbilt Spread: +1.5 (-113)
  • Arkansas Spread: -1.5 (-110)
  • Vanderbilt MoneyLine: -102
  • Arkansas MoneyLine: -122
  • Total: 171.5 (-110)

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Matchup Breakdown

Vanderbilt Outlook

The Commodores average 91.4 points per game, with Tyler Tanner, Duke Miles, and Tyler Nickel leading the offense. Tanner’s 20 points vs Florida highlighted his consistency, while Nickel’s 52% FG showcases his efficiency. Vanderbilt’s shooting efficiency (49.6% FG, 25th nationally; 7-1 road record) underscores their strengths. Their 16-2 record and ability to win away from home highlight resilience, making them a dangerous underdog.

Arkansas Outlook

The Razorbacks average 89.7 points per game, with Darius Acuff Jr., Billy Richmond III, and Malique Ewin driving production. Acuff’s 20 points, 6 assists, and 6 rebounds vs Georgia highlighted his dominance, while Richmond’s 12 points and 8 rebounds showcased his impact. Arkansas’s shooting efficiency (55.9% effective FG; 11-0 home record) underscores their strengths. Their 13-5 record and perfect mark as favorites (9-0) highlight dominance, making them tough at Bud Walton Arena.

Key Factors

This matchup may hinge on perimeter shooting and rebounding. Vanderbilt thrives on balanced scoring and offensive depth, while Arkansas must rely on Acuff’s playmaking and home-court energy to tilt the game. Turnovers and late-game execution will likely decide the margin.

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Injuries / Availability

Vanderbilt: Frankie Collins (knee) remains out, impacting backcourt depth.

Arkansas: Karter Knox (hip) remains sidelined, affecting rotation balance.

Environment

Bud Walton Arena has been a fortress for Arkansas, where they’ve gone 11-0 this season. Vanderbilt enters with confidence from strong offensive performances, making this a clash of home strength vs road-tested resilience.

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Best Bets and Prediction

Projected Final Score: Vanderbilt 92, Arkansas 90

  • Vanderbilt +1.5 → Best Bet. Their offensive efficiency and balanced scoring suggest they can stay within the number and win outright.
  • Over 171.5 → Total play. Both teams’ scoring profiles point toward a combined score above the line.

Vanderbilt’s depth and shooting rhythm should carry them to victory, while Arkansas’s home-court advantage keeps the game competitive. Expect a high-scoring contest with totals surpassing the posted number.

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