Baylor Bears vs Alcorn State Braves Picks and Predictions December 19th 2025

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The Baylor Bears return from an eight-day break with momentum, while the Alcorn State Braves look to snap a tough road skid. Bettors will weigh Baylor’s offensive efficiency and home dominance against Alcorn State’s pace and three-point shooting.

Line Movement and Odds

Baylor opened as a heavy favorite and the spread has remained steady, reflecting confidence in their depth and home-court edge. Current market:

  • Baylor Spread: -35.5 (-115)
  • Alcorn State Spread: +35.5 (-105)
  • Baylor MoneyLine: -10000
  • Alcorn State MoneyLine: +2500
  • Total: 162.5 (-110)

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Matchup Breakdown

Baylor Outlook

Baylor averages 88.8 points per game, ranking 30th nationally, with balanced scoring across multiple contributors. Cameron Carr, Obi Agbim, and Tounde Yessoufou headline an offense that thrives in transition and at the free-throw line. Their perfect 5-0 home record underscores their betting edge.

Alcorn State Outlook

Alcorn State relies on Jameel Morris and Shane Lancaster for scoring, with Bryson Calamese adding perimeter support. Their three-point shooting (37.3%) and pace (70.2 possessions per game) are strengths, but defensive lapses and road struggles (1-9 overall, all away) remain concerns.

Key Matchup / Path to Victory

The game hinges on Baylor’s ability to control tempo and exploit Alcorn State’s defense. The Braves must lean on perimeter shooting and pace to stay competitive. If Baylor dominates the paint and free-throw line, the margin could widen quickly.

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Injuries / Availability

Baylor: No confirmed injury updates available. You can check each team’s injury report for the latest status.

Alcorn State: No confirmed injury updates available. You can check each team’s injury report for the latest status.

Environment

Foster Pavilion provides Baylor with a strong home-court advantage, where they remain unbeaten. Alcorn State’s extended road stretch highlights the difficulty of this matchup. Pace favors Baylor, while efficiency trends suggest the total may stay under.

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Best Bets and Prediction

Projected Final Score: Baylor 95, Alcorn State 60

  • Baylor -35.5 → Best Bet. Their offensive efficiency and home dominance make them the sharper side.
  • Under 162.5 → Total play. Baylor’s defense and Alcorn State’s offensive struggles keep the total below the line.

Baylor’s depth and scoring balance should dictate the game. Expect the Bears to cover comfortably, while the total trends under due to Alcorn State’s inability to sustain pace against Baylor’s defense.

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